looks like andy is on pace for a 2:33 finish.
from www.bostonmarathon.org:
5k 10k 15k 20k Half 25k :17:55 0:35:57 0:54:00 1:12:15
1:16:10 1:30:45
Pace Projected Time :05:51 2:33:16
looks like the heat is definitely playing a role. IIRC, the
last marathon he ran was at a 5:44 pace.
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