Hmmm. Well, of course I'm going to be a geek about this and try to answer it with a bit of math. How often can you expect a flat tire? For our weather, climate and road conditions in Vancouver I get the following rate:
Our team's Saturday ride has an average of ~20 people show up every week. Sometimes more, sometimes a bit less. We ride anywhere between 90 and 110 km, and we average one flat every 2 rides. More often if it's raining (once per ride) and a bit less if has been dry for a while.
Therefore, we travel 20 x 2 x 100 = 4000 km as a group per flat tire. If it's raining and wet, It's more like 2000 km per flat tire. Of course, this is only the average rate. Since it lies on a probability curve you can expect to have a flat any time you ride...
John Swanson
www.bikephysics.com