jk9270 said:
Yeah,
I started the CTL at 0. I had some training in already, so the ramp rate probably isn't 100% accurate. Lately the rate of increase has slacked off a bit. I use my best normalized 60 min power to set FTP which is 340. I know my average rides for the last few weeks have been about 160tss. That is about 5-6 days per week.
Is CTL a straight average of tss/days? That would have it peaking between 118 and 130 if my math is correct.
No. It's an exponentially weighted moving average, with the time constant dictating the "rate of decay" for the weighting applied to workouts on previous days.
e.g. the 42 day TC for CTL means a workout two weeks ago has more weighting in the calculation of CTL than it does in the calculation of ATL, where the TC is more like 7 days.
Try seeding your Performance Manager chart with a CTL/ATL number that roughly reflects how much riding you'd been doing up to that point (the start date).
e.g.
CTL seed ~= average hours per week for previous 2 months x 8
ATL seed ~= average hours per week for previous 2 weeks x 8
you only need to seed the very first chart, thereafter WKO knows what start values to use.
In any case, after 3-4 months you'll see the numbers converge but it might help to put the CTL ramp into a little better context for you.
Using your best 60-min NP may or may not be a good guide for FTP, it depends on whether those 60-min numbers come from very hard efforts (e.g. a hard race or a TT). If not, then it is likely you have underestimated your FTP. That in turn would artificially inflate TSS and of course CTL.