C
Colin Blackburn
Guest
Steve Firth wrote:
> Colin Blackburn <[email protected]> wrote:
>> I asked where your figures came from
>
>
> Oh, I ignored you because I didnt consider you stupid enough to not
> have noticed that they came from the report I referred to in the post
> that you replied to.
This is what you said:
> The windpower advocates constantly shy away from the true cost of
> providing wind energy, the truth is that for every 100MW of windpower
> generating capacity we will need a minimum of 65 MW of backup
> generation (absolutely the most generous estimate available to-date,
> more usually, 80MW is estimated as the required backup/100MW of
> windpower.)
>
> In "The Costs of Generating Electricity" the Royal Academy of
> Engineering quotes nuclear and gas turbine generation at 2.3p/kWH and
> wind at 3.7 to 5.5p/kWH. To which you an add another 1.7p/kWH as the
> cost of providing backup for when the wind doesn't blow.
I asked for the source of your figures for the first paragraph. I assume
you are suggesting that the source is that quoted in the second
paragraph. The report from the RAEng does not support your first
paragraph. It does not say what you have said.
It says that wind energy has a capacity factor of between 20% and 35%,
in fact it quotes a figure as high as 45% but confines that one to a
footnote. They do not say that a capacity factor of 35% means that there
should be a backup generation need of 65%. That is to misunderstand what
capacity factor means.
The costs of wind energy partly derive from its inherent capacity
factor, as they do for coal, gas and nuclear. I.e. the costs include the
fact that wind turbines run at 35% (in their example) capacity. Standby
generation (or storage) is needed for the intermittency, not the
inherent capacity factor. There is no suggestion that an older 100MW
gas-fired station with a capacity factor of 60% needs 40MW back-up, it
doesn't.
If all the turbines in the UK stopped turning at the same time a standby
capacity would need to cope with the loss of their capacity, ie 35MW
standby for a 100MW (peak-rated) system. In fact it's more than this,
somewhere between 35 and 65, but the point is that it is much less than 65.
HTH
Colin
> Colin Blackburn <[email protected]> wrote:
>> I asked where your figures came from
>
>
> Oh, I ignored you because I didnt consider you stupid enough to not
> have noticed that they came from the report I referred to in the post
> that you replied to.
This is what you said:
> The windpower advocates constantly shy away from the true cost of
> providing wind energy, the truth is that for every 100MW of windpower
> generating capacity we will need a minimum of 65 MW of backup
> generation (absolutely the most generous estimate available to-date,
> more usually, 80MW is estimated as the required backup/100MW of
> windpower.)
>
> In "The Costs of Generating Electricity" the Royal Academy of
> Engineering quotes nuclear and gas turbine generation at 2.3p/kWH and
> wind at 3.7 to 5.5p/kWH. To which you an add another 1.7p/kWH as the
> cost of providing backup for when the wind doesn't blow.
I asked for the source of your figures for the first paragraph. I assume
you are suggesting that the source is that quoted in the second
paragraph. The report from the RAEng does not support your first
paragraph. It does not say what you have said.
It says that wind energy has a capacity factor of between 20% and 35%,
in fact it quotes a figure as high as 45% but confines that one to a
footnote. They do not say that a capacity factor of 35% means that there
should be a backup generation need of 65%. That is to misunderstand what
capacity factor means.
The costs of wind energy partly derive from its inherent capacity
factor, as they do for coal, gas and nuclear. I.e. the costs include the
fact that wind turbines run at 35% (in their example) capacity. Standby
generation (or storage) is needed for the intermittency, not the
inherent capacity factor. There is no suggestion that an older 100MW
gas-fired station with a capacity factor of 60% needs 40MW back-up, it
doesn't.
If all the turbines in the UK stopped turning at the same time a standby
capacity would need to cope with the loss of their capacity, ie 35MW
standby for a 100MW (peak-rated) system. In fact it's more than this,
somewhere between 35 and 65, but the point is that it is much less than 65.
HTH
Colin