General fitness, health and nutrition · Public discussion

Re: "Statins caused my kidney failure"

Started by Herman Rubin · · Last activity · 2 posts · 568 views

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General fitness, health and nutrition
Published
15 July 2004
Last activity
15 July 2004
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Herman Rubin
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  1. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Zee said:

    "Bill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    So Bill, I read the following to say:

    Quoted message said:

    1.The goal of statin therapy is to reduce the odds of dying of a heart
    attack or stroke, not just lower cholesterol numbers.

    Yes. The claim of the studies, not by the drug companies
    to get the statins approved, is that lowering the cholesterol
    numbers will do this. There is a fair amount of evidence
    that lowering quite high cholesterol levels does this, at
    least on the average.

    Quoted message said:

    2. Despite millions spent on clinical trials, researchers could not
    prove lowering cholesterol had any effect on life expectancy.

    The clinical trials CANNOT be long enough for this.

    Quoted message said:

    3. Pharmas need only prove to FDA the drug lowers cholesterol.

    This is not so; they also need to prove to their satisfaction
    that the drug does not have too nasty side effects too often
    during the required tests.

    Once the drug is approved by the FDA for some purposes, it
    can be used for any other, with few restrictions. So if
    statins reduce deaths over the period of study for approval
    in reducing cholesterol from 400 to 200, and does not have
    too high an incidence of side effects over the same period,
    they get approved. Once one statin is approved, another one
    has to be compared to the ones approved.

    But reducing cholesterol from 400 to 200, or reducing LDL
    from 300 to 130, is not the same as reducing LDL from
    130 to 100 or 70 or even lower. And it is these reductions
    for which the recent claims have been made.

    Quoted message said:

    Someone needs to take a big broom to the FDA. They don't seem to be
    doing what you are paying them to do. Not that it's any different for
    the Aussie, Kiwi or Canuck regulatory bodies.

    What they are SUPPOSED to do is impossible. The mandate is
    to have "safe, effective" drugs. But these do not exist.
    However, essentially only they get the "full" information (an
    impossibility) on safety and effectiveness, and they make the
    decisions.

    The result of this is that errors of both kinds are made.
    With the pressures they have, they are more likely to block
    something which has even a few clearly dangerous side effects
    recognizable as being produced by the drug, such as the
    immediate muscle problems with statins. But when the side
    effects are small increases in rates of dying from other
    causes, these are difficult to ascertain; an increase of
    10% in dying from something would not be statistically
    significant (this is not the right criterion, but is an
    indication) if one observes an increase from 100 to 110.

    --
    This address is for information only. I do not claim that these views
    are those of the Statistics Department or of Purdue University.
    Herman Rubin, Department of Statistics, Purdue University
    [email hidden] Phone: (765)494-6054 FAX: (765)494-0558

  2. "Herman Rubin" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    In article <[email hidden]>,

    Zee said:

    "Bill" <[email hidden]> wrote in message


    news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:

    So Bill, I read the following to say:

    Quoted message said:

    1.The goal of statin therapy is to reduce the odds of dying of a heart
    attack or stroke, not just lower cholesterol numbers.

    Yes. The claim of the studies, not by the drug companies
    to get the statins approved, is that lowering the cholesterol
    numbers will do this. There is a fair amount of evidence
    that lowering quite high cholesterol levels does this, at
    least on the average.

    Quoted message said:

    2. Despite millions spent on clinical trials, researchers could not
    prove lowering cholesterol had any effect on life expectancy.

    The clinical trials CANNOT be long enough for this.

    Yes, they accept the proxy of lower cholesterol as being predictive of
    what they want.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    3. Pharmas need only prove to FDA the drug lowers cholesterol.

    This is not so; they also need to prove to their satisfaction
    that the drug does not have too nasty side effects too often
    during the required tests.

    But as the active part, they only do need to show it lowers cholesterol
    and that this is always supposed to be good.

    Quoted message said:

    Once the drug is approved by the FDA for some purposes, it
    can be used for any other, with few restrictions. So if
    statins reduce deaths over the period of study for approval
    in reducing cholesterol from 400 to 200, and does not have
    too high an incidence of side effects over the same period,
    they get approved. Once one statin is approved, another one
    has to be compared to the ones approved.

    But reducing cholesterol from 400 to 200, or reducing LDL
    from 300 to 130, is not the same as reducing LDL from
    130 to 100 or 70 or even lower. And it is these reductions
    for which the recent claims have been made.

    Quoted message said:

    Someone needs to take a big broom to the FDA. They don't seem to be
    doing what you are paying them to do. Not that it's any different for
    the Aussie, Kiwi or Canuck regulatory bodies.

    What they are SUPPOSED to do is impossible. The mandate is
    to have "safe, effective" drugs. But these do not exist.
    However, essentially only they get the "full" information (an
    impossibility) on safety and effectiveness, and they make the
    decisions.

    The result of this is that errors of both kinds are made.
    With the pressures they have, they are more likely to block
    something which has even a few clearly dangerous side effects
    recognizable as being produced by the drug, such as the
    immediate muscle problems with statins. But when the side
    effects are small increases in rates of dying from other
    causes, these are difficult to ascertain; an increase of
    10% in dying from something would not be statistically
    significant (this is not the right criterion, but is an
    indication) if one observes an increase from 100 to 110.

    And the issue of self-selection is very great here too. There are
    zillions of people who cannot afford statins every month, and are not
    interested in clinical studies and live outside the area where such studies
    are done. The UK populations are probably less self-selected due to the
    NHS, and those studies showd only a very slight mortality decrease. The USA
    doctors are on a roll now and you will have to fight your doctor off with a
    stick if you don't want to be on statins immediately.

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