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Cycling- The Dangers

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UK and Europe
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8 August 2007
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9 August 2007
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spindrift
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  1. Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    The key points of which are, as a means of transport walking is more
    dangerous that cycle, Cycling in Britain is safer than driving in some
    European counties, Cycling is far safer than driving anywhere, Cycling
    gets safer as it gets more popular, and that There is no known example
    in recent decades when an increase in cycling led to an increase in
    cyclist deaths.

    http://www.networks.nhs.uk/uploads/06/09/wardlaw.pdf

    In fact the truism that the more cyclists there are the safer the
    roads become seems to be bolstered by the London explosion in cycling-
    cycling rates up 80% in 5 years but the accident rate is down:

    http://www.tfl.gov.uk/modalpages/972.aspx

    Safety in numbers: more walkers and bicyclists, safer walking and
    bicycling
    P L Jacobsen

    Conclusion: A motorist is less likely to collide with a person walking
    and bicycling if more people walk or bicycle. Policies that increase
    the numbers of people walking and bicycling appear to be an effective
    route to improving the safety of people walking and bicycling.

    http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/cgi/content/short/9/3/205

    More cycling is making UK roads safer
    Oct 20th
    CTC has welcomed news that an increase in cycling has made it safer to
    cycle on UK roads.
    Basing its figures on Department for Transport statistics, CTC
    estimates that cycle use in the UK has increased by 10 per cent since
    1993, and that the rate of reported pedal casualties has decreased by
    more than 34
    per cent over the same period.

    Roger Geffen, CTC campaigns and policy manager, said:

    "The relationship between increased cycle use and reduced cycle
    casualties found in mainland Europe also holds for Britain - the more
    people that cycle, the safer it is to cycle."

    http://www.bikebiz.co.uk/news/22045/More-cycling-is-making-UK-roads-safer

    The more people cycle, the more aware drivers become and the safer the
    roads are for cyclists.

    http://www.tfl.gov.uk/corporate/media/newscentre/4188.aspx

    CYCLING MAKES ROADS SAFER!

    Recent statistics gathered throughout the UK confirm that an increase
    in cycle use leads to safer roads. Apart from the fact that drivers
    who also cycle tend to be more aware of other road users, more
    cyclists on the road ensures that even drivers who don't cycle are
    more likely to expect the presence of cyclists, motorcyclists and
    pedestrians.

    http://www.cyclingscotland.org/didyouknow.aspx

    After all, the more people who take up cycling, the safer it will be
    for all road users, not just for cyclists - hence the conference
    title:

    "Safer Cycling = More Cycling = Safer Cycling = More Cycling = Safer
    Cycling = More Cycling ....."

    http://www.ctc.org.uk/DesktopDefault.aspx?TabID=4802

    Perception is a big problem here," says Wilson. "Unsurprisingly, many
    people think cycling is dangerous but it has been proved that the more
    cyclists there are on the road, the safer it is per cyclist. Drivers
    get used to them."

    http://motoring.independent.co.uk/features/article1088929.ece

    Isn't this the kind of material to focus on rather than the rather
    hysterical inflation of the dangers of cycling in, for example, the
    London Freewheel Press Release?

  2. spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    The key points of which are, as a means of transport walking is more
    dangerous that cycle, Cycling in Britain is safer than driving in some
    European counties, Cycling is far safer than driving anywhere, Cycling
    gets safer as it gets more popular, and that There is no known example
    in recent decades when an increase in cycling led to an increase in
    cyclist deaths.

    I think you should probably be a bit more careful with qualifications
    and attributions.

    There is more to being "a report from the NHS" than being available on a
    server in an HHS domain.

    Further on qualifications, it's entirely likely that a 1,000% increase
    in cycling will increase the number of cyclist deaths, but the important
    point is that the /rates/ of deaths will probably decrease. It is worth
    being careful about this sort of distinction out IMHO, or eeejits will
    just accuse of trying to lie with statistics. It is telling that the
    original key point you've related as "Cycling is far safer than driving
    anywhere" is actually "Cycling is far safer than driving anywhere when
    the health benefits and reduced risk to third parties are included".

    Quoted message said:

    Isn't this the kind of material to focus on rather than the rather
    hysterical inflation of the dangers of cycling in, for example, the
    London Freewheel Press Release?

    Indeed, but when focusing I don't think it helps to do the sort of
    selective editing that will lead to people dismissing it. Ironically, I
    got accused a wee while ago of being a "weasel" by carefully qualifying
    things I said, though that was in the context of giving careful answers
    to deliberately (mis)leading questions. Blatant spinning should be
    deprecated though, it doesn't help in today's climate.

    Pete.
    --
    Peter Clinch Medical Physics IT Officer
    Tel 44 1382 660111 ext. 33637 Univ. of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital
    Fax 44 1382 640177 Dundee DD1 9SY Scotland UK
    net [email hidden] http://www.dundee.ac.uk/~pjclinch/

  3. "Further on qualifications, it's entirely likely that a 1,000%
    increase
    in cycling will increase the number of cyclist deaths, but the
    important
    point is that the /rates/ of deaths will probably decrease."

    Quite right, I should have made that clear, especially cos the Evading
    Standard trumpetted the rise in cycling accidents whilst ignoring the
    explosion in cycling rates!

    I just felt the Freewheel caveats, whilst probably a condition of
    their public liability insurance, was akin to saying:

    "Cycling is safe, fun and will prolong your life. Warning! You may
    die!!"

  4. On Wed, 08 Aug 2007 14:13:05 +0100 someone who may be Peter Clinch
    <[email hidden]> wrote this:-

    Quoted message said:

    Ironically, I
    got accused a wee while ago of being a "weasel" by carefully qualifying
    things I said, though that was in the context of giving careful answers
    to deliberately (mis)leading questions.

    If people are attacking one's viewpoint then that is a good
    indication that one is right and causing others to be uncomfortable.

    --
    David Hansen, Edinburgh
    I will *always* explain revoked encryption keys, unless RIP prevents me
    http://www.opsi.gov.uk/acts/acts2000/00023--e.htm#54

  5. spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    Quoted message said:

    http://www.networks.nhs.uk/uploads/06/09/wardlaw.pdf

    I note that the cyclists have ignored the mandatory cycle
    lane on page 355 ;-)

  6. Martin Dann said:


    spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    Quoted message said:

    http://www.networks.nhs.uk/uploads/06/09/wardlaw.pdf

    I note that the cyclists have ignored the mandatory cycle lane on page
    355 ;-)

    It's not a mandatory cycle lane, at least I can't see I sign to say that
    it is, the white line is solid meaning that the cars should't be parked
    there but nothing says that the cyclists should be

  7. On Wed, 08 Aug 2007 14:32:28 GMT someone who may be Martin Dann
    <[email hidden]> wrote this:-

    Quoted message said:
    spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    Quoted message said:

    http://www.networks.nhs.uk/uploads/06/09/wardlaw.pdf

    I note that the cyclists have ignored the mandatory cycle
    lane on page 355 ;-)

    Tee, hee, hee.

    Given that it is not mandatory for cyclists to use such a lane, but
    it is mandatory for motorists not to use such a lane, shouldn't the
    police be upholding the law and dealing with the criminals who are
    clearly using the lane?

    --
    David Hansen, Edinburgh
    I will *always* explain revoked encryption keys, unless RIP prevents me
    http://www.opsi.gov.uk/acts/acts2000/00023--e.htm#54

  8. David Hansen said:


    Given that it is not mandatory for cyclists to use such a lane, but
    it is mandatory for motorists not to use such a lane, shouldn't the
    police be upholding the law and dealing with the criminals who are
    clearly using the lane?

    Because as no doubt TrollB and his sidekick Another Troll There is One
    You Know will be along to inform you, their presence parked there is no
    evidence of their having illegally driving in the cycle lane - they
    could have legally levitated into position ;-)

    Tony

  9. marc said:
    Martin Dann said:


    I note that the cyclists have ignored the mandatory cycle lane on
    page 355 ;-)

    It's not a mandatory cycle lane, at least I can't see I sign to say
    that it is, the white line is solid meaning

    ... meaning that it IS a mandatory cycle lane. That's what a solid
    line means - that it's a mandatory lane. If it's not a mandatory
    lane, it has a broken line.

    Quoted message said:

    but nothing says that the cyclists should be

    Eh? Whether a cycle lane is a mandatory one or not has no bearing on
    cyclists in teh vicinity. Your comment appears to be a non-sequitur.

    regards, Ian SMith
    --
    |\ /| no .sig
    |o o|
    |/ \|

  10. Just thanks for an interesting and informative thread; much
    appreciated.

    --
    Charles

  11. Tony Raven said:
    David Hansen said:

    Given that it is not mandatory for cyclists to use such a lane, but
    it is mandatory for motorists not to use such a lane, shouldn't the
    police be upholding the law and dealing with the criminals who are
    clearly using the lane?

    Because as no doubt TrollB and his sidekick Another Troll There is One
    You Know will be along to inform you, their presence parked there is no
    evidence of their having illegally driving in the cycle lane - they
    could have legally levitated into position ;-)

    Tony

    I am supprised that you cant speak up for yourself without having to
    resort to slinging 'troll' 'troll' at those who don't sahre your
    viewpoint, there is one you know...

  12. David Hansen said:

    On Wed, 08 Aug 2007 14:13:05 +0100 someone who may be Peter Clinch
    <[email hidden]> wrote this:-

    Quoted message said:

    Ironically, I
    got accused a wee while ago of being a "weasel" by carefully qualifying
    things I said, though that was in the context of giving careful answers
    to deliberately (mis)leading questions.

    If people are attacking one's viewpoint then that is a good
    indication that one is right and causing others to be uncomfortable.

    Yes. :-)

    --
    Matt B

  13. "David Hansen" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    On Wed, 08 Aug 2007 14:13:05 +0100 someone who may be Peter Clinch
    <[email hidden]> wrote this:-

    Quoted message said:

    Ironically, I
    got accused a wee while ago of being a "weasel" by carefully qualifying
    things I said, though that was in the context of giving careful answers
    to deliberately (mis)leading questions.

    If people are attacking one's viewpoint then that is a good
    indication that one is right and causing others to be uncomfortable.

    Or it could be that the viewpoint is wrong and potentially damaging.

    (e.g. cycle helmet compulsion is a good thing because helmets save lives).

  14. spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    Is that what you think? What you actually found is a copy of a 4.5
    year-old article from "tec" magazine. "tec" (Traffic Engineering and
    Control) is a magazine for traffic planners. The author is a well know
    cycling campaigner.

    Quoted message said:

    The key points of which are, as a means of transport walking is more
    dangerous that cycle,

    The units he uses for comparisons - risk per kilometre - are the same
    units that received so much derision here (mainly from you IIRC) when,
    by using them, it was shown that cyclists pose more of a risk to
    pedestrians than white van men do in urban streets. Remember???

    --
    Matt B

  15. marc said:
    Martin Dann said:


    spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.

    Quoted message said:

    http://www.networks.nhs.uk/uploads/06/09/wardlaw.pdf

    I note that the cyclists have ignored the mandatory cycle lane on page
    355 ;-)

    It's not a mandatory cycle lane, at least I can't see I sign to say that
    it is,

    It doesn't need a sign - it needs a solid white line.

    Quoted message said:

    the white line is solid meaning that the cars should't be parked
    there

    Or as HC rule 119 puts it:

    "You MUST NOT drive or park in a cycle lane marked by a solid white line
    during its times of operation."

    So, let's give the motorists the benefit of the doubt eh?

    Quoted message said:

    but nothing says that the cyclists should be

    I think the clue is in the ";-)".

    --
    Matt B

  16. David Hansen said:

    On Wed, 08 Aug 2007 14:32:28 GMT someone who may be Martin Dann
    <[email hidden]> wrote this:-

    Quoted message said:
    spindrift said:

    Just recently I came across a report from the NHS entitled Cycling -
    the actual risks which makes for interesting reading.
    http://www.networks.nhs.uk/uploads/06/09/wardlaw.pdf


    I note that the cyclists have ignored the mandatory cycle
    lane on page 355 ;-)

    Tee, hee, hee.

    Given that it is not mandatory for cyclists to use such a lane, but
    it is mandatory for motorists not to use such a lane,

    Tee, hee, hee. Given that the HC says that they /can/ use the lane
    quite _legally_ outside of its times of operation.

    Quoted message said:

    shouldn't the
    police be upholding the law and dealing with the criminals who are
    clearly using the lane?

    It may be "clear" to you - but, perhaps you are seeing something which
    isn't there. ;-)

    --
    Matt B

  17. Tony Raven said:
    David Hansen said:


    Given that it is not mandatory for cyclists to use such a lane, but
    it is mandatory for motorists not to use such a lane, shouldn't the
    police be upholding the law and dealing with the criminals who are
    clearly using the lane?

    Because as no doubt TrollB and his sidekick Another Troll There is One
    You Know will be along to inform you, their presence parked there is no
    evidence of their having illegally driving in the cycle lane

    And they'd be correct wouldn't they?

    Quoted message said:

    - they
    could have legally levitated into position ;-)

    Yes, or just simply driven there legally ;-)

    --
    Matt B

  18. " Or it could be that the viewpoint is wrong and potentially
    damaging."

    Or it could be that the ABD member and defender of killer drivers
    trollb has its inane, ill-informed and asinine views attacked so often
    because it's a proven liar who deliberately disrupts this board by
    asking the same question over and over and over again or spamming
    threads with multiple posts minutes after each other- see below.

    Please don't engage with it, ignoring it would be the worst possible
    punishment and would foster an sense of bitter grievance that would,
    with any luck, develop into brain cancer.

  19. "The units he uses for comparisons - risk per kilometre - are the
    same
    units that received so much derision here (mainly from you IIRC)
    when,
    by using them, it was shown that cyclists pose more of a risk to
    pedestrians than white van men do in urban streets."

    A bare faced lie. "Urban streets" wasn't mentioned when Paul Smith of
    the Safespeeding campaign encouraging motorists to break the law
    released his silly press release. Stop telling lies.

  20. spindrift said:

    that would, with any luck, develop into brain cancer.

    That seems to be making a rather big assumption about the presence of a
    certain organ... ;-/

    Pete.
    --
    Peter Clinch Medical Physics IT Officer
    Tel 44 1382 660111 ext. 33637 Univ. of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital
    Fax 44 1382 640177 Dundee DD1 9SY Scotland UK
    net [email hidden] http://www.dundee.ac.uk/~pjclinch/

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