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Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

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12 July 2004
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brian roth
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  1. found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion Bernard
    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will score the
    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled in
    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50 at
    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's fifth
    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to the
    club."

  2. brian roth said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion Bernard
    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will score the
    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled in
    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50 at
    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's fifth
    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to the
    club."

    He could have easily said:

    "Armstrong looks to have a solid chance to win his sixth Tour -- almost as
    good a chance as the rest of the field combined."

    50-50 is quite good odds, especially considering nobody's ever pulled off the
    #6.

    Dan

  3. brian roth said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion Bernard
    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will score the
    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled in
    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50 at
    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's fifth
    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to the
    club."

    He could have easily said:

    "Armstrong looks to have a solid chance to win his sixth Tour -- almost as
    good a chance as the rest of the field combined."

    50-50 is quite good odds, especially considering nobody's ever pulled off the
    #6.

    Dan

  4. "brian roth" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion


    Bernard

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will


    score the

    Quoted message said:

    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled


    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50


    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's


    fifth

    Quoted message said:

    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to


    the

    Quoted message said:

    club."

    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder what
    Hinault would say today?

  5. "brian roth" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion


    Bernard

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will


    score the

    Quoted message said:

    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled


    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50


    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's


    fifth

    Quoted message said:

    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to


    the

    Quoted message said:

    club."

    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder what
    Hinault would say today?

  6. "trg" wrote...

    Quoted message said:


    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder what
    Hinault would say today?

    Especially given Lance's self-assessment that he is in "much better" shape
    this year per the Lance Chronicles.

  7. "trg" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "brian roth" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion


    Bernard

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will


    score the

    Quoted message said:

    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he


    struggled

    Quoted message said:

    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only


    50-50

    Quoted message said:

    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's


    fifth

    Quoted message said:

    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to


    the

    Quoted message said:

    club."

    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder what
    Hinault would say today?


    The other day on French TV, when asked whether Armstrong would win a sixth,
    he replied brusquely like he was tired of answering the question, "Je m'en
    fou" (I could care less), adding "if Mercxx concentrated only on the Tour
    he'd probably still be winning the thing"

  8. "Jim Flom" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:keyIc.37425$eO.29828@edtnps89...

    Quoted message said:

    "trg" wrote...

    Quoted message said:


    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder what
    Hinault would say today?

    Especially given Lance's self-assessment that he is in "much better" shape
    this year per the Lance Chronicles.

    Never listen to the "self assessment" of an athlete that has used
    misinformation as a strategic tool.

    Today I heard Roll comment on the weather this year relative to last year.
    He seems to think that Armstrong's problems were caused by the heat. It was
    just as hot for everyone else, but some tolerate heat better than others. He
    may have a point. If Lance wins this year, we will know the anomoly last
    year was caused by the weather and not age or any other factor related to
    the passing of time.

  9. (brian roth) said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled in
    the mountains last year,

    Won Stage 15 Luz Ardiden, lost no significant time to GC contenders on
    other Mt. Stages (2:12 to Mayo, along with everybody else but Vino, on
    L'Alpe d'Huez), 3rd in KOM. "Not dominant" perhaps. "Struggling" a
    bit hyperbolic.

    I would expect similar Mt. results this year, maybe no Mt. Stages, win
    ITT at Besançon, and yellow in Paris.
    --dt

  10. "matabala" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "trg" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "brian roth" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion


    Bernard

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will


    score the

    Quoted message said:

    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he


    struggled

    Quoted message said:

    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only


    50-50

    Quoted message said:

    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After


    Armstrong's

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    fifth

    Quoted message said:

    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome


    to

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    the

    Quoted message said:

    club."

    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder what
    Hinault would say today?


    The other day on French TV, when asked whether Armstrong would win a


    sixth,

    Quoted message said:

    he replied brusquely like he was tired of answering the question, "Je m'en
    fou" (I could care less), adding "if Mercxx concentrated only on the Tour
    he'd probably still be winning the thing"


    In the same interview he said that it makes no sense to compare riders from
    different eras.

  11. trg said:


    "matabala" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "trg" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "brian roth" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...
    > found at www.dallasnews.com
    >
    >
    > Hinault doubts Armstrong can win
    >
    > Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour


    champion

    Quoted message said:

    Bernard
    > Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong


    will

    Quoted message said:

    score the
    > elusive sixth win.
    >
    > "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he


    struggled

    Quoted message said:

    in
    > the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only


    50-50

    Quoted message said:

    at
    > best," Hinault said.
    >
    > Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After


    Armstrong's

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    fifth
    > victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome


    to

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    the
    > club."

    This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder


    what

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault would say today?


    The other day on French TV, when asked whether Armstrong would win a


    sixth,

    Quoted message said:

    he replied brusquely like he was tired of answering the question, "Je
    m'en
    fou" (I could care less), adding "if Mercxx concentrated only on the
    Tour
    he'd probably still be winning the thing"


    In the same interview he said that it makes no sense to compare riders
    from
    different eras.

    I don't think that it does make sense. Now, you have people spending
    hours in wind tunnels trying to get as aerodynamic as possible. Heck,
    Lance even takes drinks a particular way to benefit aerodynamics. And
    then you have different bikes, different training, better analysis of
    diet, HR, etc. The list goes on and on.

    --
    Bob in CT
    Remove ".x" to reply

  12. "Bob in CT" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:
    trg said:


    "matabala" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "trg" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...
    >
    > "brian roth" <[email hidden]> a écrit dans le message de
    > news:[email hidden]...
    > > found at www.dallasnews.com
    > >
    > >
    > > Hinault doubts Armstrong can win
    > >
    > > Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour
    champion
    > Bernard
    > > Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong
    will
    > score the
    > > elusive sixth win.
    > >
    > > "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he
    struggled
    > in
    > > the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only
    50-50
    > at
    > > best," Hinault said.
    > >
    > > Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After


    Armstrong's

    Quoted message said:

    > fifth
    > > victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said,


    "Welcome

    Quoted message said:
    Quoted message said:

    to

    Quoted message said:

    > the
    > > club."
    >
    > This quote is about a month old, just after the Dauphiné. I wonder
    what
    > Hinault would say today?
    >
    >
    The other day on French TV, when asked whether Armstrong would win a


    sixth,

    Quoted message said:

    he replied brusquely like he was tired of answering the question, "Je
    m'en
    fou" (I could care less), adding "if Mercxx concentrated only on the
    Tour
    he'd probably still be winning the thing"


    In the same interview he said that it makes no sense to compare riders
    from
    different eras.

    I don't think that it does make sense. Now, you have people spending
    hours in wind tunnels trying to get as aerodynamic as possible. Heck,
    Lance even takes drinks a particular way to benefit aerodynamics. And
    then you have different bikes, different training, better analysis of
    diet, HR, etc. The list goes on and on.


    I agree. But that's all interviewers seem to want to know.

  13. "brian roth" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion


    Bernard

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will


    score the

    Quoted message said:

    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled


    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50


    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's


    fifth

    Quoted message said:

    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to


    the

    Quoted message said:

    club."

    I wonder what Hinault will say if Armstrong creates the #6 Club.

    Dave

  14. Pistof said:

    I wonder what Hinault will say if Armstrong creates the #6 Club.

    "You can't compare riders of different eras. If Merckx wanted to
    concentrate on the TdF, he'd still be riding. If I wanted to
    concentrate of the TdF, I'd have won 8. If EPO was around in my era,
    I'd have won 10." Etc. Etc.

    --dt

  15. "brian roth" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled


    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50


    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Tour de Tech: It's all about fit
    By Lennard Zinn
    VeloNews technical writer
    This report filed July 8, 2004
    http://www.velonews.com/tour2004/tech/articles/6501.0.html
    One example is the hip problem Lance Armstrong had in 2003. The man on his
    way to a fifth successive Tour win had received new shoes and cranks shortly
    before the start of the Tour. The Q-factor of the new pre-production
    Dura-Ace 10-speed cranks were apparently greater than that of the Dura-Ace
    9-s), placing his feet wider apart. Current production models have the same
    Q-factor as the old cranks. Another explanation could have simply been
    mis-location of the cleats on the new shoes. In any case, something was
    askew, and Armstrong had to make adjustments in mid-Tour to minimize the
    pain, but it never went completely away during the race, simply because he
    had no chance to recover.

    Armstrong was also in the midst of a divorce during last year's Tour. Given
    the reports of his devotion to his kids, that may have had some effect on
    his mental state. But then, we don't need to make excuses for last year,
    right? He won.

    Sounds like Hinault is worried...

    Cheers,
    Ears

  16. [email hidden] (brian roth) wrote in message news:<[email hidden]>...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion Bernard
    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will score the
    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled in
    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50 at
    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's fifth
    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to the
    club."

    Given the fact that Armstrong has more than one challenger,
    50-50 odds of him winning implies that Armstrong is the favorite.
    Once again, proof that Hinault is an idiot, apart from his
    other obvious faults.

    -ilan

  17. "matabala" <[email hidden]> wrote in message

    Quoted message said:

    The other day on French TV, when asked whether Armstrong would win a


    sixth,

    Quoted message said:

    he replied brusquely like he was tired of answering the question, "Je m'en
    fou" (I could care less), adding "if Mercxx concentrated only on the Tour
    he'd probably still be winning the thing"

    I had not heard that one. I like it.

    Thanks

  18. "Ears" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:


    "brian roth" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he


    struggled

    Quoted message said:

    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only


    50-50

    Quoted message said:

    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Tour de Tech: It's all about fit
    By Lennard Zinn
    VeloNews technical writer
    This report filed July 8, 2004
    http://www.velonews.com/tour2004/tech/articles/6501.0.html
    One example is the hip problem Lance Armstrong had in 2003. The man on his
    way to a fifth successive Tour win had received new shoes and cranks


    shortly

    Quoted message said:

    before the start of the Tour. The Q-factor of the new pre-production
    Dura-Ace 10-speed cranks were apparently greater than that of the Dura-Ace
    9-s), placing his feet wider apart. Current production models have the


    same

    Quoted message said:

    Q-factor as the old cranks. Another explanation could have simply been
    mis-location of the cleats on the new shoes. In any case, something was
    askew, and Armstrong had to make adjustments in mid-Tour to minimize the
    pain, but it never went completely away during the race, simply because he
    had no chance to recover.

    Armstrong was also in the midst of a divorce during last year's Tour.


    Given

    Quoted message said:

    the reports of his devotion to his kids, that may have had some effect on
    his mental state. But then, we don't need to make excuses for last year,
    right? He won.

    Sounds like Hinault is worried...

    Cheers,
    Ears

    It is all about PR. Make the competition think that 2003 was an anomoly so
    they don't become optimistic about Armstrong's chances of losing.

  19. "brian roth" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour champion


    Bernard

    Quoted message said:

    Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour doubts Armstrong will


    score the

    Quoted message said:

    elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he struggled


    in

    Quoted message said:

    the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of winning are only 50-50


    at

    Quoted message said:

    best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After Armstrong's


    fifth

    Quoted message said:

    victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand and said, "Welcome to


    the

    Quoted message said:

    club."

    So far, Lance has rode the perfect race. Barring a crash or illness he
    should win !!

  20. Pistof said:

    "brian roth" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
    news:[email hidden]...

    Quoted message said:

    found at www.dallasnews.com

    Hinault doubts Armstrong can win

    Saturday's stage rolled past the birthplace of five-time Tour
    champion Bernard Hinault, but the last Frenchman to win the Tour
    doubts Armstrong will score the elusive sixth win.

    "He has not looked that good this year, and everyone saw how he
    struggled in the mountains last year, so I'd say his chances of
    winning are only 50-50 at best," Hinault said.

    Hinault presents prizes on the podium during the Tour. After
    Armstrong's fifth victory last year, Hinault shook Armstrong's hand
    and said, "Welcome to the club."

    I wonder what Hinault will say if Armstrong creates the #6 Club.

    Dave


    Congratulations. (And thanks again for making everyone forget about Lemond
    🙂 )

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