Danny Colyer said:1) "Approximately 28,000 children under the age of 16 years receive a serious head injury as a
result of a cycling accident". In fact 28,000 is the figure for all recorded child head
injuries, not just those from cycling, and is higher than the total number of cyclists injured
in the UK (all severities, all injury types).
I don't know where BeHIT got the 28,000 figure, I certainly can't find a reference for it (it's
probably another number they made up). I have been told it's the figure for all child head injuries,
by a usually reliable source, but I can't give a citation.
Quoted message said:Does anyone have a reference for 28,000 as the figure for all recorded child head injuries, or for
1200 (as quoted on Guy's site) as the actual number of child head injuries from cycling?
The 1,200 came to me from the CTC. The largest figure I've seen is 3,500. Recorded child cyclist
injuries in 2002: 22 killed, 594 ksi (includes killed), 4,809 injured (includes ksi). For adult
cyclists it's 107, 1,801, 11,712. That's from the DfT so does not include injuries in offroad play.
There was a question in Parliament recently the answer to which yielded similar numbers.
I cannot find any figures anywhere which would make the figure of 28,000 child cyclist head injuries
even vaguely credible. Even including the most trivial injuries, it appears to be at least an order
of magnitude out.
Quoted message said:2) "85% of head injuries could be avoided by wearing a helmet". This figure came from a 1989 study
and was later reduced by the study's authors. The reduced figure was still found by peer review
to be excessive.
Quoted message said:I've got a reference for the original study ("A case-control study of the effectiveness of bicycle
helmets" - Thompson, R, Rivara, FP, Thompson, DC, NEJM 1989; 320:1367-7). Does anyone have a
reference for the later reduction in the figure, or for demolition of either the original or
reduced figure by peer review?
<http://www.cyclehelmets.org/1003.html> should help
Quoted message said:3) "Cycle helmets could save the NHS £2billion annually in the cost of treating child accident
injuries." This seems unlikely given that the NHS spends a total of £1.5 billion annually on
treating children aged 5-15 for all illnesses and injuries.
Quoted message said:Does anyone have a reference for the NHS figure of £1.5 billion?
Take the ONS census data and combine with the figures for NHS spending from the Audit Office. At
least two of us did the sums at the time and came up with the same answer.
Guy
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