General fitness, health and nutrition · Public discussion

Mount Toba and genetic divergence

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General fitness, health and nutrition
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5 July 2004
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Michael Ragland
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  1. Ancient 'Volcanic Winter' Tied To Rapid Genetic
    Divergence In Humans

    CHAMPAIGN, Ill. -- A new hypothesis about recent human
    evolution suggests that a horrific "volcanic winter" 71,000
    years ago, followed by the coldest 1,000 years of the last
    Ice Age, brought widespread famine and death to modern human
    populations around the world. The abrupt "bottleneck," or
    decrease, in our ancestors' populations, in turn, brought
    about the rapid "differentiation" - or genetic divergence -
    of the surviving populations.

    The hypothesis, offered by anthropologist Stanley Ambrose of
    the University of Illinois, proposes that a volcanic winter
    reduced populations to "levels low enough for evolutionary
    changes, which occur much faster in small populations, to
    produce rapid population differentiation," Ambrose said. If,
    as he believes, the eruption of Mount Toba in Sumatra caused
    the bottleneck, "then modern human races may have diverged
    abruptly, only 70,000 years ago," Ambrose wrote in the June
    issue of the Journal of Human Evolution. Geneticists long
    have argued that the human species passed through a recent
    bottleneck, but they never offered explanations for the
    population crash or recovery, nor considered its
    consequences for modern human diversification. Ambrose's
    model, which he calls the Weak Garden of Eden/Volcanic
    Winter model, is an offshoot - with significant additions -
    of the Weak GOE model proposed by Henry Harpending and
    others. The Weak GOE model proposes an African origin for
    modern humans about 130,000 years ago, and credits the
    invention and spread of advanced stone tool technology,
    40,000 to 50,000 years ago, for population growth after the
    bottleneck. Ambrose argues that volcanic winter resulting
    from the super-eruption of Toba "caused the bottleneck, and
    that populations may have expanded in response to climatic
    warming 10,000 years before the advent of modern
    technology."

    Ambrose has linked geneticists' research to that of
    volcanologists Michael Rampino, Stephen Self, Greg Zielinski
    and colleagues, which shows the super-eruption of Toba
    caused a volcanic winter that lasted six years and
    significantly altered global climate for the next 1,000
    years. Those six years of "relentless volcanic winter" led
    to substantial lowering of global temperatures, drought and
    famine, and to a global human population crash during which,
    if geneticists are correct, no more than 15,000 to 40,000
    people survived.

    "The standard view of human evolution has been that modern
    populations evolved from an ancient African ancestor. We
    assumed that they differentiated gradually because we
    assumed ancestral populations were large and stable,"
    Ambrose said. But, he noted, genetic research now
    demonstrates that changes in population size were sometimes
    dramatic. The new model resolves the paradox of the recent
    African origin model: If we are all so recently "out of
    Africa," why don't we all look like Africans?

    "When our African recent ancestors passed through the prism
    of Toba's volcanic winter, a rainbow of differences
    appeared," Ambrose said.

    This story has been adapted from a news release issued by
    University Of Illinois At Urbana-Champaign.     About This
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