General fitness, health and nutrition · Public discussion

Re: Obesity Danger May Have Been Overstated

Started by Roger Zoul · · Last activity · 6 posts · 297 views

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General fitness, health and nutrition
Published
20 April 2005
Last activity
21 April 2005
Original author
Roger Zoul
Posts
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  1. Harold Groot wrote:

    :: The other thing this does is point out the difficulties in assessing
    :: the risks from obesity. The CDC originally estimated 400k annual
    :: deaths, and when there was great outcry about that number they
    :: dropped it to 365k. Now here it is only a few months later and they
    :: drop it to 26k. Quite a change in a short time.

    This is a valid reason for not rushing off to define a new "normal".

  2. This is another great example of accepted advice being out for decades
    then another study is done that shoots holes in it. The crazy part to
    this, of course, is that in this case, it would seem lots of good data
    should be readily available, as weight is very easy to measure. So, it
    would seem this would be very easy to settle.

    It's also interesting in that it would seem to contradict the idea
    started a few years back that semi- starvation diets were good for you
    and significantly increased longevity. That was based on an animal
    studies where animals fed like 30% less than normal calories lived like
    20% longer than normal. I remember seeing on NBC news an interview
    with a nut in San Francisco that was eating a diet with like 30% less
    calories to live longer. He looked awful, his doctor had already
    warned him that at like 40, he was suffering from reduced bone strength
    and I think he also said his libido had gone kaput and he was no longer
    interested in sex. Wonder what he thinks now? LOL

  3. Roger Zoul said:

    Harold Groot wrote:

    :: The other thing this does is point out the difficulties in assessing
    :: the risks from obesity. The CDC originally estimated 400k annual
    :: deaths, and when there was great outcry about that number they
    :: dropped it to 365k. Now here it is only a few months later and they
    :: drop it to 26k. Quite a change in a short time.

    This is a valid reason for not rushing off to define a new "normal".

    Also, don't underestimate the tendency to grqab fame, briefly, with some
    shoking new "juicy bit of technology or statistics".

    There is a market for "shocking new discoveries", and it isn't limited
    to just grocery store tabloids.

    Publish or perish.

  4. <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    It's also interesting in that it would seem to contradict the idea
    started a few years back that semi- starvation diets were good for you
    and significantly increased longevity. That was based on an animal
    studies where animals fed like 30% less than normal calories lived like
    20% longer than normal. I remember seeing on NBC news an interview
    with a nut in San Francisco that was eating a diet with like 30% less
    calories to live longer. He looked awful, his doctor had already
    warned him that at like 40, he was suffering from reduced bone strength
    and I think he also said his libido had gone kaput and he was no longer
    interested in sex. Wonder what he thinks now? LOL

    I think there may have been a group of them; they thought they could live
    well beyond 100 but as you say they looked awful and their quality of life
    was in the tank. Oh well, whatever turns you on, and at least their lives
    will *seem* long

    Quoted message said:
  5. Anthony said:


    <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    It's also interesting in that it would seem to contradict the idea
    started a few years back that semi- starvation diets were good for you
    and significantly increased longevity. That was based on an animal
    studies where animals fed like 30% less than normal calories lived like
    20% longer than normal. I remember seeing on NBC news an interview
    with a nut in San Francisco that was eating a diet with like 30% less
    calories to live longer. He looked awful, his doctor had already
    warned him that at like 40, he was suffering from reduced bone strength
    and I think he also said his libido had gone kaput and he was no longer
    interested in sex. Wonder what he thinks now? LOL

    I think there may have been a group of them; they thought they could live
    well beyond 100 but as you say they looked awful and their quality of life
    was in the tank. Oh well, whatever turns you on, and at least their lives
    will *seem* long

    Quoted message said:

    they are the CR folks. couple of years ago i also saw a science TV
    programme about these folks. one of the guy went on a CR diet for a
    year, he got a check-up with a doctor and the doctor said that he's
    doing fine, but his bone is getting thinner and he should do some weight
    bearing exercise, something like that.

  6. Roger Zoul said:

    Harold Groot wrote:

    :: The other thing this does is point out the difficulties in assessing
    :: the risks from obesity. The CDC originally estimated 400k annual
    :: deaths, and when there was great outcry about that number they
    :: dropped it to 365k. Now here it is only a few months later and they
    :: drop it to 26k. Quite a change in a short time.

    Quoted message said:

    This is a valid reason for not rushing off to define a new "normal".

    From what I understand a lot of this is "old data". For that matter,
    I recall seeing articles 20 years ago that claimed the Metropolitan
    Life "normal" figures (about 50 years old at that time IIRC) were no
    longer representational based on then-current actuarial tables. This
    just seems a confirmation on that point.

    There appears to be some difficulty in assigning ROOT CAUSES to
    various deaths as shown by the swing in the above figures for "death
    caused by obesity". However, there is very little difficulty about
    getting "expected life" data. Insurance companies do this on a
    routine basis, it's part of how they determine the premiums on a
    policy. People get age and weight recorded at physical exams and this
    is compared to how old they are when they die. If you have a sample of
    hundreds of thousands of people, the random events average out and you
    get very reliable figures for average expected life.

    The problem is, it can be very difficult to change something once it
    has been established - and the "normal weight" tables got very well
    established. But many things have changed about our society in the
    past 70 or so years. Typical amounts of physical activity, how many
    indulge in risky behavior (smoking, etc.), nutritional values of
    typical diets, availability of emergency medical treatment (for heart
    attacks, strokes and other things), the list is long. Some push
    things one way, some push things the other way, some have no overall
    impact on expected lifespan. But the "normal weight" tables remained
    unchanged for a long, long time.

    It all seems rather similar to the way the established medical
    community reacted with horror to the idea of a low carb diet. They
    didn't want to look at studies, they just repeated the dogma they had
    been taught - that all that fat would lead to heart attacks, etc.
    Even when there were many studies showing that their old way of
    thinking was wrong, they continued to attack low carb diets with
    falsehoods like that up until a few years ago. These days their
    acceptance of low carb diets is still most grudging, and still loaded
    with cautionary words that they "don't know if it's safe in the long
    run", but they at least seem to have admitted that they don't have any
    data to indicate it ISN'T safe.

    Change comes slowly.

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