Can Kloden Overtake Basso?

musette said:

Here is the situation, after Alpe d'Huez:

2. Ivan Basso (CSC) at 3'48"
3. Andreas Kloden (TMO) at 5'03"

Here are the results from last year's ITT for Basso, although he is in better condition this year:

Stage 19 - Saturday, July 26: Pornic - Nantes, TT, 49 km (note shorter distance than this year's ITT)
22 Ivan Basso (Ita) Fassa Bortolo +2.16 (to Millar)

Friday, July 18: Gaillac - Cap' Découverte, TT, 47 km
20 Ivan Basso (Ita) Fassa Bortolo +6.00 (to JU)

I think so. I aso think Jan has an outside shot at ovetaking Basso and less so Kloden.
I never would have said this before today, but Bassos' podium spot looks a little shakey.
This makes tomorrows stage very interesting. I think Basso needs to attack to get more time into Jan and Kloden and vice versa. The whole dynamics on T-Mobile will be very interesting. 2-4 spots are very much up in the air.

Perro Loco said:

I think so. I aso think Jan has an outside shot at ovetaking Basso and less so Kloden.
I never would have said this before today, but Bassos' podium spot looks a little shakey.
This makes tomorrows stage very interesting. I think Basso needs to attack to get more time into Jan and Kloden and vice versa. The whole dynamics on T-Mobile will be very interesting. 2-4 spots are very much up in the air.

Agreed re: T-Mobile and Basso needing each to attack. The question is whether USPS can benefit by having CSC counter T-M attacks, and having T-M counter CSC attacks. 🙂

musette said:

Agreed re: T-Mobile and Basso needing each to attack. The question is whether USPS can benefit by having CSC counter T-M attacks, and having T-M counter CSC attacks. 🙂

USPS will follow if Basso goes if T-mobile goes near the end maybe not Jan is near 8 minutes down. But true they will let the other team do the work to some degree. For a stage that I thought might be anticlimatic- - despite its difficulty this could be very intersting.

Perro Loco said:

USPS will follow if Basso goes if T-mobile goes near the end maybe not Jan is near 8 minutes down. But true they will let the other team do the work to some degree. For a stage that I thought might be anticlimatic- - despite its difficulty this could be very intersting.

Postal can only benefit from CSC tomorrow. Basso clearly has to make a mark tomorrow to survive Kloden and Ullrich in stage 20's TT. I'm thinking Postal rides CSC's wheel tomorrow until CSC attacks, then follows the T-Mobile chase. If LA is eating his wheaties, he finishes it all off on the Col de la Croix-Fry with a cl0ose stage win...

But if you predict, you're wrong. So let's watch some racing! )

musette said:

Here is the situation, after Alpe d'Huez:

2. Ivan Basso (CSC) at 3'48"
3. Andreas Kloden (TMO) at 5'03"

Here are the results from last year's ITT for Basso, although he is in better condition this year:

Stage 19 - Saturday, July 26: Pornic - Nantes, TT, 49 km (note shorter distance than this year's ITT)
22 Ivan Basso (Ita) Fassa Bortolo +2.16 (to Millar)

Friday, July 18: Gaillac - Cap' Découverte, TT, 47 km
20 Ivan Basso (Ita) Fassa Bortolo +6.00 (to JU)

frrr