I diasgree with argument about the third week because Lance usually had to stay together with Jan in last mountain stages, he didn't have to gain a time on him. Therefore, everybody thought that Jan is stronger during the last week than he is in the first part of the race. If Lance wanted to he would attack Jan in the end of race. I think Basso will peak for the last week and deadly mountain attack will prepeared for one of the Alpine stages.bobke said:Anyway... this is why I feel they designed the course for Jan, the selective climbs like AlpedHuez wont happen till he already has climbing in his legs as he always does the second or third week.l
I've analysed the profile of the Beret. The first two kilometres here is 5%, then 1km with 2% and then 10km with 6%, there is no 7% or 8% sections. At Courchavel Jan managed to survive first 10km with sections in range from 6% to 9%. If Jan's form is at the same level as in last year or a bit better he must have no problems to survive the Beret. The Beret is the easiest of any of the first Tour's mountaintop finishes Jan's carreer has ever experienced.