sastre, kloden and evans all need to pull back approx 1.5 mins tonight. if not, theyre gone.
assuming time trial form stays same, which it usually does.
ive analysed first week time trial, and last years time trial, and these boys all need approx this time pulled back tnite to challenge him. kloden and evans can get 1-1.5mins on him in ttrial, and sastre 0.5 minute in the ttrial.
sastre and kloden did get these 1.5min gaps they need over pereiro, on d'huez a few days ago, evans couldnt.
based on all this, i think pereiro is going to hang on for the win. there will be mere seconds in it between him, kloden and sastre, evans may lose out by 0.5-1 minute unfortunately.