The last ITT is flat, we'll have to see how Ras does, but my guess is he won't do well. Your right on the other points, but I doubt any of the DSs thought Ras was a serious threat, it also seems they didn't feel Rogers was a threat either. I think they were more waiting for Vino and Astana to react based on Vino being the odds on favorite. Ras hasn't gone on mutli day attacks like this in past Tours, so if have have 2 more stages like 14, then we may see something interesting.
Whatever the final outcome it was a great stage to see unfold. I look forward to the next 2.