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UK and Europe
Published
26 November 2007
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24 January 2008
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squeaker
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  1. Quoting tam <[email hidden]>:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Also not a new fact. So why has cycling shot up in London?


    Nobody knows the definitive answer-but-I would guess its to do with on a
    bike in the London rush hour you can always move towards your destination

    Also not a new fact. So why has cycling shot up in London?
    --
    David Damerell <[email hidden]> Distortion Field!
    Today is Tuesday, January.

  2. Paul Gannon writtificated

    Quoted message said:

    Please pay attention - I have asked people for the evidence they rely
    on to assert this alleged danger of cycle tracks. All the responses
    make it clear that no one has read any of the sources. I wish they
    would!
    Please try to understand, thanks

    Ok, so we go with the 'LAW' study:

    "Surprisingly, bicycle facilities where no motor vehicles are allowed
    showed the highest accident rate of any variable examined. On-street
    facilities, such as bicycle lanes or routes, showed a very low accident
    rate. The rates for both major and minor streets fell in between."

    Given the small number of facilities that existed back then, I'd treat this
    with some caution. Looking at Franklin's comments of the other studies
    <www.bikexprt.com/research/kaplan/recom.htm> you can see a pattern emerging
    - off road cycle facilities don't come off well. It's been alleged, in
    this thread, that he has selectively quoted 'to the point of
    misrepresentation' but no one has bothered to (been able to?) give
    examples.

    Given Franklin's reputation I'm more inclined to trust his writing than
    yours. Sorry, but you'll need to do provide good evidence that he's wrong
    rather than just fling accusations[2] and bang on about sources. You say
    you've read 'em - so tell us what they really say! I'm not capable of
    reading most of them critically, in part because I only speak English and
    because I've just a very sketchy knowledge of statistics, the mechanics of
    accident reporting etc etc. Even with the sources in front of me I'd be
    relying mostly on the summaries/conclusions. I'm kinda reliant on other
    people, including you, to provide informed criticism. So far that's only
    come from Franklin.

    [1] <www.bikexprt.com/research/kaplan/recom.htm>

  3. Quoting tam <[email hidden]>:

    Quoted message said:

    Why not go with gut feeling?

    Why go with _your_ gut feeling? Let's go with mine; enforce the traffic
    laws, make sure motorists behave themselves.
    --
    David Damerell <[email hidden]> Distortion Field!
    Today is Tuesday, January.

  4. In article said:
    Richard Fairhurst said:

    So yes, the heaps of [censored] should be opposed, just as heaps of [censored]
    should be opposed in any walk of life. But I fail to see what the
    objection is to a competently implemented optional alternative route,
    or a car-free leisure route.

    If it's effectively free (like Connect2) then go right ahead.

    If it turns out with hindsight that Connect2 was a complete waste of
    time, we can't just shrug and say "it was free, so we haven't wasted
    any money" - the cost is that we didn't build the Black Country
    Urban Park that we could have Connect2 didn't get the money. I hope
    it doesn't turn out like that (I voted for Connect2 because I thought
    it would be useful, at least in parts), and for all we know the other
    projects wouldn't make better use of the money whatever happened, but
    I think it's misleading to describe the money as even "effectively" free,
    even if we either assume that all the lottery players who provided the
    money were bound to lose it gambling one way or another or only start
    accounting at the point where the £50 million is already committed.

  5. <> The sort of famililies that surrounded me in Berlin 6 weeks ago.

    Quoted message said:

    It was 8 AM in the morning-school time in Charlottenburg-I was on my way
    to
    central Berlin -choice-the river path muddy but scenic-cycle path paved
    and
    quick-in the road crammed with rush hour traffic-but-still an option.
    The kids and mothers were on their bikes- babies in their trailers it was
    cycle chaos-heaven.
    Compare that to bad tempered homicidal rush hour Britain I know which is
    the
    best system.
    We will not make it happen without mega bucks being spent on cycling but
    it
    could be possible in the UK.
    Tam

    Spot on, but our other correspondents will be spluttering about
    'correlation and causation'.

    They can splutter and quote stats to their hearts content--for 40 years
    Imperial Tobacco proved there was no scientific correlation between lung
    cancer and smoking.
    I have a great deal of experience of cycling on paths-roads-tracks-trails in
    Europe and-later-rather than-sooner our political masters will see that
    cycling could alleviate an oncoming astronomical cost-obesity--.
    Plus of course something the French Germans Danes Swiss etc take for
    granted- a mass public transport system with families and cycles at its
    heart.
    Something you could not say about our mickey mouse
    clockwork---------system?.
    Tam


  6. Quoted message said:


    What you describe is what I see when cycling in Europe - an utterly
    different mindset to cycling than is found here in the UK. I've already
    stated why, in a previous post, I think this has nothing to do with cycle
    farcilities and everything to do with how cycling is viewed as a normal
    activity and not denegrated as it is in much of the UK media, which is,
    let's face it, utterly petrolhead-centric.


    I am sure the Germans of the 70s thought the cycle was dead and gone
    everyone wanted a car.
    After the wall came down in 89 all the ossies wanted a Beemer.
    You can still see much more powerfull cars on the Berlin roads than in the
    UK eg "tuned" Porsches-mega horse power monsters.
    Trucks of course are banned during daylight hours-and weekends--I mean the
    "heavies".
    In the 90s the cycle came roaring back into life now everybody has a bike
    including almost every car driver.
    It can be done-but-it takes a few hundred million to do it--that and
    increasing petrol prices to £10 a gallon--
    we are heading in that direction.
    Paths- facilities- publicity- training -cash invested- it just pushes
    cycling into the arena as a serious mass transit system I am hopeful it will
    come- driven by all the wrong reasons of course.
    tam

  7. "tam" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:


    What you describe is what I see when cycling in Europe - an utterly
    different mindset to cycling than is found here in the UK. I've already
    stated why, in a previous post, I think this has nothing to do with cycle
    farcilities and everything to do with how cycling is viewed as a normal
    activity and not denegrated as it is in much of the UK media, which is,
    let's face it, utterly petrolhead-centric.


    I am sure the Germans of the 70s thought the cycle was dead and gone
    everyone wanted a car.
    After the wall came down in 89 all the ossies wanted a Beemer.
    You can still see much more powerfull cars on the Berlin roads than in the
    UK eg "tuned" Porsches-mega horse power monsters.
    Trucks of course are banned during daylight hours-and weekends--I mean the
    "heavies".

    Down to the provision of cycle paths, no doubt ;-)

    Quoted message said:

    In the 90s the cycle came roaring back into life now everybody has a bike
    including almost every car driver.
    It can be done-but-it takes a few hundred million to do it--that and
    increasing petrol prices to £10 a gallon--
    we are heading in that direction.
    Paths- facilities- publicity- training -cash invested- it just pushes
    cycling into the arena as a serious mass transit system I am hopeful it
    will come- driven by all the wrong reasons of course.
    tam

    I disagree that it's cycle paths that pushes cycling as a mass transit
    system. We already have a mass transit system that, for the most part, can
    see cyclists door to door from home to wherever they want to be - it's
    called 'the roads'. Here in the UK, we simply haven't got the space to put
    in a separate network of cycle farcilities that will be up to scratch in
    terms of amount of network, where it goes to being as comprehensive as would
    be required. Our towns and cities are, for the most part, old, already built
    and the roads not wide enough, for the most part, to have a cycle lane/path
    running alongside/nearby and have room for footpaths.. so what we get are
    token efforts that are sub-standard, ill-thought out to the point of being
    dangerous, or useless, and used as nothing more than tick-boxes on local
    authority budget sheets. 'Cycle provision?' tick. Many examples of what I'm
    talking about can be seen on the Warrington Cycle Campaign web site. And for
    the town where it was put in right from scratch: Milton Keynes, well, it
    hasn't worked to increase cycling there.

    What we have in Europe is a different mindset to cycling than is here in the
    UK. What is needed in the UK is a change of mindset. I cannot see how cycle
    farcilites will provide anything other than an increase in the petrolhead
    mindset that cycling has no place on the roads, that roads are for motor
    vehicles only. After all - all those farcilities provided, use them! The
    change to get us off the roads has already been attempted by the motoring
    lobby, when the changes to the Highway Code were first published, the
    wording as regards the use of cycle farcilites was changed to one where any
    cyclist using the roads when there was a farcility nearby would have been
    found effectively 'guilty' of their own demise if they were cycling on the
    road. The changed wording was only stopped by a concerted effort from many
    different cyclists and cycling groups writing in to MPs and the body doing
    the changes to the HC, which had a positive result, in that cyclists
    retained the right to cycle on the roads should they wish. This is yet
    another reason why many of us who cycle have a dislike of increased
    provision of 'cycling facilities' - they have been used already as an excuse
    to try to get us off the roads. Now, a cyclist has a choice - use the roads
    if you wish, use farcilities if you wish. The bottom line is, IMO, the more
    farcilities provided, the greater the clamour to remove our choice to cycle
    on the roads. That is something I will fight against. If cycling is to
    become a mainstream method of transport, it has to be able to be carried out
    on the existing infrastructure - and for most of us, that's on the road.

  8. "tam" wrote

    Quoted message said:

    Spot on, but our other correspondents will be spluttering about
    'correlation and causation'.

    They can splutter and quote stats to their hearts content--for 40 years
    Imperial Tobacco proved there was no scientific correlation between lung
    cancer and smoking.
    I have a great deal of experience of cycling on paths-roads-tracks-trails
    in Europe and-later-rather than-sooner our political masters will see that
    cycling could alleviate an oncoming astronomical cost-obesity--.
    Plus of course something the French Germans Danes Swiss etc take for
    granted- a mass public transport system with families and cycles at its
    heart.
    Something you could not say about our mickey mouse
    clockwork---------system?.
    Tam


    The same countries where cycle paths are plentiful and so are cyclists, are
    also those where low helmet wearing correlates well with low accident rates.
    Though I don't like helmets I would not claim that wearing a helmet causes
    accidents. Probably all these things, no hats, paths, safe cycling, and
    wide demographic cycling, correlate and are in some sense caused by a
    certain "cycling culture".
    If path building is done by a culture which values cycling, then they may
    work. If it is done by a bike hating culture in order to get cyclists out of
    the way, it will be the sort of provision shown on the Warrington site.
    I started by being in favour of cycle paths, of all types, like most
    cyclists do. Experience has brought me to the point where I would prefer
    complete ignoral from the authorities.

    Mike Sales

  9. "Mark T wrote

    Quoted message said:

    "Mike Sales" wrote in


    :

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Even more obvious: ask 'em why they aren't cycling. IME it normally
    comes down to the perception of danger. This is one of the things
    cycle tracks etc can help with even if, taken as a whole, they
    haven't added to safety.

    Isn't there a moral problem here? Should prospective cyclists be
    encouraged to use the more dangerous cycling option, even if it agrees
    with their mistaken perception?

    As Pete pointed out, it's more a case of 'less safe' than 'more
    dangerous' - cycling is perceived to be dangerous, but carries a similar
    risk to walking.

    Yes indeed. However, the scruple is still valid if, however "safe", the
    track is more "dangerous". I suppose that path advocates claiming that paths
    are safer exasperates me.

    Mike Sales

  10. "Peter Clinch" wrote

    Quoted message said:
    Mike Sales said:

    Isn't there a moral problem here? Should prospective cyclists be
    encouraged
    to use the more dangerous cycling option, even if it agrees with their
    mistaken perception?

    It's not really that simple...

    For example, if the actually low basic risk of cycling is made
    /slightly/ higher, is it actually a problem if the extra health
    engendered by the cycling outweighs the overall health reduction of more
    accidents? Of course, that does presuppose that cycling rates will
    increase, which I'm less sure of than Paul, but it illustrates there's
    more to public health issues of road traffic than simple accident rates.

    For me, the biggest problem with segregated facilities as a major policy
    to follow is I suspect that their effect isn't actually /that/ big in
    terms of safety(either negative or positive) or generation of new riders
    but they still cost a lot (especially if you're retrofitting the much
    vaunted "high quality" sort to places originally designed without such
    things), and I'd frankly sooner spend the money on something else.

    Back up there ^^^ somewhere people complained that they could think of
    much better things to spend the 50 million lottery grant on for cycling,
    but that missed the point that there wasn't the luxury of choice. You
    either had Connect2, or you had nothing. At the overall policy level
    that's not the case, and segregated "high quality" tracks need more
    evidence than "someone says John Franklin's negative remarks aren't
    really fair" before we get carried with pushing for lots of them.


    I completely agree. The problem is too complex for a simple answer, whether
    it is facilities, Matt B's anarchy, stringent penalties for bad driving or
    my own favourite, lath and canvas cars, as fragile as WW1 aeroplanes. Cycle
    facilities as provided by a car culture like ours are bound to be
    insultingly bad.

    Mike Sales

  11. "Mike Sales" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    snipped...

    Quoted message said:

    If path building is done by a culture which values cycling, then they may
    work. If it is done by a bike hating culture in order to get cyclists out
    of the way, it will be the sort of provision shown on the Warrington site.

    snipped...

    Couldn't have put it any better.

  12. Mark T
    <pleasegivegenerously@warmail*turn_up_the_heat_to_reply*.com.invalid>

    Quoted message said:

    writtificated

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Figures and source to back up your suggestion that cycling carries a
    similar risk to walking, please.

    <www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Expodata/Spreadsheets/D7250.xls> [1]

    Passenger death rates: by mode of transport: Social Trends 34
    Great Britain Rate per billion passenger kilometres
    1993 1997 2001 2002

    Walk 70.1 57.6 47.7 44.8
    Bicycle 46.5 44.9 32.7 29.5

    I may be misunderstanding something here but isn't that suggesting that
    cycling is significantly /safer/ than walking?

    cheers,
    Luke

    --
    Red Rose Ramblings, the diary of an Essex boy in
    exile in Lancashire <http://www.shrimper.org.uk>

  13. Response to Ekul Namsob

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Figures and source to back up your suggestion that cycling carries a
    similar risk to walking, please.

    <www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Expodata/Spreadsheets/D7250.xls> [1]

    Passenger death rates: by mode of transport: Social Trends 34
    Great Britain Rate per billion passenger kilometres
    1993 1997 2001 2002

    Walk 70.1 57.6 47.7 44.8
    Bicycle 46.5 44.9 32.7 29.5

    I may be misunderstanding something here but isn't that suggesting that
    cycling is significantly /safer/ than walking?

    At such low rates of death per billion km, I'd hesitate to describe the
    difference as significant myself; I wouldn't consider it as a factor in
    choosing my mode of transport, for instance.

    Besides, according to the DfT's figures[1] over ten years to 2005,
    cycling has fewer deaths per billion km than walking, but slightly more
    k.s.i., and more than double the minor injuries.

    Needless to say, if you measure by hours of exposure rather than
    distance, the figures tend to favour walking; again, not by enough to
    make me choose to walk for four hours rather than cycle for four hours.
    ;-) So you pays your money and takes your choice.

    [1] rcgb2006v1.pdf from http://tinyurl.com/yrw2cf

    --
    Mark, UK
    "In those parts of the world where learning and science have prevailed,
    miracles have ceased; but in those parts of it as are barbarous and
    ignorant, miracles are still in vogue."

  14. "wafflycat" <w*a*ff£y£cat*@£btco*nn£ect.com> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "tam" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    Quoted message said:


    What you describe is what I see when cycling in Europe - an utterly
    different mindset to cycling than is found here in the UK. I've already
    stated why, in a previous post, I think this has nothing to do with
    cycle farcilities and everything to do with how cycling is viewed as a
    normal activity and not denegrated as it is in much of the UK media,
    which is, let's face it, utterly petrolhead-centric.


    I am sure the Germans of the 70s thought the cycle was dead and gone
    everyone wanted a car.
    After the wall came down in 89 all the ossies wanted a Beemer.
    You can still see much more powerfull cars on the Berlin roads than in
    the UK eg "tuned" Porsches-mega horse power monsters.
    Trucks of course are banned during daylight hours-and weekends--I mean
    the "heavies".

    Down to the provision of cycle paths, no doubt ;-)

    Quoted message said:

    In the 90s the cycle came roaring back into life now everybody has a bike
    including almost every car driver.
    It can be done-but-it takes a few hundred million to do it--that and
    increasing petrol prices to £10 a gallon--
    we are heading in that direction.
    Paths- facilities- publicity- training -cash invested- it just pushes
    cycling into the arena as a serious mass transit system I am hopeful it
    will come- driven by all the wrong reasons of course.
    tam

    I disagree that it's cycle paths that pushes cycling as a mass transit
    system. We already have a mass transit system that, for the most part, can
    see cyclists door to door from home to wherever they want to be - it's
    called 'the roads'. Here in the UK, we simply haven't got the space to put
    in a separate network of cycle farcilities that will be up to scratch in
    terms of amount of network, where it goes to being as comprehensive as
    would be required. Our towns and cities are, for the most part, old,
    already built and the roads not wide enough, for the most part, to have a
    cycle lane/path running alongside/nearby and have room for footpaths.. so
    what we get are token efforts that are sub-standard, ill-thought out to
    the point of being dangerous, or useless, and used as nothing more than
    tick-boxes on local authority budget sheets. 'Cycle provision?' tick. Many
    examples of what I'm talking about can be seen on the Warrington Cycle
    Campaign web site. And for the town where it was put in right from
    scratch: Milton Keynes, well, it hasn't worked to increase cycling there.

    What we have in Europe is a different mindset to cycling than is here in
    the UK. What is needed in the UK is a change of mindset. I cannot see how
    cycle farcilites will provide anything other than an increase in the
    petrolhead mindset that cycling has no place on the roads, that roads are
    for motor vehicles only. After all - all those farcilities provided, use
    them! The change to get us off the roads has already been attempted by the
    motoring lobby, when the changes to the Highway Code were first published,
    the wording as regards the use of cycle farcilites was changed to one
    where any cyclist using the roads when there was a farcility nearby would
    have been found effectively 'guilty' of their own demise if they were
    cycling on the road. The changed wording was only stopped by a concerted
    effort from many different cyclists and cycling groups writing in to MPs
    and the body doing the changes to the HC, which had a positive result, in
    that cyclists retained the right to cycle on the roads should they wish.
    This is yet another reason why many of us who cycle have a dislike of
    increased provision of 'cycling facilities' - they have been used already
    as an excuse to try to get us off the roads. Now, a cyclist has a choice -
    use the roads if you wish, use farcilities if you wish. The bottom line
    is, IMO, the more farcilities provided, the greater the clamour to remove
    our choice to cycle on the roads. That is something I will fight against.
    If cycling is to become a mainstream method of transport, it has to be
    able to be carried out on the existing infrastructure - and for most of
    us, that's on the road.


    I do not share your views.
    You will not get the average UK family to commence cycling on UK roads
    Cycling was a minority "geek" activity in many developed European countries
    in the 70s and 80s its come roaring back as a mainstream mass
    participating activity-but-not in the UK--yet.
    We are always last to adopt---to conservative?.
    I am sure the vehicle lobby will fight tooth and nail-but-the writing is on
    the wall.
    100$ barrel of oil-demand from China/India will keep it rising.
    No major road building schemes in the pipeline-this should be sending a loud
    message.
    Obesity costs will rise very steeply very quickly.
    Even in the UK attitudes can rapidly change eg the new concept of "green
    living" I mean new in the mass concept sense.
    I do not see cycle facilities=no cycling on roads- rather I see the road
    lobby losing its stranglehold over tarmac eg within a few years heavy
    lorries will be banned from cities during daylight and at weekends-
    continentals have had this for years.
    Diesel prices will force freight on to rail to a much greater extent.
    Somebody in the treasury will get their slide rule out-I do not think they
    use calculators yet-and do the sums------cycle journeys are dirt cheap tax
    payer wise.
    tam

  15. "

    Quoted message said:

    I cycle miles. I cycle alone. I cycle rural roads. I
    cycle urban roads. I cycle dual carriageways. I cycle little narrow, leafy
    country lanes. I cycle for pleasure. I cycle for utility - to go and get
    some shopping in, run some errands. I cycle for fitness. I cycle in the UK
    and I've cycled in Europe.

    That's great. And I wish I had the time, or the willpower, or the
    energy, to cycle that much.

    But nonetheless, I don't see why it gives you the right to decide
    what's right for me, or for countless other people who have their own
    reasons for getting on a bike. Something you decry as a "farcility"
    and would never dream of using might well be an invaluable piece of
    infrastructure for someone else.

    I'm just a different type of cyclist from you. Don't assume that, just
    because you don't want to use non-road routes, that everyone else
    should feel the same.

    Here here-----
    I have come back to cycling after using boneshakers in the 60s and 70s till
    I could ride motorcycles then drive cars.
    I came back to cycling 10+ years ago-my trike is the only way I can move
    myself over 200 yards plus-due to neuron disease.
    My eyes were opened to a whole different scale of cycle provision in Holland
    and now-mostly Germany.
    I just do not need any other form of transport in Berlin-its utterly
    fantastic!.
    After 10 years of cycling in Germany I still get a thrill every time I build
    my trike up and take to the streets-or paths-or river bank pedestrian/cycle
    networks.
    My cycling has prolonged my life- out of the 20 in the hospital with me 12+
    years ago-I am the only one left-the rest died long ago- inactivity with
    this disease is a killer.
    I suspect cycling would be very beneficial for depression to but I have no
    knowledge regarding this topic.
    We can have what the Europeans have it does not cost much----------it just
    requires political will.
    tam

  16. On Jan 18, 7:32 pm, "wafflycat" <w*a*ff£y£cat*@£btco*nn£ect.com>

    Quoted message said:

    "Mike Sales" <[email hidden]> wrote in message

    news:[email hidden]...

    snipped...

    Quoted message said:

    If path building is done by a culture which values cycling, then they may
    work. If it is done by a bike hating culture in order to get cyclists out
    of the way, it will be the sort of provision shown on the Warrington site.

    snipped...

    Couldn't have put it any better.

    A good point - cycle tracks depend on their quality for the
    effectiveness. British traffic and cycle activist culture works
    against quality. Thus the anti-track sentiment is self-fulfilling.
    Paul Gannon

  17. Mark McNeill said:

    Response to Ekul Namsob

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > Figures and source to back up your suggestion that cycling carries a
    > similar risk to walking, please.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    <www.statistics.gov.uk/StatBase/Expodata/Spreadsheets/D7250.xls> [1]

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Passenger death rates: by mode of transport: Social Trends 34
    Great Britain                         Rate perbillion passenger kilometres
          1993    1997    2001    2002

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Walk  70.1    57.6    47.7    44.8
    Bicycle       46.5    44.9    32.7    29.5

    Quoted message said:

    I may be misunderstanding something here but isn't that suggesting that
    cycling is significantly /safer/ than walking?

    At such low rates of death per billion km, I'd hesitate to describe the
    difference as significant myself; I wouldn't consider it as a factor in
    choosing my mode of transport, for instance.

    Besides, according to the DfT's figures[1] over ten years to 2005,
    cycling has fewer deaths per billion km than walking, but slightly more
    k.s.i., and more than double the minor injuries.

    Needless to say, if you measure by hours of exposure rather than
    distance, the figures tend to favour walking; again, not by enough to
    make me choose to walk for four hours rather than cycle for four hours.  
    ;-)  So you pays your money and takes your choice.

    [1] rcgb2006v1.pdf fromhttp://tinyurl.com/yrw2cf

    --
    Mark, UK
    "In those parts of the world where learning and science have prevailed,
    miracles have ceased; but in those parts of it as are barbarous and
    ignorant, miracles are still in vogue."

    The per-distance figures are not a lot of use. People may not walk 10
    miles to work, shop or go the cinema, but will cycle 10 miles or drive
    40 miles and all in the same time (in general).

    Whether the figures affect your choice or not may be intersting or may
    not, but the question at issue is whether cycling is as safe (in the
    UK) as walking and clearly from these figures it is not.

    Another urban cyclist myth crashing into the barrier of statistical
    evidence.
    Paul Gannon

  18. Peter Clinch said:
    Quoted message said:

    1 - I think you mean the question re why waste money on tracks.  Well
    because, contrary to what you think, tracks are very effective.  I
    gave details of what we experienced in Camden in a previous posting.
    But much more conclusi ve is the spending by other countries which
    they have seen having the expected effect.

    This latter one is a very dubious factoid.  Plenty of money has been
    spent on tracks across the world which hasn't clearly boosted cycling
    numbers.

    Quoted message said:

    You seem to think that all
    these countries are full of fools who are unable to predict and then
    assess.  This is why the 'no causation' slogan is just a slogan,
    namely because they have assessed their spending and found it
    worthwhile.

    Again, a rather dubious factoid.  Very much depends who you're asking,
    AFAICT.  And the correlation is not causation is more than just a
    slogan, because there are other ways to boost cycling that aren't
    related to tracks.  Bring in a congestion charge on cars, start a velib
    scheme, for example.

    Quoted message said:

    So spending on good tracks is not a waste of money -
    indeed in terms of bang per buck it is one of the most effective
    transport spends there is.

    So far the proof we have presented for this pretty much boils down to
    "Paul Gannon says it is".  You keep asking for citations proving that
    tracks are particularly dangerous on the one hand, and then you go
    spouting what looks like opinions and not substantiating them.  "I have
    press clippings" is not a citation, by the way.

    Quoted message said:

    2 - You may think worrying about gender and age profile of cycling is
    silly, but to my mind it is in fact the central issue.

    But it's not necessarily related to tracks.  In fact it's probably more
    to do with cycling culture, however much you want to pretend it doesn't
    change across the North Sea.

    Pete.
    --
    Peter Clinch                    Medical Physics IT Officer
    Tel 44 1382 660111 ext. 33637   Univ. of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital
    Fax 44 1382 640177              Dundee DD1 9SY Scotland UK
    net [email hidden]    http://www.dundee.ac.uk/~pjclinch/

    I don't deny this. I only deny that it is the CAUSE of high cycling
    levels, as you assert. I also deny that that culture changes at the
    North Sea/Channel but not between all those countries/regions whihc
    have high cycling levels. I assert that what they have in common, is
    not Peter's dreamed up culture, but policy decisions. (Someone else
    also asserted that I denied the existence of a 'tranport culture' -
    also wrong)
    Paul

  19. On Jan 18, 2:46 pm, Mark T
    <pleasegivegenerously@warmail*turn_up_the_heat_to_reply*.com.invalid>

    Quoted message said:

    Paul Gannon writtificated

    Quoted message said:

    Please pay attention - I have asked people for the evidence they rely
    on to assert this alleged danger of cycle tracks.  All the responses
    make it clear that no one has read any of the sources.  I wish they
    would!
    Please try to understand, thanks

    Ok, so we go with the 'LAW' study:

    "Surprisingly, bicycle facilities where no motor vehicles are allowed
    showed the highest accident rate of any variable examined. On-street
    facilities, such as bicycle lanes or routes, showed a very low accident
    rate. The rates for both major and minor streets fell in between."

    Given the small number of facilities that existed back then, I'd treat this
    with some caution.  Looking at Franklin's comments of the other studies
    <www.bikexprt.com/research/kaplan/recom.htm> you can see a pattern emerging
    - off road cycle facilities don't come off well.  It's been alleged, in
    this thread, that he has selectively quoted 'to the point of
    misrepresentation' but no one has bothered to (been able to?) give
    examples.

    Given Franklin's reputation I'm more inclined to trust his writing than
    yours.  Sorry, but you'll need to do provide good evidence that he's wrong
    rather than just fling accusations[2] and bang on about sources.  You say
    you've read 'em - so tell us what they really say!  I'm not capable of
    reading most of them critically, in part because I only speak English and
    because I've just a very sketchy knowledge of statistics, the mechanics of
    accident reporting etc etc. Even with the sources in front of me I'd be
    relying mostly on the summaries/conclusions.  I'm kinda reliant on other
    people, including you, to provide informed criticism.  So far that's only
    come from Franklin.

    [1] <www.bikexprt.com/research/kaplan/recom.htm>

    please see my response to a posting of Peter Clinch which deals with
    this study and the misleading (no doubt unintentional) reporting of
    it,
    regards
    Paul

  20. P Gannon writtificated:

    Quoted message said:

    British [...] cycle activist culture works
    against quality.

    What does this mean? My experience of cycle activists (local cycle
    campaign groups) is that they encourage high quality facilities and
    campaign against bad ones.

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