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the next stage in TDF

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Brianb
  
I don't know much about bike racing, but what do you all think Lance's strategy should be in the
next stage?

This stage finished on an ascent, so he could pull away and win the stage. The next stage has two
climbs but then a long flat period after the last one of maybe 50km. Does this negate Lance's
climbing ability? Even if he ascends the fastest the others would probably catch up to him in the
long flat part, as they are riding in groups and he would most likely have to be riding alone. I
would think by definition he'd have to be riding alone...he'd be the first up the ascent and then to
win the race, he would have no one with him. If his team members could keep up with him, they'd drag
along the rest of the peloton. Does this make sense?

What should his strategy be?

Raptor
  
brianb wrote:
> I don't know much about bike racing, but what do you all think Lance's strategy should be in the
> next stage?
>
> This stage finished on an ascent, so he could pull away and win the stage. The next stage has two
> climbs but then a long flat period after the last one of maybe 50km. Does this negate Lance's
> climbing ability? Even if he ascends the fastest the others would probably catch up to him in the
> long flat part, as they are riding in groups and he would most likely have to be riding alone. I
> would think by definition he'd have to be riding alone...he'd be the first up the ascent and then
> to win the race, he would have no one with him. If his team members could keep up with him, they'd
> drag along the rest of the peloton. Does this make sense?
>
> What should his strategy be?

His strategy for Wednesday's stage, and for every stage but the ITT: Stay within 1 second of Jan
Ullrich at all times.

His strategy for the ITT: Win, or at worst, lose by less than 1:07.

The 2003 Tour de France has been decided barring a major, highly unlikely circumstance.

It's time to return to watching the points competition and idling away the time wondering whether
the day's breakaway will win or be caught.

--
--
Lynn Wallace http://www.xmission.com/~lawall "I'm not proud. We really haven't done everything we
could to protect our customers. Our products just aren't engineered for security." --Microsoft VP in
charge of Windows OS Development, Brian Valentine.

Brianb
  
Raptor <me@attbi.com> wrote in message news:<3F1CD7D5.1040209@attbi.com>...
> brianb wrote:
> > I don't know much about bike racing, but what do you all think Lance's strategy should be in the
> > next stage?
> >
> > This stage finished on an ascent, so he could pull away and win the stage. The next stage has
> > two climbs but then a long flat period after the last one of maybe 50km. Does this negate
> > Lance's climbing ability? Even if he ascends the fastest the others would probably catch up to
> > him in the long flat part, as they are riding in groups and he would most likely have to be
> > riding alone. I would think by definition he'd have to be riding alone...he'd be the first up
> > the ascent and then to win the race, he would have no one with him. If his team members could
> > keep up with him, they'd drag along the rest of the peloton. Does this make sense?
> >
> > What should his strategy be?
>
> His strategy for Wednesday's stage, and for every stage but the ITT: Stay within 1 second of Jan
> Ullrich at all times.
>
> His strategy for the ITT: Win, or at worst, lose by less than 1:07.
>
> The 2003 Tour de France has been decided barring a major, highly unlikely circumstance.
>
> It's time to return to watching the points competition and idling away the time wondering whether
> the day's breakaway will win or be caught.
>
> --
Is it possible to win extra seconds off your score by being the first one up the mountain, etc.?
Yesterday LA won 12 extra seconds, I didn't know that was possible.

Given that he lost over a minute in the first time trial, I would think he would want more
time on JU.

LA beat everyone in the first except JU, so either he (LA) wasn't that bad, or everyone else
was worse.

Qtrader
  
Vino will attack on stage 16 on the 2nd climb...

brianb wrote in message <68a6629.0307212005.118c0feb@posting.google.com>...
>I don't know much about bike racing, but what do you all think Lance's strategy should be in the
>next stage?
>
>This stage finished on an ascent, so he could pull away and win the stage. The next stage has two
>climbs but then a long flat period after the last one of maybe 50km. Does this negate Lance's
>climbing ability? Even if he ascends the fastest the others would probably catch up to him in the
>long flat part, as they are riding in groups and he would most likely have to be riding alone. I
>would think by definition he'd have to be riding alone...he'd be the first up the ascent and then
>to win the race, he would have no one with him. If his team members could keep up with him, they'd
>drag along the rest of the peloton. Does this make sense?
>
>What should his strategy be?

Mark Janeba
  
brianb wrote:
> Is it possible to win extra seconds off your score by being the first one up the mountain, etc.?
> Yesterday LA won 12 extra seconds, I didn't know that was possible.

Time bonus at end of stage (except TT's): 20,12,8 seconds respectively for top three places.

Yesterday Lance got 1st, Jan got 3rd - Lance gained 12 seconds of bonus relative to Jan, 20 seconds
relative to places 4th and up.

Time bonus for intermediate sprints (at designated points during stages): 6,4,2 seconds respectively
for top three places.

No time bonus for mountaintop sprints unless at end of stage.

Mark Janeba

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