T
Tim McNamara
Guest
In article <[email protected]>,
"Mike Jacoubowsky" <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> Another point of clarification: are CF bicycle frames over built,
> >> vis., stronger than necessary to take in to consideration the
> >> limitations of the material? I ask this because I have not see an
> >> epidemic of broken CF frames or forks, and I have been riding CF
> >> forks for over 15 years (different ones).
> >
> > Therein is one of the issues in judging the long term safety and
> > durability of CF frames and forks: they just have not been in
> > service very long. I know people with steel frames and forks that
> > have been in use 35+ years, and I know of people whose daily rider
> > bikes are 50+ years old. These bikes are still safe and sound-
> > will that be the same for CF? We won't know for another 35 years
> > or so. And we may not know even then, as currently the folks who
> > tend to buy CF bikes tend to replace their equipment with newer,
> > more up-to-date stuff every couple of years anyway.
>
> Unless you believe that something happens to the fork, either steel
> or carbon, while it is just sitting there, un-used, a track record of
> 15+ years is more than adequate to judge the service life & safety of
> a carbon fiber fork.
Do we know whether there are any aging-related changes in the composite
materials used in bicycles? Or perhaps more to the point, do we know
there are *no* aging-related changes? I don't know one way or another.
But I do know that bikes get damage even when sitting around- somebody
knocks the shovels and rakes over in the garage and they hit the bike,
someone misjudges parking the car and knocks the bike over, etc. Well,
not my bikes because they hang up in the basement out of harm's way, but
many people's bikes just live out in the garage. CF tends to tolerate
those outrageous slings and arrows less gracefully than metals. Around
here that includes freeze-thaw cycles anywhere from -40F to 110F. Does
ultraviolet light affect the CF or the epoxy material? Are there
chemical reactions with atmospheric gases or perhaps things like
gasoline vapors, paint thinner vapors etc?
> It's actual use (on the road) that matters, and as we have seen steel
> forks fail in the past at anywhere from 30-80k miles (some fail
> sooner, some last longer, but that's approximates the average service
> life we've seen over time), the history of carbon forks, as an
> indicator of overall life & safety, becomes clear after no more than
> 10 years, as that will see a fair amount of product achieve that sort
> of mileage.
I've never seen a steel fork failure in the 35 or so years that I have
been dealing with bikes as an enthusiast, but then I only have a few
years of bike shop experience and you have seen thousands more bikes
than I. The odds of you seeing those things is much greater than mine.
> That someone you know has a bike that's 50 years old in daily service
> is likely a testament more to an extraordinarily overbuilt design,
> rather than the material used. If one were to build a fork of the
> same weight out of carbon fiber, it may very well achieve commendable
> life on the roads surrounding Baghdad! But why? Does it make sense to
> build something that will last from one generation to the next, or
> does it make more sense to optimize for the current user, and his/her
> typical lifespan of use (determined not by failure but more often by
> a desire to upgrade)?
That's a defense for planned obsolescence and underbuilding by design to
gain dubious improvements in performance that sound good in marketing
and make no beneficial difference when the rubber meets the road.
Even Lance Armstrong's "optimized" Trek didn't survive the Bag Handle
Crash, suffering a broken chainstay in the process. He only had to ride
it 10 km further, but what if that fracture had been unnoticed and he
had had to rider that bike down a technical descent with the typical
steep cliffs at the side of the road? A material that can just break in
a crash like that is not a suitable material for a bicycle. IMHO, YMMV,
yadda yadda yaddda but I will never buy one.
> The worst thing about this thread is the inference that other
> materials don't fail in normal use. They have in the past. They do
> today. And they will continue to fail tomorrow.
But differences in the failure process are significant. The reports I
have read indicate that CF fails catastrophically and often without
significant warning. Fractures propagate through steel fairly slowly
giving the rider a chance to observe and prevent catastrophic failure.
The original post that started all this was a CF Scott frame that
essentially shattered in a crash.
> It's generally not the material that causes a failure, it's how it's
> used.
That's just a truism. You could build a bicycle from pasta and it
wouldn't fail so long as you didn't try to ride it.
> I would suggest that the rate of frame failures in aluminum, steel &
> ti frames has probably increased since carbon fiber came on the
> market. Why? Because manufacturers have tried to mimic the weight of
> a carbon fiber frame using materials that really aren't suitable for
> that purpose. Sub 3.5lb steel frames, sub 2.8lb aluminum frames, sub
> 3.1-3.3lb ti frames... they're all in dangerous, bleeding-edge
> territory.
The failure modes are different for those materials than CF. They
aren't brittle, aren't damaged as easily and fractures don't propagate
as rapidly. We do agree that stoopid lite is stoopid lite no matter
what material is used.
> But if you created a well-build carbon fiber frame at any
> of those weights, it could be impossible to kill. But that's not what
> people are looking for with carbon fiber, so it shouldn't be a huge
> surprise that's not what they get.
Until we see it, we'll never know.
"Mike Jacoubowsky" <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> Another point of clarification: are CF bicycle frames over built,
> >> vis., stronger than necessary to take in to consideration the
> >> limitations of the material? I ask this because I have not see an
> >> epidemic of broken CF frames or forks, and I have been riding CF
> >> forks for over 15 years (different ones).
> >
> > Therein is one of the issues in judging the long term safety and
> > durability of CF frames and forks: they just have not been in
> > service very long. I know people with steel frames and forks that
> > have been in use 35+ years, and I know of people whose daily rider
> > bikes are 50+ years old. These bikes are still safe and sound-
> > will that be the same for CF? We won't know for another 35 years
> > or so. And we may not know even then, as currently the folks who
> > tend to buy CF bikes tend to replace their equipment with newer,
> > more up-to-date stuff every couple of years anyway.
>
> Unless you believe that something happens to the fork, either steel
> or carbon, while it is just sitting there, un-used, a track record of
> 15+ years is more than adequate to judge the service life & safety of
> a carbon fiber fork.
Do we know whether there are any aging-related changes in the composite
materials used in bicycles? Or perhaps more to the point, do we know
there are *no* aging-related changes? I don't know one way or another.
But I do know that bikes get damage even when sitting around- somebody
knocks the shovels and rakes over in the garage and they hit the bike,
someone misjudges parking the car and knocks the bike over, etc. Well,
not my bikes because they hang up in the basement out of harm's way, but
many people's bikes just live out in the garage. CF tends to tolerate
those outrageous slings and arrows less gracefully than metals. Around
here that includes freeze-thaw cycles anywhere from -40F to 110F. Does
ultraviolet light affect the CF or the epoxy material? Are there
chemical reactions with atmospheric gases or perhaps things like
gasoline vapors, paint thinner vapors etc?
> It's actual use (on the road) that matters, and as we have seen steel
> forks fail in the past at anywhere from 30-80k miles (some fail
> sooner, some last longer, but that's approximates the average service
> life we've seen over time), the history of carbon forks, as an
> indicator of overall life & safety, becomes clear after no more than
> 10 years, as that will see a fair amount of product achieve that sort
> of mileage.
I've never seen a steel fork failure in the 35 or so years that I have
been dealing with bikes as an enthusiast, but then I only have a few
years of bike shop experience and you have seen thousands more bikes
than I. The odds of you seeing those things is much greater than mine.
> That someone you know has a bike that's 50 years old in daily service
> is likely a testament more to an extraordinarily overbuilt design,
> rather than the material used. If one were to build a fork of the
> same weight out of carbon fiber, it may very well achieve commendable
> life on the roads surrounding Baghdad! But why? Does it make sense to
> build something that will last from one generation to the next, or
> does it make more sense to optimize for the current user, and his/her
> typical lifespan of use (determined not by failure but more often by
> a desire to upgrade)?
That's a defense for planned obsolescence and underbuilding by design to
gain dubious improvements in performance that sound good in marketing
and make no beneficial difference when the rubber meets the road.
Even Lance Armstrong's "optimized" Trek didn't survive the Bag Handle
Crash, suffering a broken chainstay in the process. He only had to ride
it 10 km further, but what if that fracture had been unnoticed and he
had had to rider that bike down a technical descent with the typical
steep cliffs at the side of the road? A material that can just break in
a crash like that is not a suitable material for a bicycle. IMHO, YMMV,
yadda yadda yaddda but I will never buy one.
> The worst thing about this thread is the inference that other
> materials don't fail in normal use. They have in the past. They do
> today. And they will continue to fail tomorrow.
But differences in the failure process are significant. The reports I
have read indicate that CF fails catastrophically and often without
significant warning. Fractures propagate through steel fairly slowly
giving the rider a chance to observe and prevent catastrophic failure.
The original post that started all this was a CF Scott frame that
essentially shattered in a crash.
> It's generally not the material that causes a failure, it's how it's
> used.
That's just a truism. You could build a bicycle from pasta and it
wouldn't fail so long as you didn't try to ride it.
> I would suggest that the rate of frame failures in aluminum, steel &
> ti frames has probably increased since carbon fiber came on the
> market. Why? Because manufacturers have tried to mimic the weight of
> a carbon fiber frame using materials that really aren't suitable for
> that purpose. Sub 3.5lb steel frames, sub 2.8lb aluminum frames, sub
> 3.1-3.3lb ti frames... they're all in dangerous, bleeding-edge
> territory.
The failure modes are different for those materials than CF. They
aren't brittle, aren't damaged as easily and fractures don't propagate
as rapidly. We do agree that stoopid lite is stoopid lite no matter
what material is used.
> But if you created a well-build carbon fiber frame at any
> of those weights, it could be impossible to kill. But that's not what
> people are looking for with carbon fiber, so it shouldn't be a huge
> surprise that's not what they get.
Until we see it, we'll never know.