W
William Asher
Guest
"SLAVE of THE STATE" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:
<snip>
> I think the end points are the stickler. My point was simply that
> both domains should be looked at -- I think that would help in
> choosing a filter. You think not?
I think that if you ignore all the things that are known to correlate
with global temperature and are aperiodic in nature, such as ENSO, then
any filtering you do in order to try to find trends in the short-term
temperature record is the intellectual equivalent of a pud pulling party.
The current flattening out of global temperature, as I said before, is
probably because we've been in La Nina conditions for 2004-2005. El Nino
was officially declared a month or so ago, and global temperatures will
go up next year (or maybe this year, there's a lag between El Nino and
temperature but I can't remember if it's from the "official" start or
when then Southern Oscillation index reverses, which is a months ahead of
the official start). Or something like that anyway.
--
Bill Asher
news:[email protected]:
<snip>
> I think the end points are the stickler. My point was simply that
> both domains should be looked at -- I think that would help in
> choosing a filter. You think not?
I think that if you ignore all the things that are known to correlate
with global temperature and are aperiodic in nature, such as ENSO, then
any filtering you do in order to try to find trends in the short-term
temperature record is the intellectual equivalent of a pud pulling party.
The current flattening out of global temperature, as I said before, is
probably because we've been in La Nina conditions for 2004-2005. El Nino
was officially declared a month or so ago, and global temperatures will
go up next year (or maybe this year, there's a lag between El Nino and
temperature but I can't remember if it's from the "official" start or
when then Southern Oscillation index reverses, which is a months ahead of
the official start). Or something like that anyway.
--
Bill Asher