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OT: Here're the savings from Arctic drilling — 75 cents a barrel

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Cycling Equipment
Published
23 May 2008
Last activity
3 June 2008
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Eric Vey
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  1. http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National Wildlife
    Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop by an average
    of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department of Energy projections
    issued Thursday.

    The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not projected to
    have a large impact on world oil prices."

    But the report also finds that opening ANWR could have other benefits,
    particularly in Alaska, where tapping the resources in the Arctic refuge
    could extend the lifespan of the trans-Alaska pipeline. It estimates
    that if Congress agreed to open ANWR this year, Alaskan oil could hit
    the market in about 10 years.

    [more]

  2. Eric Vey said:

    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National Wildlife
    Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop by an average
    of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department of Energy projections
    issued Thursday.

    The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not projected to
    have a large impact on world oil prices."

    But the report also finds that opening ANWR could have other benefits,
    particularly in Alaska, where tapping the resources in the Arctic refuge
    could extend the lifespan of the trans-Alaska pipeline. It estimates
    that if Congress agreed to open ANWR this year, Alaskan oil could hit
    the market in about 10 years.

    [more]

    that looks like bs to me. Drilling ANWR has virtually no chance of
    causing the global price of oil to drop.

  3. Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:
    Eric Vey said:

    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National
    Wildlife Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop by
    an average of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department of
    Energy projections issued Thursday.

    The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not projected
    to have a large impact on world oil prices."

    But the report also finds that opening ANWR could have other
    benefits, particularly in Alaska, where tapping the resources in the
    Arctic refuge could extend the lifespan of the trans-Alaska
    pipeline. It estimates that if Congress agreed to open ANWR this
    year, Alaskan oil could hit the market in about 10 years.

    [more]

    that looks like bs to me. Drilling ANWR has virtually no chance of
    causing the global price of oil to drop.

    Completetly correct. The speculation on pricing, as well as the cartel
    price and volume setttings, are the only things that really influence the
    rise in costs. Wellhead extraction costs since 2000 have only increased
    about 14%, transportation costs have remained almost level, and the price
    point is established at the delivery point (pipeline terminus or input
    flange on a tanker).
    --
    Sandy
    -
    Darwinism, born in ideological struggle, has never escaped from an intimate
    reciprocal relationship with worldviews exported from and imported into the
    science. No one challenges the claim that evolutionary theory has had a wide
    effect on social theory. It is a cliché of cultural history that the
    explanation of evolution by natural selection served as an ideological
    justification for laissez-faire capitalism and the colonial domination of
    the lesser breeds without the law

    - Richard Lewontin

  4. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Eric Vey said:

    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    WASHINGTON ‹ If Congress were to open up the Arctic National
    Wildlife
    Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop by an
    average of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department of Energy
    projections issued Thursday.

    Ah, well, that'll make my life so much better. I say we go for it!

    </sarcasm> for the humor-impaired.

  5. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Sandy said:

    Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:
    Eric Vey said:

    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National
    Wildlife Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop
    by an average of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department
    of Energy projections issued Thursday.

    The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not
    projected to have a large impact on world oil prices."

    <snip>

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    that looks like bs to me. Drilling ANWR has virtually no chance of
    causing the global price of oil to drop.

    Completetly correct. The speculation on pricing, as well as the
    cartel price and volume setttings, are the only things that really
    influence the rise in costs. Wellhead extraction costs since 2000
    have only increased about 14%, transportation costs have remained
    almost level, and the price point is established at the delivery
    point (pipeline terminus or input flange on a tanker).

    That's interesting. Where do those numbers come from? If that's the
    case, then those costs may have actually increased slower than
    inflation.

  6. Sandy said:

    Completetly correct.  The speculation on pricing, as well as the cartel
    price and volume setttings, are the only things that really influence the
    rise in costs.

    Yes... follow the money. Who in the US makes money off expensive oil?
    Who is in charge of the government? Who is good "friends" with the
    Saudis?

  7. Sandy said:

    Dans le message denews:[email hidden],
    [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:
    Eric Vey said:

    http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National
    Wildlife Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop by
    an average of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department of
    Energy projections issued Thursday.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not projected
    to have a large impact on world oil prices."

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    But the report also finds that opening ANWR could have other
    benefits, particularly in Alaska, where tapping the resources in the
    Arctic refuge could extend the lifespan of the trans-Alaska
    pipeline. It estimates that if Congress agreed to open ANWR this
    year, Alaskan oil could hit the market in about 10 years.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    [more]

    Quoted message said:

    that looks like bs to me. Drilling ANWR has virtually no chance of
    causing the global price of oil to drop.

    Completetly correct. The speculation on pricing, as well as the cartel
    price and volume setttings, are the only things that really influence the
    rise in costs. Wellhead extraction costs since 2000 have only increased
    about 14%, transportation costs have remained almost level, and the price
    point is established at the delivery point (pipeline terminus or input
    flange on a tanker).

    While US consumption is dropping, China's demand grew 12 % over last
    year. Supply has gone essentially flat as oil producers struggle to
    make up for ongoing declines in big fields. Prices will rise
    exponentially until they cause enough demand destruction in wealthy
    economies to balance supply and demand.

    Robert

  8. Tim McNamara said:

    Ah, well, that'll make my life so much better. I say we go for it!

    </sarcasm> for the humor-impaired.

    By the time that oil makes it to market, it will probably cost
    something like 400$/barrel. But the timely arrival of this petroleum
    on the market will delay the price's progression to 410$/barrel by
    about 23 minutes. That's really going to be exciting stuff for
    consumers. So by all means let's start the drilling now.

  9. Ron Ruff said:
    Sandy said:

    Completetly correct.  The speculation on pricing, as well as the cartel
    price and volume setttings, are the only things that really influence the
    rise in costs.

    Yes... follow the money. Who in the US makes money off expensive oil?
    Who is in charge of the government? Who is good "friends" with the
    Saudis?

    Not good enough judging by the last pow-wow. -- Jay Beattie.

  10. Jay Beattie said:
    Ron Ruff said:
    Sandy said:

    Completetly correct. The speculation on pricing, as well as the cartel
    price and volume setttings, are the only things that really influence the
    rise in costs.


    Yes... follow the money. Who in the US makes money off expensive oil?
    Who is in charge of the government? Who is good "friends" with the
    Saudis?

    Not good enough judging by the last pow-wow. -- Jay Beattie.

    Righ...t. How do you think that last meeting came down? "King, will you
    increase production to help our poor and middle class, wink-wink." "Uh,
    sorry George, can't do that."

  11. Quoted message said:
    Tim McNamara said:

    Ah, well, that'll make my life so much better.  I say we go for it!

    Quoted message said:

    </sarcasm> for the humor-impaired.

    By the time that oil makes it to market, it will probably cost
    something like 400$/barrel. But the timely arrival of this petroleum
    on the market will delay the price's progression to 410$/barrel by
    about 23 minutes. That's really going to be exciting stuff for
    consumers. So by all means let's start the drilling now.

    I think we should skip the drilling and just take the animals. There
    are lots of rideable moose and caribou (for learners). We can commute
    to work on those -- take the kids to soccer practice on the sport
    utility moose. If we could get them to eat junk mail or lawn
    clippings, it would be a totally free means of transportation. -- Jay
    Beattie.

  12. Jay Beattie said:

    I think we should skip the drilling and just take the animals. There
    are lots of rideable moose and caribou (for learners). We can commute
    to work on those -- take the kids to soccer practice on the sport
    utility moose. If we could get them to eat junk mail or lawn
    clippings, it would be a totally free means of transportation. -- Jay
    Beattie.

    If they can ride camels, we can ride moose.

  13. Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden],
    [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:
    Sandy said:

    Dans le message
    denews:[email hidden],
    [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    On May 23, 10:23 am, Eric Vey <[email hidden]> wrote:
    > http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    Quoted message said:

    > WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National
    > Wildlife Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably drop
    > by an average of only 75 cents a barrel, according to Department of
    > Energy projections issued Thursday.

    Quoted message said:

    > The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    > R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not projected
    > to have a large impact on world oil prices."

    Quoted message said:

    > But the report also finds that opening ANWR could have other
    > benefits, particularly in Alaska, where tapping the resources in
    > the Arctic refuge could extend the lifespan of the trans-Alaska
    > pipeline. It estimates that if Congress agreed to open ANWR this
    > year, Alaskan oil could hit the market in about 10 years.

    Quoted message said:

    > [more]

    Quoted message said:

    that looks like bs to me. Drilling ANWR has virtually no chance of
    causing the global price of oil to drop.

    Completetly correct. The speculation on pricing, as well as the
    cartel
    price and volume setttings, are the only things that really
    influence the
    rise in costs. Wellhead extraction costs since 2000 have only
    increased
    about 14%, transportation costs have remained almost level, and the
    price
    point is established at the delivery point (pipeline terminus or
    input
    flange on a tanker).

    While US consumption is dropping, China's demand grew 12 % over last
    year. Supply has gone essentially flat as oil producers struggle to
    make up for ongoing declines in big fields. Prices will rise
    exponentially until they cause enough demand destruction in wealthy
    economies to balance supply and demand.

    Robert

    Somewhat true. But demand is not in constriction, nor will it be, nor has
    it ever been. I recall that in 1973, there was a gas station in Manhattan
    that (briefly) charged about $3 per gallon and had lines, so long as they
    had gas. So long as money is more elastic than supply, demand will grow.
    Note also, China has its CPEC pipeline in place, thus taking prices from the
    tap, not speculators.

    I would avoid the word "exponential" unless math has taken a logical
    holiday.

  14. SMS said:
    Jay Beattie said:
    Ron Ruff said:

    On May 23, 12:07 pm, "Sandy" <[email hidden]> wrote:

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    > Completetly correct.  The speculation on pricing, as well as the cartel
    > price and volume setttings, are the only things that really influence the
    > rise in costs.
    Yes... follow the money. Who in the US makes money off expensive oil?
    Who is in charge of the government? Who is good "friends" with the
    Saudis?

    Quoted message said:

    Not good enough judging by the last pow-wow. -- Jay Beattie.

    Righ...t. How do you think that last meeting came down? "King, will you
    increase production to help our poor and middle class, wink-wink." "Uh,
    sorry George, can't do that."

    Wow. That is sinister. I would call you paranoid, except that you
    are probably right. -- Jay Beattie.

  15. Dans le message de news:[email hidden],
    Sandy <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:

    China has its CPEC pipeline

    Sorry - should be CPC.

  16. Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:
    Tim McNamara said:

    Ah, well, that'll make my life so much better. I say we go for it!
    </sarcasm> for the humor-impaired.

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    By the time that oil makes it to market, it will probably cost
    something like 400$/barrel. But the timely arrival of this petroleum
    on the market will delay the price's progression to 410$/barrel by
    about 23 minutes. That's really going to be exciting stuff for
    consumers. So by all means let's start the drilling now.

    Jay Beattie said:

    I think we should skip the drilling and just take the animals. There
    are lots of rideable moose and caribou (for learners). We can commute
    to work on those -- take the kids to soccer practice on the sport
    utility moose. If we could get them to eat junk mail or lawn
    clippings, it would be a totally free means of transportation. -- Jay

    How 'bout the Law of Unintended Consequences? Do you recall the taunting
    pun on 'moussaka' in 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding'??
    --
    Andrew Muzi
    <www.yellowjersey.org/>
    Open every day since 1 April, 1971
    ** Posted from http://www.teranews.com **

  17. Sandy said:

    Darwinism, born in ideological struggle, has never escaped from an intimate
    reciprocal relationship with worldviews exported from and imported into the
    science. No one challenges the claim that evolutionary theory has had a wide
    effect on social theory. It is a cliché of cultural history that the
    explanation of evolution by natural selection served as an ideological
    justification for laissez-faire capitalism and the colonial domination of
    the lesser breeds without the law

    - Richard Lewontin

    This clown must be a French philosopher: they can make liquid [censored]
    smell like roses, until you try to extract a singular meaning by
    translating their liquid phrases into a logical language like English
    or German. Laissez-faire economics have their own justification built
    in, Adam Smith's "hidden hand", and Social Darwinism has long been
    thoroughly discredited among Anglo-Saxon scholars. In any event,
    Darwinism is a description of a random statistical event iterating
    itself; no actual scientist with, for instance, dreams of racial
    superiority could mistake it for support for his political leanings.
    Basically, science and Darwinism are mutually compatible, science and
    social darwinism of any kind are fundamentally incompatible.

    Andre Jute
    Relentless rigour -- Gaius Germanicus

  18. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Sandy said:

    Dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]
    , [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a déclaré :

    Quoted message said:
    Sandy said:

    Dans le message
    denews:[email hidden]
    .com, [email hidden] <[email hidden]> a réfléchi, et puis a
    déclaré :

    > On May 23, 10:23 am, Eric Vey <[email hidden]> wrote:
    >> http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/38223.html

    >> WASHINGTON — If Congress were to open up the Arctic National
    >> Wildlife Refuge to drilling, crude oil prices would probably
    >> drop by an average of only 75 cents a barrel, according to
    >> Department of Energy projections issued Thursday.

    >> The report, which was requested in December by Sen. Ted Stevens,
    >> R-Alaska, found that oil production in the refuge "is not
    >> projected to have a large impact on world oil prices."

    >> But the report also finds that opening ANWR could have other
    >> benefits, particularly in Alaska, where tapping the resources in
    >> the Arctic refuge could extend the lifespan of the trans-Alaska
    >> pipeline. It estimates that if Congress agreed to open ANWR this
    >> year, Alaskan oil could hit the market in about 10 years.

    >> [more]

    > that looks like bs to me. Drilling ANWR has virtually no chance
    > of causing the global price of oil to drop.

    Completetly correct. The speculation on pricing, as well as the
    cartel price and volume setttings, are the only things that really
    influence the rise in costs. Wellhead extraction costs since 2000
    have only increased about 14%, transportation costs have remained
    almost level, and the price point is established at the delivery
    point (pipeline terminus or input flange on a tanker).

    While US consumption is dropping, China's demand grew 12 % over
    last year. Supply has gone essentially flat as oil producers
    struggle to make up for ongoing declines in big fields. Prices will
    rise exponentially until they cause enough demand destruction in
    wealthy economies to balance supply and demand.

    Somewhat true. But demand is not in constriction, nor will it be,
    nor has it ever been.

    Continuing population growth, if nothing else, will ensure this.
    Continually increasing energy consumption per capita will multiply this.

    Quoted message said:

    I recall that in 1973, there was a gas station in Manhattan that
    (briefly) charged about $3 per gallon and had lines, so long as they
    had gas. So long as money is more elastic than supply, demand will
    grow. Note also, China has its CPEC pipeline in place, thus taking
    prices from the tap, not speculators.

    Rapidly increasing demand in China and India, stable to gradually
    increasing demand in much of the rest of the world, combined with what
    appears to be the peak oil phenomenon in action.

  19. In article
    <[email hidden]>,

    Ron Ruff said:
    Sandy said:

    Completetly correct.  The speculation on pricing, as well as the
    cartel price and volume setttings, are the only things that really
    influence the rise in costs.

    Yes... follow the money. Who in the US makes money off expensive oil?
    Who is in charge of the government? Who is good "friends" with the
    Saudis?

    While you're hinting at the Bush family, it's much broader than that.
    Just since 2000, consider the secret "energy policy" task force convened
    by Cheney that basically consisted of the oil industry. Consider that
    the various high level policy and bureaucratic positions within the
    various parts of the administration concerned with energy has been a
    musical chair game, swapping high-powered roles among various
    representatives of the oil industry. But consider that between 1992 and
    2000, it wasn't much different.

  20. In article
    <[email hidden]>,

    Jay Beattie said:
    SMS said:
    Jay Beattie said:

    On May 23, 12:52 pm, Ron Ruff <[email hidden]> wrote:
    > Yes... follow the money. Who in the US makes money off expensive
    > oil? Who is in charge of the government? Who is good "friends"
    > with the Saudis?

    Quoted message said:

    Not good enough judging by the last pow-wow. -- Jay Beattie.

    Righ...t. How do you think that last meeting came down? "King, will
    you increase production to help our poor and middle class,
    wink-wink." "Uh, sorry George, can't do that."

    Wow. That is sinister. I would call you paranoid, except that you
    are probably right.

    Just because you're paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to get you.

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