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WC Cyclocross 2004 picks

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Road Cycling
Published
21 January 2004
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27 January 2004
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Kenny
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  1. Quoted message said:

    JP has found his level, it's between about 15th and 25th (on a good day) when all the top crossers
    are there. I highly doubt he's going to have a big jump in ability all of a sudden and be riding
    at the front of big races.

    JP has 10 top tens out of 30 UCI events this season. In Belgium. Where I think a bunch of good cross
    racers live. He has 10 finishes between 11-20th.

    Last year he had 3 top tens. I think that is a big jump.

    If you were in Belgium, watching the actual races, you would also see that he is usually at the
    front, in the lead group, riding "above" his level. That in itself is a HUGE step from chasing guys
    all race, and ending up maybe in about the same position in the end. He is RACING this year.

    I see no reason why his current trajectory should not/could not continue next season. That would put
    him into the top ten on any given weekend.

    He also just turned 27 in September. Why couldn't he be a World Cup winner or Worlds/World Cup
    podium finisher when he is at his physical peak, say 30? Three seasons from now? I do not think it
    is unrealistic at all. Look at Tyler Hamilton's progression, for example.

    My point was that we have riders of equivalent talent in the US as they do in Belgium. But, you
    cannot make the jump from the best US rider at your age, to a top international rider without
    spending the time in Europe. By that reasoning, if we start setting kids up over there, like we
    started to this year, we should have every reason to expect that the future can and will be bright.

    J

  2. "Kurgan Gringioni" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    "jerry" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:


    The french have some future with Gadret, Lefebvre and Mourey. I also count on Pospisil, Dlask
    and Jezek for a top-10 place.

    Replying here, but comment is to thread -

    Number one, Gucci does not make a steel hanger for that bike. JP is not in a position to have
    some hangers made up on a vertical mill, please. That is a dumbass thing to suggest. Same as
    welding on gussets? How are you going to weld on a gusset to an aluminum der. hanger? He has
    been [censored] about it, but beyond having custom parts machined on a CNC or something (ever
    actually LOOKED at a bolt on der. hanger before?) his hands are tied.

    Dumbass -

    You are ignorant.

    Don't need a CNC - any old hand operated mill will do. I have a 1958 Bridgeport, it's worth maybe
    $2000, less than the cost of a bike.

    Any bike builder has one of those - that's what they miter the tubes with.

    I dont think I am that ignorant.

    Machining a dropout/hanger is not equivalent to mitering tubes, or else the frame builders would be
    making their own hangers, wouldn't they? How many hours do you think would go into making a bolt on
    hanger by hand? And how much does a machine shop charge by the hour? And how much do you make for a
    living riding your bike?

    The hangers that are on all my AL frames, and his, are break away styles that bolt on. Its a fairly
    complex shape where it bolts to the dropout, it dovetails with the dropout shape. Also the der.
    tension adjustment tab would not be that simple to locate and form by hand.

    NO, I am no machinist, but I did try to have one MADE by a machine shop locally for an older GT MTB,
    and that part would have been pretty impractical to make manually, according to the machinists, and
    they wanted to laser the profile and then machine in the features. It would have been a very
    expensive piece.

    I believe that direct experience, and the fact that, BTW I do 3D CAD design/engineering (solidworks,
    inventor, etc) for a living, moves me slightly above IGNORANT.

    You also have to put the whole thing in the context of the situation. They were fine for the first
    part of the season. It sounds like the bend during the race, maybe leading to a chain suck that rips
    them off, or they just bend badly. He is not crashing them off. He is not some rich masters racer
    who owns ONE cross bike and races 10 times a season.

    You break a couple. OK, thats why they are replacable. You start e-mailing you bike sponsor for a
    new batch. Then you continue to race/ride those bikes. You break one. Now you are yelling, at the
    bike sponsor, ok he only speaks italian, thats just a small complication. They are shipping you
    some, but its coming from Italy, from the factory, to Belgium. You try going to a bike shop to have
    some steel ones ordered. You wait a week. The first batch is close but they dont fit. You order a
    second batch, you wait another week. Meanwhile you are still riding the three replacements. In
    races. In Belgium. In World Cups. You are shipping the bikes to the US and back twice. Now you
    thing about looking for a machine shop who will not charge you more then the frame is worth to make
    some, etc.

    All this in basicaly 14 weeks. And 30 international races. Plus I think he rides during the week
    once in a while. And its not like he doesn't have anything else to do all week besides chase
    derailleur hangers.

    Bottom line, its a [censored] part. It sounds like Gucci does not use steel ones on any of its bikes. I
    would hope they improve it based on this, but that does not help JP any this season.

    Richard would have been all over it, no question. You pick up the phone, you get the boss. Thats
    great, but that is also why people like Richard are not sponsoring US freaking Postal. Eventually
    you have move on to a bigger program.

    Anyway, none of this has [censored] to do with whether there are any prospects for US Cyclocross.

    Ignorant J

  3. Quoted message said:

    JP has 10 top tens out of 30 UCI events this season. In Belgium. Where I think a bunch of good
    cross racers live. He has 10 finishes between 11-20th.

    Last year he had 3 top tens. I think that is a big jump.

    His UCI ranking doesn't seem to reflect this!

    Quoted message said:

    If you were in Belgium, watching the actual races, you would also see that he is usually at the
    front, in the lead group, riding "above" his level. That in itself is a HUGE step from chasing
    guys all race, and ending up maybe in about the same position in the end. He is RACING this year.

    Well, I watch all I can and read the coverage. Page seems to be able to make the initial selection
    when a lot of other riders do, not when it's a small selection.

    Quoted message said:

    I see no reason why his current trajectory should not/could not continue next season. That would
    put him into the top ten on any given weekend.

    I hope you're right, I'm not trying to bash Page just being realistic.

    Quoted message said:

    He also just turned 27 in September. Why couldn't he be a World Cup winner or Worlds/World Cup
    podium finisher when he is at his physical peak, say 30? Three seasons from now? I do not think it
    is unrealistic at all. Look at Tyler Hamilton's progression, for example.

    Tyler's result were great the last couple of years but he showed that potential when riding on
    Postal, he just didn't have the freedom.

  4. "Howard Kveck" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    The shop I work at has a few Mori Seiki VMCs and some smaller ones by Fanuc, and we have a
    couple of horizontals, too. We also have a few CNC lathes.

    Mori Seiki - high zoot.

    I'm gonna be taking a Haas VMC class soon, just for learning how to better make prototype stuff. Am
    a crappy machinist, but just finished a piece that a real machinist like yourself might find
    interesting. It mostly involved tube bending - we had to make some custom tooling for it.

    Too bad you don't live in SoCal - I'd like to pick your brain.

  5. "jerry" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    "]news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    NO, I am no machinist, but I did try to have one MADE by a machine shop locally for an older GT
    MTB, and that part would have been pretty impractical to make manually, according to the
    machinists, and they wanted to laser the profile and then machine in the features. It would have
    been a very expensive piece.

    I believe that direct experience, and the fact that, BTW I do 3D CAD design/engineering
    (solidworks, inventor, etc) for a living, moves me slightly above IGNORANT.

    Dumbass -

    You are ignorant.

    It's a simple piece. Any half-assed machinist could do it.

    I could do it and I am very half-assed. You're not talking to the right machine shop.

  6. In article <[email hidden]>,

    Kurgan Gringioni said:

    "Howard Kveck" <[email hidden]> wrote in message news:YOURhoward-
    [email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    The shop I work at has a few Mori Seiki VMCs and some smaller ones by Fanuc, and we have a
    couple of horizontals, too. We also have a few CNC lathes.

    Quoted message said:

    Mori Seiki - high zoot.

    They rather nicely prove the theory of "you get what you pay for" in machines.

    Quoted message said:

    I'm gonna be taking a Haas VMC class soon, just for learning how to better make prototype stuff.
    Am a crappy machinist, but just finished a piece that a real machinist like yourself might find
    interesting. It mostly involved tube bending - we had to make some custom tooling for it.

    The classes that are available now are ---so--- much better than when I took 'em when I was
    starting out. The stuff that we were being shown in class had exactly nothing to do with what we
    did at work. With the availability of reasonably priced CAD/CAM software and CNC machines that
    are not too expensive (and still have a lot of cool features), the cost of setting up a shop to
    do proto work is so much more within the reach of everyday people. (Obviously, some of those
    machines are not well suited to 24-7 operation...)

    Quoted message said:

    Too bad you don't live in SoCal - I'd like to pick your brain.

    Granted, it isn't the same as holding a part in your paw (which makes for much easier
    visualization of what the intended outcome is to be), but I'm not hard to get hold of...

    --
    tanx, Howard

    "I'm not lying, I'm writing fiction with my lips!" Homer Simpson

    remove YOUR SHOES to reply, ok?

  7. In article <[email hidden]>,

    (jerry) said:

    The hangers that are on all my AL frames, and his, are break away styles that bolt on. Its a
    fairly complex shape where it bolts to the dropout, it dovetails with the dropout shape. Also the
    der. tension adjustment tab would not be that simple to locate and form by hand.

    Some of the bolt-on style hangers I've seen are relatively straightforward shapes and could be
    done fairly easily on a manual mill. But if the shapes around where it hooks in by the stays are
    more complex, that would certainly make it a harder stunt to do on a manual. Still do-able,
    though it might take a bit of work with a grinder to fine tune the shape.

    Quoted message said:

    NO, I am no machinist, but I did try to have one MADE by a machine shop locally for an older GT
    MTB, and that part would have been pretty impractical to make manually, according to the
    machinists, and they wanted to laser the profile and then machine in the features. It would have
    been a very expensive piece.

    Laser!!!! Oh my... Well, I know that there are frequently a multitude of procedures for
    extracting a part from the stock, but some are much more efficient than others. Sometimes it's
    very worthwhile to shop a project like this one around a bit, Jerry. You might find a guy who's
    just interested in doing it for the fun or challenge of it. Or a guy who would be willing to do
    it as a side project after regular work (which might or might not make the time factor bad). I
    can tell you that there's a lot of machine shops out where I am that are not working many hours
    and might welcome a small, quicky job like that.

    --
    tanx, Howard

    "I'm not lying, I'm writing fiction with my lips!" Homer Simpson

    remove YOUR SHOES to reply, ok?

  8. [email hidden] (Wayne) wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    JP has 10 top tens out of 30 UCI events this season. In Belgium. Where I think a bunch of good
    cross racers live. He has 10 finishes between 11-20th.

    Last year he had 3 top tens. I think that is a big jump.

    His UCI ranking doesn't seem to reflect this!

    His ranking doesn't reflect this cause he did not do any UCI races in the US this year (except
    nats), where last year he had three or four podiums in Cat 2-3 races in october, to the tune of
    maybe 75 points or so.

    So, while he wishes he were top 25 right now, he has done well to replace the US points he got last
    year with all euro points this year. Also, a fine point, but he always seems to end up _just_ out of
    the points, so a small improvement will result in points being scored. Not many, true, but 5 points
    times 10 races is 25% more points then he has right now.

    This season has been a disappointment for him in alot of ways, as he has just been knocking on the
    door all year. Kinda weird.

    UCI points are [censored], as evidenced by Jackson, Gully, and Wells all being ahead of him right now, and
    Ryan is right behind him. Not that they are not good riders, but, seriously....compare their
    programs. This is the reason the euros are squawking so loudly about the US Cat 3 races. Its taking
    $$ out of their pockets.

    J

    BTW - WC 2004 Picks:

    1. Mario
    2. Wellens
    3. Vervecken
    4. Groenendaal
    5. Nijs ....
    6. JP
    7. Jackson
    8. Andy

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