The best way to improve safety for cyclists in a city...



On 29 Nov 2004 04:44:53 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote in message
<[email protected]>:

>>And you're backing out of explaining what your method really is.


>It is quite difficult to pin down
>in words but I made an admirable
>attempt in my recent post to Guy,
>which he of course snipped and
>pretended I never wrote.


Failed attempt, actually. Never mind.

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
On 29 Nov 2004 04:49:20 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote in message
<[email protected]>:

>Why don't you answer what I actually
>wrote instead of making up all this
>crazy ****. Or maybe you don't have an
>answer to what I actually wrote.


What you wrote is crazy ****! Really!

It sounds to me like you are saying that because putting yourself
where they are looking is only 98% effective, you should concentrate
100% on the remaining 2%, which is the thing called experience or
intuition. Experience is famously hard to teach!

Tell me again: if you see a car stationary at a side turning, do you
ride past? And if so, what do you do about the fact that one time in
[insert random large number] the car will drive into the side of you?
Me, I keep an eye on the car in my peripheral vision and realign
myself so I don't get T-boned; your technique avoids the incident
altogether. How?

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
On 28 Nov 2004 23:24:51 -0800, [email protected] (RobertH) wrote in
message <[email protected]>:

>Whether you are seen or not is not up to you, it's up
>to them. The best you can do is place yourself
>in the best position at the best speed to mitigate
>a worst case scenario, within reason.


And, having given an example where I did *precisely* that, you've told
me I was doing it wrong. Can you blame me for being confused?

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
On 29 Nov 2004 04:52:21 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote in message
<[email protected]>:

>Why are you pretending that I didn't answer this
>already?


Because your answer described, in my view, what I did, so obviously
there is some other mystery factor.

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
On 29 Nov 2004 20:12:23 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote in message
<[email protected]>:

>It's an obvious and fundamental difference.
>I accept responsibility for my own mistake
>which contributed to the accident. Guy
>refuses to accept responsibility for his
>collision.


Ah, so THAT's where you're coming from. In which case you are this:
an idiot.

Having done everything in my power to avoid being killed by the twunt,
including taking all the avoiding action that prevented the collision
being fatal, I think I can safely assign 100% of the blame to the
other party.

I am perfectly prepared to accept when I have made mistakes, and am
notoriously outspoken in blaming most bike - pedestrian collisions on
the cyclist. This time? Not me, guv.

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
Frank K:

>> I accept responsibility for my own mistake
>> which contributed to the accident. Guy
>> refuses to accept responsibility for his
>> collision. To me, the collision is an undeniable
>> failure. To Guy, his collision is proof of
>> his success!! And with that attitude, he
>> can look forward to a lot more success.

>
>Ah. So the difference is not in riding technique at all.


You can keep saying that, but it doesn't
make it true.

The fact that I accept--no, make that take, hoard--responsibility for my own
safety in traffic effects
every single move I make. The fact that Guy refuses
to take responsibility for his own safety effects
every move that he makes.

>Since car-bike crashes are actually very uncommon (on a per-mile basis),
>
>I think we can agree that over 99.9% of the time, there is no difference
>
>at all between your own method and Effective Cycling.


Well that's just not true, but for the sake of
argument let's assume it is. How you deal with
99.? % of drivers who see you is just about
completely irrelevant. What matters is how you
deal with those who don't. When the inevitable
intrusion comes, where will you be on the road, how
fast will you be going, and what will be your state of
mind? That's what matters.

The degree of surprise you feel when
somebody pulls in front of you is a direct
reflection of the amount of faith and trust
you put into drivers' capacity to see and
notice you.

Robert
 
Guy :

>Having done everything in my power to avoid being >killed by the twunt,


Wrong.

I explained how you could have avoided this
collision altogether. You failed to take the
most basic preventive steps. You had the
power to avoid this collision, by maximizing
space and adjusting speed, and yet you
failed to exercise it. You failed, failed, failed.
In the end, you were simply lucky that you
werent badly injured.

Your inability to recognize your mistake,
much less accept responsibility for it, while
simultaneously lashing out at any suggestion
that you should take more responsibility for
yourself, is really good stuff. Keep it up.

Robert
 
Guy:

>What really puzzles me here is Robert's apparent insistence that he
>"makes space" without being seen. I don't know how to do that!


You're being willfully stupid. If there is
space available (it is your job to know how
much space is available and for how long),
and it would be wise to use it, use it.
Not that hard.

Robert
 
"Just zis Guy, you know?" <[email protected]> wrote:

> Er, except that I did anticipate and did have a way out. Other
> cyclists in the same position have ended up with a trip in an
> ambulance. Sometimes one-way. 50% of cyclist fatalities on
> roundabouts are due to precisely that: driver fails to yield to
> circulating cyclist.


Er, you hit the car. If you "did have a way out,"
why didn't you use it?

R
 
Frank Krygowski <[email protected]> wrote in part:

> I agree with Steven on this one. Robert looks on EC as dogma which the
> followers may never violate, but it's not presented that way and it's
> not used that way.


<snip>

> ... But Forester's done literally groundbreaking work,
> and it's paid off. If you ride by his principles, you'll find they work.


You had me right up until the end there.

It's true that Forester has greatly helped and
elevated cyclists and we owe him a debt of
gratitude. But his principles, as principles, ultimately
fail, as evidenced by the fact that even the most
basic of them must be qualified to pieces, and
by the fact that nobody actually follows these
principles consistently. If he had said "Most of
the time, cyclists fare best when they act and are treated
as drivers of vehicles," nobody could argue with that.
But that's not what he said.

The worst thing about EC is not the system itself but
the sneering, holier-than-thou disciples who are
incapable of admitting their mistakes.

Robert
 
R15757 wrote:

> Frank K:
>
>
>>Ah. So the difference is not in riding technique at all.

>
>
> You can keep saying that, but it doesn't
> make it true.
>
> The fact that I accept--no, make that take, hoard--responsibility for my own
> safety in traffic effects
> every single move I make.


I assume you meant "affects." Given that, why do you think your riding
is any different from mine? It sounds to me like you and I ride in the
same place on the road, are both alert to motorist actions, and are both
aware of countermeasures that may be necessary. I honestly think the
main difference is, you think I'm somehow riding properly for the wrong
reasons, and that you think I should be more afraid.

It's as if you're saying a person must be Presbyterian to ride properly;
Methodists think the wrong thoughts! In my view, if there's no
behavioral difference, there's no practical difference.

>
>>Since car-bike crashes are actually very uncommon (on a per-mile basis),
>>
>>I think we can agree that over 99.9% of the time, there is no difference
>>
>>at all between your own method and Effective Cycling.

>
>
> Well that's just not true, but for the sake of
> argument let's assume it is. How you deal with
> 99.? % of drivers who see you is just about
> completely irrelevant. What matters is how you
> deal with those who don't. When the inevitable
> intrusion comes, where will you be on the road, how
> fast will you be going, and what will be your state of
> mind? That's what matters.


Again: the intrusions you describe are so rare it matters little. In my
case, I can recall three such incidences... two on one particular day.

I'm sure there have been more, but they're so minor they don't come to
mind, partly because I've handled them all perfectly - that is, no
car-bike contact at all. Of the three I recall, I avoided one car by an
EC-style instant turn. I avoided the other two by yelling, swerving
further away from the car (for greater clearance) and either stopping or
slowing to a crawl.

100% success record. I don't expect anyone can do much better.


>
> The degree of surprise you feel when
> somebody pulls in front of you is a direct
> reflection of the amount of faith and trust
> you put into drivers' capacity to see and
> notice you.


Whatever. I watch for such things, and when they've (rarely) happened,
I've reacted perfectly. Those are the facts, long-distance
bike-messenger psychoanalysis notwithstanding.

--
--------------------+
Frank Krygowski [To reply, remove rodent and vegetable dot com,
replace with cc.ysu dot edu]
 
On Mon, 29 Nov 2004 22:19:32 -0500, Frank Krygowski
<[email protected]> wrote:

> R15757 wrote:
>
>> Frank K:
>>
>>
>>> Ah. So the difference is not in riding technique at all.

>>
>>
>> You can keep saying that, but it doesn't
>> make it true.
>>
>> The fact that I accept--no, make that take, hoard--responsibility for
>> my own
>> safety in traffic effects
>> every single move I make.

>
> I assume you meant "affects."


Damn typos. You would think there would be a grammar checker in a
10+MB program.

Given that, why do you think your riding
> is any different from mine? It sounds to me like you and I ride in the
> same place on the road, are both alert to motorist actions, and are both
> aware of countermeasures that may be necessary. I honestly think the
> main difference is, you think I'm somehow riding properly for the wrong
> reasons, and that you think I should be more afraid.


Not at all, but I have had times where I heard a lot of cars coming
up on my position and found it prudent to just pull over, get off
the bike and watch the train of cars go by. Some times the big rigs
will get so close that even if the first one sees me and moves over
the ones behind him won't see me in time. I just practice safe riding
and if that rubs somebody the wrong way it is not intentional.
>
> It's as if you're saying a person must be Presbyterian to ride properly;
> Methodists think the wrong thoughts! In my view, if there's no
> behavioral difference, there's no practical difference.


No, but have you seen those born again types all dressed up in suits
riding bikes and carrying the watchtower?
>
>>
>>> Since car-bike crashes are actually very uncommon (on a per-mile
>>> basis),
>>>
>>> I think we can agree that over 99.9% of the time, there is no
>>> difference
>>>
>>> at all between your own method and Effective Cycling.

>>
>>
>> Well that's just not true, but for the sake of
>> argument let's assume it is. How you deal with
>> 99.? % of drivers who see you is just about
>> completely irrelevant. What matters is how you
>> deal with those who don't. When the inevitable
>> intrusion comes, where will you be on the road, how
>> fast will you be going, and what will be your state of
>> mind? That's what matters.

>
> Again: the intrusions you describe are so rare it matters little. In my
> case, I can recall three such incidences... two on one particular day.
>
> I'm sure there have been more, but they're so minor they don't come to
> mind, partly because I've handled them all perfectly - that is, no
> car-bike contact at all. Of the three I recall, I avoided one car by an
> EC-style instant turn. I avoided the other two by yelling, swerving
> further away from the car (for greater clearance) and either stopping or
> slowing to a crawl.
>
> 100% success record. I don't expect anyone can do much better.
>

Same here, some close ones but no contact.
>
>>
>> The degree of surprise you feel when somebody pulls in front of you is
>> a direct
>> reflection of the amount of faith and trust you put into drivers'
>> capacity to see and
>> notice you.

>
> Whatever. I watch for such things, and when they've (rarely) happened,
> I've reacted perfectly. Those are the facts, long-distance
> bike-messenger psychoanalysis notwithstanding.
>

Same again, but it does get me ****** when somebody looks to the left
for oncoming cars, has to see me, and then pulls out anyway. There
must be some mental mechanism that says "Don't pull out in front of semi
but bicycles can't dent my car." That kind of near accident happens a
lot and causes me to be on high alert whenever I am near mini malls or
stores. My avoidance mechanism is to assume they don't register that I
am a vehicle so I loop behind them when it is safe to do so. So far I
haven't had anybody put it in reverse and floor it, but it could happen.
Bicycle riding is kind of like chess, think a few moves ahead.


--
Bill (?) Baka
 
On 29 Nov 2004 18:51:20 -0800, [email protected] (RobertH) wrote:

>> Er, except that I did anticipate and did have a way out. Other
>> cyclists in the same position have ended up with a trip in an
>> ambulance. Sometimes one-way. 50% of cyclist fatalities on
>> roundabouts are due to precisely that: driver fails to yield to
>> circulating cyclist.


>Er, you hit the car. If you "did have a way out,"
>why didn't you use it?


Actually the car hit me. If I'd been riding a wedgie it would have
missed, but tiller-steered recumbents are not amenable to
body-English.

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
On 30 Nov 2004 02:06:12 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote:

>Guy:
>
>>What really puzzles me here is Robert's apparent insistence that he
>>"makes space" without being seen. I don't know how to do that!


>You're being willfully stupid. If there is
>space available (it is your job to know how
>much space is available and for how long),
>and it would be wise to use it, use it.
>Not that hard.


Right. So how *exactly* do you predict which stationary cars are
going to start away when you are halfway past them?

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
On 30 Nov 2004 01:49:10 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote:

>The fact that Guy refuses
>to take responsibility for his own safety effects
>every move that he makes.


Oh look, everybody, a straw man! Let's see if we can knock it down.

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
RobertH wrote:
> Frank Krygowski <[email protected]> wrote in part:
>
>
>>I agree with Steven on this one. Robert looks on EC as dogma which the
>>followers may never violate, but it's not presented that way and it's
>>not used that way.

>
>
> <snip>
>
>>... But Forester's done literally groundbreaking work,
>>and it's paid off. If you ride by his principles, you'll find they work.

>
>
> You had me right up until the end there.


If you object only to the end, we're making progress. In particular, if
you understand you're wrong in viewing EC techniques as
never-to-be-violated dogma, then your views are getting more accurate.


>
> It's true that Forester has greatly helped and
> elevated cyclists and we owe him a debt of
> gratitude.


Yes.

But his principles, as principles, ultimately
> fail, as evidenced by the fact that even the most
> basic of them must be qualified to pieces, and
> by the fact that nobody actually follows these
> principles consistently.


Here, you're regressing.

First, can you name _any_ practical advice that doesn't need
qualification? Anything from "Look both ways before crossing the
street" to "Thou Shalt Not Kill" deserves _some_ qualification (and "to
pieces" is an unquantified judgement on your part).

Second, you're simply mistaken when you say nobody actually follows
those principles consistently. There are many, many of us who do so,
and very successfully.

If he had said "Most of
> the time, cyclists fare best when they act and are treated
> as drivers of vehicles," nobody could argue with that.
> But that's not what he said.


I think you're misunderstanding the meaning, and purpose, of his
statement. And I suppose the same is true for many other statements.

People profit from having clear statements of principles. Such
statements need to be concise to be memorable - that is, to be useful as
reminders. Furthermore, as previously mentioned, when Forester coined
the sentence "Cyclists fare best when they act and are treated
> as drivers of vehicles," momentum was gathering to force cyclists off

the roads onto parallel bike paths. The statement is useful to remind
people that such schemes won't work - and to remind cyclists how to
handle almost all situations on the road.

Exceptions? Sure, they exist, just as they exist for "Thou Shalt Not
Kill." But if one were to start listing all conceivable exceptions,
they'd lose most of the benefit of a concise statement of principle.
And you wouldn't gain any significant benefit, because OF COURSE people
understand there will always be unusual exceptions. Or at least, _most_
people will understand this.

> The worst thing about EC is not the system itself but
> the sneering, holier-than-thou disciples who are
> incapable of admitting their mistakes.


Hmmm. It sounds as if you can't admit that there can be different
judgement about a particular traffic situation. A neutral observer
might wonder about _your_ attitude, as evidenced by that last sentence!


Whatever you might think, it's safe to say that the principles of
Effective Cycling have changed the American approach to bicycle
training, and much for the better. They've helped preserve our rights
to the road, and they've taught hundreds of thousands of cyclists how to
ride safely and confidently wherever they desired to ride.

So far, the "RobertH" school of bike advice hasn't accomplished nearly
as much. You're not even convincing the few people reading this! It
may be that you need to re-write your first edition manuscript before
you submit it to MIT Press.



--
Frank Krygowski [To reply, remove rodent and vegetable dot com.
Substitute cc dot ysu dot
edu]
 
On 30 Nov 2004 01:58:37 GMT, [email protected] (R15757) wrote:

>>Having done everything in my power to avoid being >killed by the twunt,


>I explained how you could have avoided this
>collision altogether.


HOW?!?!?!

You HAVE NOT described how I could have avoided Captain Clueless
starting off from stationary when I was driving past the front of his
mobile death greenhouse! All you have done is blame me for turning a
potentially serious crash into a trivial one, instead of avoiding it
altogether, but without ONCE telling me at which precise point your
wonderful theory would have kicked in and prevented it altogether.

>You failed to take the
>most basic preventive steps. You had the
>power to avoid this collision, by maximizing
>space and adjusting speed, and yet you
>failed to exercise it. You failed, failed, failed.


OK, so what would you have done? Stopped, in the grounds that any
driver could, at any time, start away into the side of you as you
pass? Or ridden on a different road?

>In the end, you were simply lucky that you
>werent badly injured.


No, I was not badly injured because I was aware of what was going on
around me and moved away from the car. Frank says that this is a
standard EC manoeuvre. There is only so much road!

>Your inability to recognize your mistake,
>much less accept responsibility for it, while
>simultaneously lashing out at any suggestion
>that you should take more responsibility for
>yourself, is really good stuff. Keep it up.


I am always willing to accept responsibility and learn from my own
mistakes. Teaching point for you: precisely which part of the
manoeuvre would you have done differently?

I cannot see how you can EVER ride across the front of a stationary
vehicle of any kind without risking this kind of collision. I can see
how you can prevent it being serious, as I did. I'm sure if I'd been
on the wedgie I could have missed the idiot altogether.

It sounds, as Frank says, as if you are so obsessed with the 0.1% or
less that you want to throw away all of the 99.9% to achieve it!

And what would you have done in the bail-out situation as posted in
the same message?

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

88% of helmet statistics are made up, 65% of them at Washington University
 
Frank K wrote in part:

>> The fact that I accept--no, make that take, hoard--responsibility for

>my own
>> safety in traffic effects
>> every single move I make.

>
>I assume you meant "affects." Given that, why do you think your riding
>is any different from mine? It sounds to me like you >and I ride in the
>same place on the road, are both alert to motorist actions, and are both
>aware of countermeasures that may be necessary...


Frank, I miss the old days, when you used to
fall all over yourself trying to prove that my
riding style was Pure Evil. Now, you are falling
all over yourself trying to prove that my
riding style is exactly like yours!

Priceless! But I think you were probably closer
to the truth before.

>100% success record. I don't expect anyone can do much better.


Pride goeth before the fall.

Robert
 
Guy asked:

>>If there is
>>space available (it is your job to know how
>>much space is available and for how long),
>>and it would be wise to use it, use it.
>>Not that hard.

>
>Right. So how *exactly* do you predict which stationary cars are
>going to start away when you are halfway past them?


Hey if it's really a stationary car, and you're
halfway past it, no problem, you're in the clear.

Unless of course you failed to leave an appropriate
amount of space like some kind of idiot.

Robert
 
Bill Baka wrote in part:

> ... it does get me ****** when somebody looks to the left
> for oncoming cars, has to see me, and then pulls out anyway. There
> must be some mental mechanism that says "Don't pull out in front of semi
> but bicycles can't dent my car."


You're reading too much into these incidents.
The drivers simply didn't notice you were
there, that's all. They turned their head quickly
to glance for cars and trucks. There weren't
any.

Robert
 

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