Absolutely, you've made some great points about estimating wattage and the importance of balancing fun with improvement. To add to the discussion, it's worth noting that while formulas can provide a rough estimate, they may not account for individual differences in pedaling efficiency, bike fit, and other factors that can impact power output.
Another approach to estimating wattage is to use online calculators or mobile apps that take into account your weight, FTP, and other variables. These tools can offer a more personalized estimate, but they still have their limitations and should be used with caution.
Ultimately, as you've said, it's essential to focus on consistent training, progressive goals, and enjoying the ride. Remember, wattage is just one metric among many, and it's not the only measure of success or performance. By keeping a balanced perspective and staying curious about the sport, we can continue to grow and improve as cyclists while keeping the joy of riding alive. Happy pedaling!