Evans attacks and wins.
http://www.cyclingweekly.co.uk/news/First_blood_to_Evans_article_181372.html
http://www.cyclingweekly.co.uk/news/First_blood_to_Evans_article_181372.html
There's a first time for everything
- Thread starter Bro Deal
- Start date
Interesting to see Unibet's odds for TdF:
Unibet.com's current odds for victory in the 2008 Tour de France
Cadel Evans 3.00
Denis Menchov 7.00
Alejandro Valverde 8.00
Carlos Sastre 9.00
Damiano Cunego 17.00
Michael Rogers 18.00
Andy Schleck 20.00
Oscar Pereiro 25.00
Yaroslav Popovych 30.00
Thomas Dekker 30.00
Jose Angel Gomez Marchante 30.00
Christophe Moreau 30.00
Unibet.com's current odds for victory in the 2008 Tour de France
Cadel Evans 3.00
Denis Menchov 7.00
Alejandro Valverde 8.00
Carlos Sastre 9.00
Damiano Cunego 17.00
Michael Rogers 18.00
Andy Schleck 20.00
Oscar Pereiro 25.00
Yaroslav Popovych 30.00
Thomas Dekker 30.00
Jose Angel Gomez Marchante 30.00
Christophe Moreau 30.00
he has attacked in Liege in 2004, I think you forget. I think an attack on St Nicholas in Liege speaks to his ability.TheDarkLord said:
That broke the field, but Vino and Voigt had the gap already.
I think he finished 5th behind Boogy and Bettini, but he made the race.
And he attacked on about stage 15 in the Tour in 04. But that was when the GC actors allowed him to attack.
Then he attacked on about stage 8 this year with Contador, on the downhill mtn finish stage Soler won.
I agree he follows wheels. But if he follows wheels because he does not have the legs, must be asked first. And everyone saw how hot Rass was.
He came second in the first tt, and second in the last tt, where Levi got his bus gas and blood transfusion.
Lets talk facts, I dont like Evans, think he is a whinger, but he is a very talented rider, and I dont think he has one of the eggregious doping programs like Disco/Rasmussen.
I may be wrong on that however.
Stage 16 in the 2005 Tour - in 2004 he was with T-mob and they didn't pick him for the Tour team ...thunder said:
I'd put Andy Schleck up a bit and Oscar Pereiro down a bit. Sorry but Oscar should never have won a tour (2nd or 1st - take your pick depending on how you feel about Flandis). The only thing more outrageous than Floyd Landis recovery of over 8 minutes is Oscar Pereiro hanging in with the big guns on those last few climbs and then pulling out the time trial of his career. Sorry, I rant.TheDarkLord said:
Good on Evans for the win. I would not be sorry to see him win the Tdf this year. I can think of lots of Pros I would rather not see on the podium.
I would give better odds for Menchov. Moreau's odds are too good.padawan said:
In fact I think all the odds are farked up. I would tighten everything up. Evans is surely the favorite, but there are fewer ITT kilometers this year. There are a lot of riders who have a decent shot at winning, but the odds don't reflect that.
IMO the dark horses on that list are Rogers and Cunego. Both really untrialled in a full focussed effort in the TdF.
I would say Rogers odds should be worse than Cunego. Rogers has never shown he can consistently climb with the big boys. He seems fragile, sort of the opposite of Evans, who just plods along and never really melts down but never shows much inspired racing either.Crankyfeet said:
Cuengo has won a GT, but that was a long time ago. I think Cunego was seriously juiced when he won the Giro and has now cut back. He's a step below where he used to be. I still think he has a decent shot at the podium if he truly peaks for the Tour and does not get distracted by the Giro.
You can't really judge him (Rogers) on last year's race. That accident was just bad luck. The guy can TT with the best (World Championship gold?) and when he went down he was climbing at the front. I don't know enough about the guy as a climber though, and my experience watching pro cyclists pales next to the Bros, lims, and thunders of this forum (to mention just three guys here out of a bunch of 50+ who supercede my experience....Bro Deal said:
)I do think that a team leader though should be given a lot more edge than a support guy. What happened last year with Disco and Rabo was quite rare, was it not (the changing of the team leader mid-race)? How does a reasonably probable scenario pan out where Andy Schleck suddenly comes into contention if Sastre is the Queen Bee?
Bro, I'd agree with that about both Rogers and Cunego - and remember that Cunego was given a handy escape in the Giro that netted him lots of time. That's why Simoni was so dark - he gave cheap time to his teammate and had it used against him.Bro Deal said:
Rogers has never been able to hold it with the very top riders, but if they drop down to 400W, I think he will be in the mix. Depends on how well prepared they are this year.
Thunder - I recall another few times Evans attacked - for one, Lombardia 2004. IIRC, he went hard with a few K to go, but was chased back by Basso and Cunego. He wanted to go again with a couple of km to go but T-Mobile ordered him to lead it all out for Nardello - so he sat it out at the front... and Nardello dropped off the back.
He also attacked in the Tassie Tour in 1998 and 1999 - won each time with a go up Mt Wellington. Beat Nathan O'Neill in 99, (and maybe in the prologue too).
Rogers can (or used to be able to) time trial with the best at a single day time trial event. In GTs he has not been so good. I don't think he recovers well. Maybe he's relatively clean.Crankyfeet said:
Rogers strikes me as a rider who can do half a GT well before fading in the latter half. I have a hard time seeing him winning.
We'll have to get Thunder's opinion. He's da man.
That's what Levi used to be like at Gerolsteiner, before he moved to Disco and learned the technique of fast cadence and met a nicer doctor.Bro Deal said:
Remember he (Cunego) had glandular fever too. That can really knock you around. I had it and I never got back to my previous levels of strength until at least 2 years after I got over it. I don't doubt he was juiced when he won the Giro but there could be other reasons for his decline. Lets see how he goes this year.Bro Deal said:
cunego and nardello were dropped at one stage were not they, and they got back on the downhillRunitout said:
trying to remember who was in the final three, Basso, Evans, not Bartoli? Think Bartoli would have pantsed Cunego had it been a small kick, which Cunego won, but the warrior did not lose too many of those sprints.
Damn, forget it.
On Simoni, when it counted in the final week, Cunego was outclimbing Simoni, and that Tour there was only one tt about 35 km and the 10 km prologue where Mcgee handed the Italians there arses. The commissaires gave hi a 30 sec penality for a sticky bidon, which he vehemently denied ever even going back for a drink in the final 10 km. Still finished 8th (or was it 7th) with only one 35 km tt. Gonchar beat him by about 30 seconds in the tt.
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