S
spindrift
Guest
On 5 Feb, 14:00, Nick <[email protected]> wrote:
> spindrift wrote:
> > On 5 Feb, 12:27, "Nick" <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> "spindrift" <[email protected]> wrote in message
>
> >>news:[email protected]...
>
> >>> On 5 Feb, 11:20, Nick <[email protected]> wrote:
> >>>> spindrift wrote:
> >>>>> Every single study shows that more cyclists on the roads results in
> >>>>> fewer cyclist/vehicle accidents.
> >>>> That just isn't true.
> >>>> Some surveys may indicate that a specific type of risk (accident rate
> >>>> per cyclist or per mile) goes down but I believe the recent stats from
> >>>> London showed the number accidents had increased with the increase in
> >>>> cyclists numbers.
> >>> Safety in numbers: more walkers and bicyclists, safer walking and
> >>> bicycling
> >>> P L Jacobsen
> >>> Conclusion: A motorist is less likely to collide with a person walking
> >>> and bicycling if more people walk or bicycle. Policies that increase
> >>> the numbers of people walking and bicycling appear to be an effective
> >>> route to improving the safety of people walking and bicycling.
> >>>http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/cgi/content/short/9/3/205
> >> You and apparently the author of this report are not being careful with your
> >> language. The above statement is at best ambiguous and at worst deliberately
> >> misleading.
>
> >> If you wish to use statistics to help you arive at valid conclusions you
> >> need to be very precise linguistically. You should take the time to
> >> understand the statistics clearly before you post.- Hide quoted text -
>
> >> - Show quoted text -
>
> > Which part of Jacobsen's research do you disagree with and why?
>
> > So many vague accusations on this thread.....
>
> The statement
>
> "A motorist is less likely to collide with a person walking and
> bicycling if more people walk or bicycle."
>
> The statement is clearly ambiguous. If no people walk, clearly a
> motorist has no chance of colliding with a walker.
>
> A lion is less likely to eat a specific antelope if there are a herd of
> antelope. However at the same time the lion is much more likely to eat
> an antelope if it finds a herd rather than an individual. The individual
> may be fast enough to escape but one of the herd is likely to be slow.
>
> If you can't distinguish between these cases with your language you are
> not understanding the issues or you are attempting to mislead.- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -
It's also true to say collsions would be unlikely if there were no
motorists.
This is another example of the bum fluffery I mention upthread, you've
taken a truism, backed up with evidence, changed it to a completely
different scenario and then used that as an argument against the
original contention.
Yes, if no people walk then there will be no collisions with walkers,
well done.
In the real world, where people , um, DO walk, the evidence shows that
increased numbers reduces accidents.
It's thought that the mindset of drivers changes since:
1/
they are more used to encountering cyclists and
2/
the drivers cycle themselves
The "them and us" attitude displayed by your probably subconscious
decision to cast motorists as lions and vulnerable road users as
antelopes is telling. In reality cyclists own cars at the rate of 85%-
higher than the general population- and so they are well acquainted
with responsible driving.
> spindrift wrote:
> > On 5 Feb, 12:27, "Nick" <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> "spindrift" <[email protected]> wrote in message
>
> >>news:[email protected]...
>
> >>> On 5 Feb, 11:20, Nick <[email protected]> wrote:
> >>>> spindrift wrote:
> >>>>> Every single study shows that more cyclists on the roads results in
> >>>>> fewer cyclist/vehicle accidents.
> >>>> That just isn't true.
> >>>> Some surveys may indicate that a specific type of risk (accident rate
> >>>> per cyclist or per mile) goes down but I believe the recent stats from
> >>>> London showed the number accidents had increased with the increase in
> >>>> cyclists numbers.
> >>> Safety in numbers: more walkers and bicyclists, safer walking and
> >>> bicycling
> >>> P L Jacobsen
> >>> Conclusion: A motorist is less likely to collide with a person walking
> >>> and bicycling if more people walk or bicycle. Policies that increase
> >>> the numbers of people walking and bicycling appear to be an effective
> >>> route to improving the safety of people walking and bicycling.
> >>>http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/cgi/content/short/9/3/205
> >> You and apparently the author of this report are not being careful with your
> >> language. The above statement is at best ambiguous and at worst deliberately
> >> misleading.
>
> >> If you wish to use statistics to help you arive at valid conclusions you
> >> need to be very precise linguistically. You should take the time to
> >> understand the statistics clearly before you post.- Hide quoted text -
>
> >> - Show quoted text -
>
> > Which part of Jacobsen's research do you disagree with and why?
>
> > So many vague accusations on this thread.....
>
> The statement
>
> "A motorist is less likely to collide with a person walking and
> bicycling if more people walk or bicycle."
>
> The statement is clearly ambiguous. If no people walk, clearly a
> motorist has no chance of colliding with a walker.
>
> A lion is less likely to eat a specific antelope if there are a herd of
> antelope. However at the same time the lion is much more likely to eat
> an antelope if it finds a herd rather than an individual. The individual
> may be fast enough to escape but one of the herd is likely to be slow.
>
> If you can't distinguish between these cases with your language you are
> not understanding the issues or you are attempting to mislead.- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -
It's also true to say collsions would be unlikely if there were no
motorists.
This is another example of the bum fluffery I mention upthread, you've
taken a truism, backed up with evidence, changed it to a completely
different scenario and then used that as an argument against the
original contention.
Yes, if no people walk then there will be no collisions with walkers,
well done.
In the real world, where people , um, DO walk, the evidence shows that
increased numbers reduces accidents.
It's thought that the mindset of drivers changes since:
1/
they are more used to encountering cyclists and
2/
the drivers cycle themselves
The "them and us" attitude displayed by your probably subconscious
decision to cast motorists as lions and vulnerable road users as
antelopes is telling. In reality cyclists own cars at the rate of 85%-
higher than the general population- and so they are well acquainted
with responsible driving.