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Gas prices knock bicycle sales, repairs into higher gear

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Road Cycling
Published
12 May 2008
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2 September 2015
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Ted
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  1. "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business — if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers — or buying new ones — to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops

  2. In rec.bicycles.misc Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business ? if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers ? or buying new ones ? to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    It reminds an awful lot of the articles we've seen at the beginning of
    summer the last two years. Bog knows I've seen an increase in bike
    commuters the last two summers [1]. I expect lots more this year,
    especially as we get closer to STP time [2].

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    [1] Even more than usual.
    [2] Seattle To Portland - the big distance ride in the region.

    --
    Dane Buson - [email hidden]
    "If ignorance is bliss, you must be orgasmic."

  3. Dane Buson said:
    In rec.bicycles.misc Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business ? if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers ? or buying new ones ? to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Quoted message said:

    Associated Press article:http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    It reminds an awful lot of the articles we've seen at the beginning of
    summer the last two years.  Bog knows I've seen an increase in bike
    commuters the last two summers [1].  I expect lots more this year,
    especially as we get closer to STP time [2].

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change?  What would
    people do at $6?  At $8 a gallon?

    [1] Even more than usual.
    [2] Seattle To Portland - the big distance ride in the region.

    Gas is over $10 per gallon here in Norway. I don't have the reference
    handy, but recently I read that bikes account for less than 2% of
    commuters in Oslo, and the numbers were on the way down. If it is only
    2% in Oslo, I'm sure it's way less elsewhere here.

    Gas prices alone are not that important for bike adoption, IMO.

    Joseph

  4. Quoted message said:

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    I think it will take $6/gallon to make a real difference, because we'll then
    be seeing $100 fill-ups. That's something that will cause people to step
    back and wonder if it's really worth it, or if they need to drive less.
    Perhaps a lot less. And buy smaller cars. But getting people onto bikes
    isn't a done deal just because gas prices go high. This remains a
    car-centric culture. In the long run, yes, we'll see fundamental change. Not
    just increases in numbers use mass transit, but actually demanding more &
    better mass transit, and wondering why it doesn't go where they need to. And
    some of those people will realize that a bike, either by itself or combined
    with bike-friendly transit, *does* go where you need to go.

    But it won't happen overnight.

    --Mike Jacoubowsky
    Chain Reaction Bicycles
    www.ChainReaction.com
    Redwood City & Los Altos, CA USA

    "Dane Buson" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    In rec.bicycles.misc Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business ? if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers ? or buying new ones ? to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    It reminds an awful lot of the articles we've seen at the beginning of
    summer the last two years. Bog knows I've seen an increase in bike
    commuters the last two summers [1]. I expect lots more this year,
    especially as we get closer to STP time [2].

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    [1] Even more than usual.
    [2] Seattle To Portland - the big distance ride in the region.

    --
    Dane Buson - [email hidden]
    "If ignorance is bliss, you must be orgasmic."

  5. On May 12, 11:22 pm, "Mike Jacoubowsky" <[email hidden]>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change?  What would
    people do at $6?  At $8 a gallon?

    I think it will take $6/gallon to make a real difference, because we'll then
    be seeing $100 fill-ups. That's something that will cause people to step
    back and wonder if it's really worth it, or if they need to drive less.
    Perhaps a lot less. And buy smaller cars. But getting people onto bikes
    isn't a done deal just because gas prices go high. This remains a
    car-centric culture. In the long run, yes, we'll see fundamental change. Not
    just increases in numbers use mass transit, but actually demanding more &
    better mass transit, and wondering why it doesn't go where they need to. And
    some of those people will realize that a bike, either by itself or combined
    with bike-friendly transit, *does* go where you need to go.

    But it won't happen overnight.

    --Mike Jacoubowsky
    Chain Reaction Bicycleswww.ChainReaction.com
    Redwood City & Los Altos, CA USA

    "Dane Buson" <[email hidden]> wrote in message

    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    In rec.bicycles.misc Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business ? if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers ? or buying new ones ? to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Associated Press article:http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    Quoted message said:

    It reminds an awful lot of the articles we've seen at the beginning of
    summer the last two years.  Bog knows I've seen an increase in bike
    commuters the last two summers [1].  I expect lots more this year,
    especially as we get closer to STP time [2].

    Quoted message said:

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change?  What would
    people do at $6?  At $8 a gallon?

    Quoted message said:

    [1] Even more than usual.
    [2] Seattle To Portland - the big distance ride in the region.

    Quoted message said:

    --
    Dane Buson - [email hidden]
    "If ignorance is bliss, you must be orgasmic."

    People look at the total cost of running a car. They will [censored] and
    moan about expensive gas, but they will end up just buying cheaper
    used cars. Instead of a typical family having 2 new medium/large cars,
    they will get one new one, and one junker. the junker might not use
    less gas, but it will be cheaper in th elong run.

    Joseph

  6. In rec.bicycles.misc said:
    Dane Buson said:


    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change?  What would
    people do at $6?  At $8 a gallon?

    Gas is over $10 per gallon here in Norway. I don't have the reference
    handy, but recently I read that bikes account for less than 2% of
    commuters in Oslo, and the numbers were on the way down. If it is only
    2% in Oslo, I'm sure it's way less elsewhere here.

    Gas prices alone are not that important for bike adoption, IMO.

    But don't you have real public transit there? Most of the US
    is...challenged in terms of our public transit setup. Do you know what
    the relative percentage is that take the train/bus/walk vs. driving?

    --
    Dane Buson - [email hidden]
    "Special cocktails for the ladies with nuts."
    -Sign in a Tokyo bar

  7. Mike Jacoubowsky said:
    Quoted message said:

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    I think it will take $6/gallon to make a real difference, because we'll then
    be seeing $100 fill-ups.

    We are already there. A typical fluffed up fashion statement truck like
    a ford exhibition has a 28 gallon tank.

    That's something that will cause people to step

    Quoted message said:

    back and wonder if it's really worth it, or if they need to drive less.
    Perhaps a lot less. And buy smaller cars. But getting people onto bikes
    isn't a done deal just because gas prices go high. This remains a
    car-centric culture. In the long run, yes, we'll see fundamental change. Not
    just increases in numbers use mass transit, but actually demanding more &
    better mass transit, and wondering why it doesn't go where they need to. And
    some of those people will realize that a bike, either by itself or combined
    with bike-friendly transit, *does* go where you need to go.

    But it won't happen overnight.

    --Mike Jacoubowsky
    Chain Reaction Bicycles
    www.ChainReaction.com
    Redwood City & Los Altos, CA USA

    "Dane Buson" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    In rec.bicycles.misc Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business ? if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers ? or buying new ones ? to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops


    It reminds an awful lot of the articles we've seen at the beginning of
    summer the last two years. Bog knows I've seen an increase in bike
    commuters the last two summers [1]. I expect lots more this year,
    especially as we get closer to STP time [2].

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    [1] Even more than usual.
    [2] Seattle To Portland - the big distance ride in the region.

    --
    Dane Buson - [email hidden]
    "If ignorance is bliss, you must be orgasmic."

  8. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business — if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers — or buying new ones — to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    i'm not seeing a significant amount of traffic on the Fox River Trail
    yet, and my workplace bike-to-work website trending seems unrelated to
    gas prices, although i've seen a _few_ more bikes on site. I would
    opine that $4/gallon isn't a big* motivator yet.

    Given the canonical suburbs/commute-distances, at least in west
    surburban chicagoland, i'm not entirely convinced we'll see much
    commuter biking, unless it is first preceded by an inter/intra-suburban
    migration.

    The routes just aren't here for more than fairly short commutes unless
    your endpoints are proximal to the few rails-to-trails bicycle
    superhighways.

    *Big... There's two kinds of big. there's population-doubling big
    (wow! there's 4X as many bicycle commuters!) (translation: instead of
    two there's 8... woo. hoo.).

    And then there's percentages of the gross population big (up from 2%
    last year, 8% of the Kane County commuters rode their bikes today) (not
    true, but it would be a big number).

    I think any changes in cycle commuting numbers occurring right now are
    occurring in the "five times a *verrry*smmmall* number" regime. I think
    that the %daily-commuter numbers is still fairly constant. Say up
    from1.3% to 1.5% (numbers kinda made up).

    that's what i thimk.

    ..max

    --
    This signature can be appended to your outgoing mesages. Many people include in
    their signatures contact information, and perhaps a joke or quotation.

  9. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business — if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers — or buying new ones — to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    another thought...

    A great many of our bike paths <cough, MUPs> are Rail-To-Trail
    conversions. I'm thinking that i remember that RTTs can be reverted to
    rail fairly -- very -- easily, from a legal standpoint. Feckless
    NIMBYism not factored in, of course.

    I'm thinkin that the law of unintended consequences might just find us
    watching (for example) our beloved Illinois Prairie Path, Fox River
    Trail and Great Western trail and Virgil Gilman trail disappear under
    the ballast of a light rail line in oh... twenty years or less.

    I'm just sayin.

    --
    This signature can be appended to your outgoing mesages. Many people include in
    their signatures contact information, and perhaps a joke or quotation.

  10. Dane Buson said:
    In rec.bicycles.misc said:

    On May 12, 7:39 pm, Dane Buson <[email hidden]> wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change?  What would
    people do at $6?  At $8 a gallon?

    Quoted message said:

    Gas is over $10 per gallon here in Norway. I don't have the reference
    handy, but recently I read that bikes account for less than 2% of
    commuters in Oslo, and the numbers were on the way down. If it is only
    2% in Oslo, I'm sure it's way less elsewhere here.

    Quoted message said:

    Gas prices alone are not that important for bike adoption, IMO.

    But don't you have real public transit there?  Most of the US
    is...challenged in terms of our public transit setup.  Do you know what
    the relative percentage is that take the train/bus/walk vs. driving?

    I've only used public transport in a handful of US cities, all of
    which were much larger than Oslo (New York, Boston, Chicago, LA, SF, a
    few others) and light-years better. Since Oslo has only 500,000 people
    or so, it's not really a good comparison. Compared to a city of
    500,000 in the US it might be pretty good. I don't recall the commuter
    break-down. I'll tyr to find it. The important thing for bike usage is
    distances needed to be travelled and what sort of destinations. If a
    super-market is a long haul, only hard-core types will ride bikes
    there. If it is to pop down to a baker for some fresh bread 3 blocks
    away, you'll get more takers.

    Joseph

  11. Dane Buson said:

    But don't you have real public transit there? Most of the US
    is...challenged in terms of our public transit setup. Do you know what
    the relative percentage is that take the train/bus/walk vs. driving?

    Just read a NYT (or perhaps MSNBC) article about this in the US.

    Public transit use is up about 5% in the larger cities with
    well developed transit systems (Boston, NYC, SF) and a little
    less so with less developed or newer public transit like Houston.
    Southern cities, with more car-centric attitudes have lower
    increases than northern or western cities.

    It's been up about that much over the first three months of this
    year during a time when the economy is on the down side and
    public transit use typically falls a couple percent (according
    to Boston and NYC transit authority stats).

    So there's definitely a tick upward in public transit as a result
    of higher fuel prices.

    I'm seeing *many* more bicyclists now on road and path locally as
    well. Can't say the regional buses look that much fuller though,
    but I'm glad to have all the extra company pedaling to and from
    work these days.

    I think it's great!

    SMH

  12. George said:
    Mike Jacoubowsky said:
    Quoted message said:

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    I think it will take $6/gallon to make a real difference, because
    we'll then be seeing $100 fill-ups.

    We are already there. A typical fluffed up fashion statement truck like
    a ford exhibition has a 28 gallon tank.

    My Dodge pickup has 35 gallon tank and I've had the infamous
    $100 fillup for a time now if I let the tank run dry as I was
    once prone to do.

    Because the pumps around here have limits of $75 for credit
    cards, and only $50 for ATM cards, I now fill up at a bit under
    1/2 tank.

    But with the help of my bike, that would last me three weeks
    (at 16 mpg).

    SMH

  13. max said:

    I'm thinkin that the law of unintended consequences might just find us
    watching (for example) our beloved Illinois Prairie Path, Fox River
    Trail and Great Western trail and Virgil Gilman trail disappear under
    the ballast of a light rail line in oh... twenty years or less.

    I'm just sayin.

    But technically, that's what the proclaimed purpose of "rail banking"
    as promoted by Rails-to-Trails groups. Save these rights of way for
    future use when maglev of whatever reoccupies them. In the meantime,
    they become public recreational facilities.

    Personally, I don't think they'll ever get converted back. We'll be
    driving around in our personal hydrogen powered vehicles before we
    have to choose re-creating a passenger rail network.

    SMH

  14. email hidden said:
    Dane Buson said:

    In rec.bicycles.misc [email hidden] <[email hidden]> wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    On May 12, 7:39 pm, Dane Buson <[email hidden]> wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    > cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    > people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Gas is over $10 per gallon here in Norway. I don't have the reference
    handy, but recently I read that bikes account for less than 2% of
    commuters in Oslo, and the numbers were on the way down. If it is only
    2% in Oslo, I'm sure it's way less elsewhere here.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    Gas prices alone are not that important for bike adoption, IMO.

    Quoted message said:

    But don't you have real public transit there? Most of the US
    is...challenged in terms of our public transit setup. Do you know what
    the relative percentage is that take the train/bus/walk vs. driving?

    I've only used public transport in a handful of US cities, all of
    which were much larger than Oslo (New York, Boston, Chicago, LA, SF, a
    few others) and light-years better. Since Oslo has only 500,000 people
    or so, it's not really a good comparison. Compared to a city of
    500,000 in the US it might be pretty good. I don't recall the commuter
    break-down. I'll tyr to find it. The important thing for bike usage is
    distances needed to be travelled and what sort of destinations. If a
    super-market is a long haul, only hard-core types will ride bikes
    there. If it is to pop down to a baker for some fresh bread 3 blocks
    away, you'll get more takers.

    Joseph

    Norway is a big open country. It is not like little flat country like
    Dutch. Not only that Norway is too mountainous not good for bike
    ride.

  15. In article <CfkWj.298$ll1.218@trndny06>,

    Stephen Harding said:

    My Dodge pickup has 35 gallon tank and I've had the infamous
    $100 fillup for a time now if I let the tank run dry as I was
    once prone to do.

    Because the pumps around here have limits of $75 for credit
    cards, and only $50 for ATM cards, I now fill up at a bit under
    1/2 tank.

    But with the help of my bike, that would last me three weeks
    (at 16 mpg).

    That's how I figure the rising price of gasoline will
    generally affect cycling. People will still retain
    their motor vehicles, but use them more selectively.
    They'll want to save their precious gasoline for when
    they /really/ need it.

    Some folks might wisely opt to take up cycling to
    save gas & money. The trouble is, taking-up cycling
    "cold" is, at the outset, difficult for many people.

    And it's not just a simple matter of obesity or lack
    of coordination or phyique. A body has to be trained
    through practice to ride a bicycle with confidence
    and deportment.

    As we all know, certain muscles have to learn how to
    work together instead of fighting against each other
    in order to make a bicycle go. Eventually (and
    actually fairly quickly) it all comes together.

    But I think we regular riders tend to forget how difficult
    it can be for the beginner or returner-after-a-long-time,
    who could easily be discouraged by a lack of support and
    motivation. And then they'll end up saying: "I can't do it."
    That would be a cryin' shame.

    cheers,
    Tom

    --
    Nothing is safe from me.
    I'm really at:
    tkeats curlicue vcn dot bc dot ca

  16. "Dane Buson" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    In rec.bicycles.misc Ted said:

    "Four-dollar-a-gallon gas is good for business ? if you run a
    bike shop. Commuters around the country are dusting off their
    old two-wheelers ? or buying new ones ? to cope with rising fuel
    prices, bicycle dealers say..."

    Associated Press article: http://xrl.us/BikeShops

    It reminds an awful lot of the articles we've seen at the beginning of
    summer the last two years. Bog knows I've seen an increase in bike
    commuters the last two summers [1]. I expect lots more this year,
    especially as we get closer to STP time [2].

    It does make me wonder, if a small bump in price to $4 is enough to
    cause changes, how much would a real price spike change? What would
    people do at $6? At $8 a gallon?

    It won't ever happen in the US.

    As oil prices continue to rise, the cost of doing stuff like pulling 'ye
    olde oil
    furnace' in the basement out and replacing it with Natural Gas becomes
    cheaper than continuing to buy oil, as a result more people do that and
    oil consumption drops. It now becomes economical to extract oil from
    tar sands and such and people start doing that so supply rises. It will be
    much more expensive oil, but it won't be double today's prices in
    todays dollars, and it will mainly be fueling freight trains and delivery
    trucks
    where the fuel costs are spread out over a lot of people.

    And in another 2 years the Toyota Prius will be plug-in (according to
    Toyota) and you will see increasingly people powering their Priuses by
    wall electricity. In the US, the percentage of electric power generated
    by burning oil has been dropping like a rock, the percentage of electric
    power generated by burning coal is rising, and by burning natural gas, and
    by wind. And the US has a lot more stocks of natural gas than of oil,
    and our coal reserves dwarf both of those.

    In another 5 years, all the major automakers will have plug in hybrids.
    All current presidential candiates have strongly endorsed tax credits
    for plug in hybrids.

    Cost per mile of an electric car is about a quarter of that of gasoline,
    see:

    http://www.team-fate.net/wordpress/?page_id=11

    And last but probably most importantly, the Arab countries in the Mid-East
    frankly don't like the US. They have had 50 years of European and US
    interference, everything from the British colonization efforts to the UN
    carving Israel out of Palestine, and the US mid-east interference. They
    simply want Europe and the US to go away and find some other place
    to get fuel from. The Mid East Arabs are jumping for joy at the prospect
    of selling all their oil to China because unlike the Western countries which
    have this annoying hangup about Human Rights issues, China couldn't give
    a damn if every Arab has 50 wives all wrapped in burkas.

    By the end of your lifetime you will see the United States pretty
    independent
    of foreign oil. It will be very painful to get "over the hump" in the
    transition
    from gasoline to more expensive gasoline and electricity, but it
    will happen. It is, actually, much more a problem of retraining people
    in how they use their cars, and remembering that every second their car is
    sitting in their driveway or their garage, it needs to be plugged into an
    electrical outlet,. recharging. And it is also one of dealing with city
    laws.

    For example in my city, a large number of homes have no garages or
    driveways. People park their cars on the street in front of their homes.
    Now, imagine what would happen if all those cars were plug in hybrids.
    If allowed, people would be running extension cords from their homes
    across their lawns, across the sidewalks, to their cars. I am quite sure
    the city would get rather [censored] about this, and would likely pass
    an ordinance prohibiting it. That would require those people to run
    conduit under the sidewalk, which makes it a permanent electrical
    installation -all the sudden, you now have a requirement for permitting
    and you suddenly have added a $500 bill for an electrician to put in
    a remote electrical outlet just to charge your car's battery.

    Ted

  17. Quoted message said:

    Just read a NYT ... article about this in the US.

    =v= This one?

    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/05/10/business/10transit.html

    Quoted message said:

    Public transit use is up about 5% in the larger cities with
    well developed transit systems (Boston, NYC, SF) and a little
    less so with less developed or newer public transit like
    Houston. Southern cities, with more car-centric attitudes
    have lower increases than northern or western cities.

    =v= Actually, though this is true of the San Francisco
    metropolitan area, but not San Francisco itself. Notice that
    the _Times_ article goes on to mention ridership increases
    in the regional BART and Caltrain systems, but not for the
    city's Muni. Muni is so messed up that the densest city on
    the West Coast is *losing* riders even as transit ridership
    increases in nearby sprawling communities!

    =v= This is because mayor Gavin Newsom has saddled the city with
    simultaneous cutbacks and fare hikes, with predictable results.
    Then he hired some fare inspectors ("Muni Goonies"😉, who have
    not managed to find enough fare-evasion going on to justify
    their own salaries, but who have certainly managed to make the
    experience much less pleasant. One of them yelled out their
    apparent mantra: "If you don't like it, call a cab."

    =v= I don't like it, so I bike.

    Quoted message said:

    I'm seeing *many* more bicyclists now on road and path locally
    as well.

    =v= The nice weather might also have something to do with it.
    <_Jym_>

    P.S.: Mayor Newsom is currently off touring to explain how
    "green" he is. If he should happen to drop by your town,
    drop by and ask him how ecological it is, exactly, to destroy
    a city's transit system.

  18. Quoted message said:

    As oil prices continue to rise, the cost of doing stuff
    like pulling 'ye olde oil furnace' in the basement out and
    replacing it with Natural Gas becomes cheaper than continuing
    to buy oil, as a result more people do that and oil consumption
    drops. It now becomes economical to extract oil from tar
    sands and such and people start doing that so supply rises.

    =v= These are both finite, carbon-spewing sources, and the
    "economy" of the latter is burdened by the energy required in
    its extraction, which has a multiplying effect.

    Quoted message said:

    In another 5 years, all the major automakers will have plug
    in hybrids. All current presidential candiates have strongly
    endorsed tax credits for plug in hybrids.

    Cost per mile of an electric car is about a quarter of that
    of gasoline, see ...

    =v= The "economy" of this is poised to be thwarted as well.
    The dumbass peddling of PHEVs as "GEE WHIZ 100+ MPG!" ignores
    the "gallons" that go into making the electricity, with zero
    thought to the consequences of increased demand. If PHEVs are
    to be anything resembling a solution, they would have to be
    deployed widely, and if they're deployed widely, the price of
    electricity goes up. And, since conversion of energy from one
    form to another is always less efficient, carbon-spewing would
    actually *increase* thanks to these supposedly-green vehicles.
    <_Jym_>

  19. [email hidden] schrieb:

    Quoted message said:


    I've only used public transport in a handful of US cities, all of
    which were much larger than Oslo (New York, Boston, Chicago, LA, SF, a
    few others) and light-years better. Since Oslo has only 500,000 people
    or so, it's not really a good comparison. Compared to a city of
    500,000 in the US it might be pretty good. I don't recall the commuter
    break-down. I'll tyr to find it. The important thing for bike usage is
    distances needed to be travelled and what sort of destinations. If a
    super-market is a long haul, only hard-core types will ride bikes
    there. If it is to pop down to a baker for some fresh bread 3 blocks
    away, you'll get more takers.

    In usual German towns you'll have a supermarket (or discount store, like
    Aldi) in about 2-3 km at most.

  20. Stephen Harding said:
    max said:

    I'm thinkin that the law of unintended consequences might just find us
    watching (for example) our beloved Illinois Prairie Path, Fox River
    Trail and Great Western trail and Virgil Gilman trail disappear under
    the ballast of a light rail line in oh... twenty years or less.

    I'm just sayin.

    But technically, that's what the proclaimed purpose of "rail banking" as
    promoted by Rails-to-Trails groups. Save these rights of way for future
    use when maglev of whatever reoccupies them. In the meantime, they become
    public recreational facilities.

    Personally, I don't think they'll ever get converted back. We'll be
    driving around in our personal hydrogen powered vehicles before we have to
    choose re-creating a passenger rail network.

    I doubt the hydrogen dream will ever be realized, at least in our
    lifetime. But just try to take those trails away once people are used to
    them.

    Matt O.

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