Predictions for stage 17...

Discussion in 'Professional Cycling' started by El Angliru, Jul 21, 2010.

  1. El Angliru

    El Angliru New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2010
    Messages:
    4
    Likes Received:
    0
    So what do you think is going to happen as the tour reaches its climax on the slopes of the Tourmalet? I must admit it seems the organizers have planned a great schedule this year - shaping it so that everything boils down to this final mountain stage, whilst keeping it interesting along the way (minus yesterday's dead stage).

    My prediction: Schleck attacks repeatedly but can't shake Contador, probably burning himself out in the process. Sanchez and Menchov also keep his wheel. Menchov will probably surprise everyone with a major attack and win the stage, taking Contador with him.

    So, at the end of the stage - 1. Contador, 2. Schleck, 3. Menchov

    Oh and if Andy isn't on form in the time trial Menchov might bag second to boot.
     
    Tags:


  2. gtm

    gtm New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2009
    Messages:
    172
    Likes Received:
    0
    Prediction:- Schleck drops Contador and gains about 1 minute & then on Saturday surprises us all with a blistering TT to take the MJ - it turns out crafty Riis has secretly had him in a wind tunnel throughout the off season & kept it on the QT.


    Disclaimer:- I accept no responsibility or liability for any injury, loss or damage incurred as a result of any use or reliance of the above prediction :D
     
  3. roadhouse

    roadhouse New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2009
    Messages:
    2,687
    Likes Received:
    1
    Lance flies out of the gates, drops everyone like a bad habit, makes up over 36 minutes putting him in 1st with some time to spare and then wins the tt and wins best cyclist of our lifetime award on espn and all doping allegations are brought to a hault, Landis and Lemond both end up in federal prison for life for lying.

    that's what i woudl like to see happen. :eek:

    if not that then what gtm said, Schleck takes Contador.
     
  4. gtm

    gtm New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2009
    Messages:
    172
    Likes Received:
    0
    Chaps with just the one testicle who attempt to take France 'by storm' generally come to a sticky end :D
     
  5. jhuskey

    jhuskey Moderator

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2003
    Messages:
    10,583
    Likes Received:
    330
    I predict the pelton to be blow apart and a lot of pain will be experienced on the Tourlamet.
    The sight of riders going off the back end will look like a human wood chipper.
     
  6. roadhouse

    roadhouse New Member

    Joined:
    Aug 2, 2009
    Messages:
    2,687
    Likes Received:
    1
    he's already taken France, and the world, by storm, 7.8 times to be exact.

    what i would really like to see is Schleck and Armstrong bolt off the front on a breakway while Contador drops a chain and gets caught up in some wrecks, 8 of them to be exact...and then a pelican sh!ts on his head on live tv. :)
     
  7. Andrija

    Andrija Member

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2005
    Messages:
    1,654
    Likes Received:
    5
    Beating Contador now looks like mission impossible... Schleck will have to gain at least one and a half minutes (and that's optimistic). That's huge
    In my opinion, Tourmalet may not be enough for sufficient gap before TT. Also, I'm not sure if Schleck can attack before Tourmalet and keep building up his advantage all the way to the finish line... Even with help of his team mates in eventual breakaway. But he has to try... It would be stupid and opposite to everything he speaks and we expect if he's given up.
    Contador was talking about Tourmalet as the place where the race will be decided. He was preparing something for it too.
    Realistic is to expect 30 seconds of difference... Maximum. Wishful thinking is 30 seconds of advantage on Schleck's side and time trial of his life.
    I would like to see attack on lower slopes of Soulor. That's development which could bring lots off excitement.
     
  8. mrfrogger

    mrfrogger New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2007
    Messages:
    100
    Likes Received:
    0
    Well I'll be drinking beer in the afternoon at the pub and would laugh if Stuart O'Grady heabutted Contador in the head repeatedly, knocking him into a Pyrenean valley while Andy kicks on up the hill while dreaming of podium girls.

    When I've sobered up, I'll start pontificating about questions of moral philosophy.

    Whatever happens, I'm looking to seeing it (and not going to work for a change).
     
  9. baker3

    baker3 New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 13, 2009
    Messages:
    339
    Likes Received:
    1
    I think Schleck will get some time on AC, but I doubt he will get the 2 minutes he needs before the final time trial.
     
  10. swampy1970

    swampy1970 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2008
    Messages:
    10,057
    Likes Received:
    184
    I predict a boring and predictable stage where....

    Astana sit on the front to the top of the Soulor.

    Saxo sit on the front from the bottom of the Soulor descent to mid way up the Tourmalet.Chris Sorenson will the be the last Saxo domestique to go pop, leaving Schleck and Contador. Schleck tries a few damp squib attacks... maybe a little more but nothing that looks epic.

    The riders go to the team bus.

    We hear yet another evenings worth of " *insert interviewees name here*, was Contador right in attacking Schleck when his chain fell off?" again...

    Outside, it continues to rain ontop of the hills in France and somewhere a small child cries because he lost his free [email protected] that was given out at the Tour Caravan
     
  11. jhuskey

    jhuskey Moderator

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2003
    Messages:
    10,583
    Likes Received:
    330
    You left out a dog howls in the distance. Could be Cadel's dog.
     
  12. steve

    steve Administrator
    Staff Member

    Joined:
    Aug 12, 2001
    Messages:
    5,261
    Likes Received:
    213
    Or perhaps some stray sheep crossing the road, it could happen :confused:
     
  13. jhuskey

    jhuskey Moderator

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2003
    Messages:
    10,583
    Likes Received:
    330
    Ok, Schleck has to get whats left of his team organized and get ready to give it all.
     
  14. swampy1970

    swampy1970 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2008
    Messages:
    10,057
    Likes Received:
    184
    So Fuglsang was the last guy and Sorensen was the next to last...

    ... not too far of what I thought would happen.

    Time to wake up, that left me somewhat snoozy. At least next week I won't have to watch several hours of TV each night and hope for something to happen - it'll be back to a more interesting life.

    Someone dig up Anquetil and stick his bones on a bike, unicycle racing down Alpe DHuez, clowns juggling on a tandem while riding through the tunnels descending the Laurtret or have people riding bikes with slick tires on a big huge water covered plastic merry-go-round trying to collect plastic balls, just like It's A Knockout years ago. I wonder what Stuart Hall is upto these days?

    8 seconds aint a big lead, expect Saxo to try something en-masse during the stage to Bordeaux. It wouldn't take too much to believe that the Saxo train lead by Cancellara could put a world of hurt on the rest of the Tour teams, especially in the coastal areas around Bordeaux. Cross winds and a US Postal team time trial off the front back in 1999 is a perfect example of what they are going to have to try. Sure, they'd have to fight off not only Astana but also the sprinters teams of Lampre and HTC. Cervelo (especially Thor) wouldn't mind if Saxo took nearly all the points at the finish so they aint gonna chase.

    Stranger things have happened than people puncturing in time trials... So it aint over yet.
     
  15. slovakguy

    slovakguy Active Member

    Joined:
    Mar 17, 2006
    Messages:
    1,898
    Likes Received:
    33
    that would make for some interesting action in the next stage. but will canc really put his chances at grabbing the tt victory in the bin for saxo?
     
  16. jhuskey

    jhuskey Moderator

    Joined:
    Oct 6, 2003
    Messages:
    10,583
    Likes Received:
    330
    I am told that Cancellara has a cold. I expect he is wanting a stage in the TT. That's gonna make it harder on him and especially if he doesn't take it easy tomorrow.
     
  17. swampy1970

    swampy1970 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2008
    Messages:
    10,057
    Likes Received:
    184
    It's not like Saxo doesn't have a stack of TT wins from Cancellara already... but that's not relevant.

    A Tour win for the team trumps a stage win by a country mile (which is a little more than 1.602km for you metric folk :p ) Cancellara hasn't jumped ship yet to Schleckumburger team, so maybe this could be the last time he rides for a team that has a real chance for a rider to get the overall GC.
     
  18. Andrija

    Andrija Member

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2005
    Messages:
    1,654
    Likes Received:
    5
    Cancellara's results in long time trials at the end of the Tour aren't that briliant. Three weeks of racing seem to be taking a lot out of him.
    This time trial is really one for specialists... Grabsch may do very well if he has something left in his legs.
    I think Contador will want to prove he's worth of overall victory, but it doesn't look like his cup of tea.
    It's going to be very interesting.
     
  19. mrfrogger

    mrfrogger New Member

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2007
    Messages:
    100
    Likes Received:
    0
    Maybe, I could see it happening. Fabian seems to me to be pretty tight with the Schlecks. It won't work though. However, after seeing Spartacus' back to back wins on the cobbles and the way he's calmly destroyed every TT I've seen him ride this year, how can you bet against him for that TT?
     
  20. slovakguy

    slovakguy Active Member

    Joined:
    Mar 17, 2006
    Messages:
    1,898
    Likes Received:
    33
    still don't see it shaking out this way. perhaps the remainder of saxo go forward for a.s., but i still think that canc will limit his effort in anticipation of the tt. additionally, if he doesn't work for a.s. (and i don't think he's been linked to the luxemburger team to come), he really won't be burning any bridges since he'd probably go to a team with a legitimate g.c. candidate (bmc-sorry, footon) should he leave saxo (and i've already forgotten their new primary sponsor's name). as for the greater glory in having a rider win the yellow, they already have sastre's. as for whether there is any glory in an individual stage win to be had by canc, i'd hazard a bet that f.c. would really like to have everything available for his individual glories in time trialling since he's probably never likely to vie for the g.c. himself.

    besides, all a.c. really would need to do is suck wheel again and now you've lost the yellow and any chance f.c. would have had at the tt.

    if saxo and riis are really serious about the yellow, then they will need to take the gloves off, throw all protocol to the wind and attack all the way to paris.
     
Loading...
Loading...