Phil is right. To know if you are in the ballpark, program some races into
your training.
I'd stick with an occasional 10k, since you can recover from them in a few
days.
They are also an excellent lactate threshold workout.
A half marathon will wreck the next training week because of the recovery
time.
If you can run low 41's, and you've got a good base (50+ mpw), and you get
your long runs in, I'd say you have an excellent chance.
Based on your typical paces, I'd say you have the talent to break 3 if you
got serious.
-- Dan
"Phil M." <[email hidden]> wrote in message
news:[email hidden]...
Quoted message said:One dark day on Usenet, "KYRunner" <[email hidden]> said
news:4WjKc.103161$a24.4408@attbi_s03:
Quoted message said:I would really like to run Boston next year so I have been trying to
get serious about my running. I have ran two marathons in the past,
the last being WDW in 2001. I am 34 male but will be 35 this fall so
I will need a 3:15 to qualify. A friend a work convinced me to run
the Houston marathon with him (his first and he wants to go back to
his hometown to run it) in January.
My question: Is this a reasonable goal for me or am I expecting to
much and courting disastor by trying.
Here is this weeks workout:
Monday - Rest
Tuesday - 3 miles at 7:21 pace
Wednesday- 6 miles at 7:55 pace under 70% heart rate (
(max-resting)*.70 + resting) for me 176)
Thursday - 3 miles at 6:58 pace (nice weather that day 🙂)
Friday - Rest
Saturday - 12 miles at 7:59 pace under 70% (8:03 first half - 7:55
2nd half first negative long run)
Sunday - Will run 6 miles under 70% expect around 7:50 or so
Any recent racing history? Based on the various tables you would need to
be able to run these race times in order to be "in shape" for a 3:15
marathon (assuming you've trained for the distance with appropriate
mileage, long runs, etc.)
10K - 41:33
10 Mile - 1:09:37
1/2 Marathon - 1:32:28
Phil M.
--
If you can empty your own boat
Crossing the river of the world,
No one will oppose you,
No one will seek to harm you. -Chuang Tzu