Cycling and bicycle racing discussion forums.   View New Forum Topics
Today's Forum Topics

Set as homepage


Go Back   Cycling Forums > Bike Racing > Grand Tours - Giro - Tour de France - Vuelta a España
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read


Welcome to CyclingForums.com

You are currently viewing our website as a guest which gives you limited access to view most discussions. You will have to register before you can post to this thread.

By joining our free online community you will have access to post new topics, communicate privately with other cyclingforums.com members (PM), respond to polls, upload photos and access other special features like product reviews and classifieds.


Who wins the Tour now?

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 14-02.-2008, 05:22 AM   #16
thunder
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,558
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by thoughtforfood
Great pick! Wasn't one or both of them under suspicion about doping though?

that was Frank, amigo de birillo.

Also, Mr Andy was described by Simoni @ Giro last year after his podium "So much for the new clean generation".
thunder is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 06:08 AM   #17
padawan
Registered User
 
padawan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: T.O.
Posts: 237
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by thunder
dont be silly, they cannot tt well. Have a close look at some Vuelta results, Sastre has pulled out very good tts when needed.

50 km Tour de France tts will never suit Sastre. But dont kid yourself Frank and Andy can tt better yet. Frank will never. Andy will be a good tter perhaps even as strong as Evans. Frank only tted well with the juice, now they are cleaner, he will be able to defend somewhat in Tour of Romandie etc.

I agree that Frank won't TT well this year - especially with his weight where it is right now (reportedly around 130 lbs). He seems to be focused for serious climbing. And I know Sastre can TT reasonably well if its under 30 km. But as you say, he's just not good at the long TTs, especially if their flat. The first ITT is only 29 km but flat, the other is 53 km and rolling but not super hilly. I think that Andy S. could do at least as well as Sastre on a rolling TT course.

I'm not suggesting that they TT well, but maybe well enough to limit losses of time gained on mountain stages. It will depend on what sort of form Sastre has, I don't think either of the Schleck bros. would be going for GC placing unless Sastre wasn't doing well. But Andy is certainly a good fallback position for CSC.
padawan is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 06:11 AM   #18
padawan
Registered User
 
padawan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: T.O.
Posts: 237
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

P.S. I've given up voicing opinions on who is clean and who is not. The reality is I - like most cyclists that aren't involved at the professional level - will never know the truth of it. I'm convinced that (as in most things in life) the more you hear, the less you know.
padawan is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 06:16 AM   #19
thunder
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,558
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by padawan
I agree that Frank won't TT well this year - especially with his weight where it is right now (reportedly around 130 lbs). He seems to be focused for serious climbing. And I know Sastre can TT reasonably well if its under 30 km. But as you say, he's just not good at the long TTs, especially if their flat. The first ITT is only 29 km but flat, the other is 53 km and rolling but not super hilly. I think that Andy S. could do at least as well as Sastre on a rolling TT course.

I'm not suggesting that they TT well, but maybe well enough to limit losses of time gained on mountain stages. It will depend on what sort of form Sastre has, I don't think either of the Schleck bros. would be going for GC placing unless Sastre wasn't doing well. But Andy is certainly a good fallback position for CSC.

I think F Schleck, could be a podium threat, he won the alpe d'huez stage, people talk of Cunego, well he beat him on that stage, and he is probably as good a tter as Cunego.

It depends on the dope. I think Andy Schleck confirmed there were flaws in Daamsgards system, and you can get a blood transfusion and insulin. If Schleck the elder gets that help, he could win.

I think any of the 3 CSC riders could win. Schleck, Sastre and Sleck jnr. They probably all need a buffer of one minute into the final tt. But who is gonna take minutes out of them in tts?

Rogers? nope, never could tt in GTs as well as one day events.

Evans, nope, perhaps in the first tt if it was 55 kms, he could take 2-3 out of them. But not this one.

It is wide open.
thunder is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 07:41 AM   #20
limerickman
Community Team
 
limerickman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: at the bar
Posts: 12,574
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by padawan
Don't discount the possibility of one of the Schleck bros. stepping up to the plate (and onto the podium) if Sastre isn't in best form. They can both certainly TT better than Sastre. Andy proved he could climb with the best of them in last year's Giro. Maybe not a win but certainly in the GC running.


Schleck is a good choice.

I think at this stage, that it would be a good bet to select a CSC rider as potential TDF winner.....but remember it's only February!
__________________
.."But finally the last thing I’ll say to the people who don’t believe in cycling, the cynics and the sceptics. I'm sorry for you. I’m sorry that you can’t dream big. [I]I'm sorry you don't believe in miracles. You should believe in these athletes, and you should believe in these people. I'll be a fan of the Tour de France for as long as I live. And there are no secrets" - this is a hard sporting event and hard work wins it - Armstrong 2005 TDF
morelike hypocrisy.
limerickman is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:03 AM   #21
Andrija
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Belgrade, Serbia
Posts: 653
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Menchov maybe.
He showed he can climb against riders we're mentioning here and he can tt better than most of them.
__________________
"Soldiers! Heroes!

The supreme command has erased our regiment from its records. Our regiment has been sacrificed for the honor of Belgrade and the Fatherland. Therefore, you no longer have to worry for your lives - they do not exist anymore.
So, forward to glory! For King and country! Long live the king! Long live Belgrade! "
Andrija is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:04 AM   #22
thunder
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,558
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrija
Menchov maybe.
He showed he can climb against riders we're mentioning here and he can tt better than most of them.

when he has his blood transfusions
thunder is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:04 AM   #23
velo711
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Kitchener,Ontario,Canada
Posts: 58
Question Re: Who wins the Tour now?

I was referring to the Andreas Kloden interview where he mentioned Astana's
anti doping program for the team, silly me.
velo711 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:21 AM   #24
docgtn
Registered User
 
docgtn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 25
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bro Deal
They "cleaned" the team up after Liberty Seguros. We saw how well that went.


This team should be thrown away. It has doped since the beginning of doping and has always said we have cleaned house look at us now. Look we have riders who would never dope. They say that right up until the point they get caught doping again and fire all the riders who no one ever suspected would dope. It is a joke.
docgtn is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:28 AM   #25
docgtn
Registered User
 
docgtn's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 25
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrija
Menchov maybe.
He showed he can climb against riders we're mentioning here and he can tt better than most of them.


What about Mike Rogers or Perriero? Rogers was on his way to the yellow jersey last year when he crashed and is Per still in race or has he been caught doping? I would say Evans is the natural to ascend to favorite based on the fact that his finishes have improved gradually over the last few years but with his age you would have to wonder if maybe he missed his chance last year.
docgtn is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:32 AM   #26
thunder
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,558
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by docgtn
What about Mike Rogers or Perriero? Rogers was on his way to the yellow jersey last year when he crashed and is Per still in race or has he been caught doping? I would say Evans is the natural to ascend to favorite based on the fact that his finishes have improved gradually over the last few years but with his age you would have to wonder if maybe he missed his chance last year.

Rasmussen would have dropped Rogers and got yellow. All Rass was down was about 35 seconds from the prologue to Rogers. Dont believe the bullshit. Rass would have ridden him off his wheel on the last climb. Whether or not Rogers would have gotten that time back in the timetrial coming up, is another matter. He probably would have taken it.

This is the perfect parcours for Rogers. The climbs are not too debilitating, he will have good support from Kirchen and Gerdemann and probably one more climber atleast, Lovqvist or Pinotti.
thunder is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:35 AM   #27
velo711
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Kitchener,Ontario,Canada
Posts: 58
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

So which teams are clean?, of the 180 odd riders at the tour last year which one's doping? I guess only a select few on this forum know based on all the rider
bashing. Either way we will watch the tour and enjoy it, because we love it.
velo711 is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 08:47 AM   #28
thoughtforfood
Registered User
 
thoughtforfood's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: NC
Posts: 2,476
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by velo711
So which teams are clean?, of the 180 odd riders at the tour last year which one's doping? I guess only a select few on this forum know based on all the rider
bashing. Either way we will watch the tour and enjoy it, because we love it.

You'd have to ask the teams that...no wait, they would all claim to be clean. I guess we should just go on their word and not look at results and kind of do a little logical detective work and see who was keeping up with the people who got caught. No reason to question the fact that the average speed in the tour went through the roof, etc. etc. etc.
__________________
Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.
-- Albert Einstein
thoughtforfood is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 10:12 AM   #29
snood
Registered User
 
snood's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 154
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by velo711
So which teams are clean?, of the 180 odd riders at the tour last year which one's doping? I guess only a select few on this forum know based on all the rider
bashing. Either way we will watch the tour and enjoy it, because we love it.

80% took HGH last year. 47 surely took blood doping.
snood is offline  
Reply With Quote
Old 14-02.-2008, 10:34 AM   #30
Frigo's Luggage
Registered User
 
Frigo's Luggage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,232
Default Re: Who wins the Tour now?

Quote:
Originally Posted by thunder
dont be silly, they cannot tt well. Have a close look at some Vuelta results, Sastre has pulled out very good tts when needed.

50 km Tour de France tts will never suit Sastre. But dont kid yourself Frank and Andy can tt better yet. Frank will never. Andy will be a good tter perhaps even as strong as Evans. Frank only tted well with the juice, now they are cleaner, he will be able to defend somewhat in Tour of Romandie etc.
If you assume that the race will be clean (which it won't), it might not be critical to be able to climb and time-trial exceptionally well. Lets face it, only dope fueled androids can climb like Pantani and TT like Indurain. If its clean, we may see a pure climber win the race.
__________________
We are all made of stars.
Frigo's Luggage is offline  
Reply With Quote

Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 02:08 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Copyright © 2000 - 2008, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2001 - 2006 cyclingforums.com

Links to websites we like:
Pezcyclingnews | Cyclingnews.com | Wine Zone | iinet