"dkomo" <[email hidden]> wrote in message
"]news:[email hidden]...
Quoted message said:Tim Tyler said:
Here's an essay I wrote recently about life's direction.
originoflife.netdirectionOpen ↗
[snip]
Quoted message said:Another oldie-but-goodie from talk.origins 10/12/2003:
howard hershey said:
dkomo <[email hidden]> wrote in message
news:<[email hidden]>...
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:howard hershey wrote:
>
> littleblondgirl wrote:
[snip ... this is a partial re-creation of my response.]
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:
>> On the other hand, those who deny progress could
easily be wrong.
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:
> No, they cannot. Where is the pattern of progress?
The pattern is that the complexity of the *most*
complex organisms in
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:any time period has been generally increasing over the
past billion
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:years or so. This is compatible with the simplistic
model of a random
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:walk away from a reflecting barrier. At any given
time you'll have a
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:spread of organisms with varying complexities, but the
right hand side
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:of the distribution will move further to the right
with increasing
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:time.
The extent to which this is true is arguable precisely
because we do
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:not have a real (single) metric of 'complexity'. Gould
used 'size' as
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:a rough substitute metric for 'complexity'. If you do
that (and size
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:is a pretty reasonable approximation of complexity), I
would think
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:that there might be two points in time at which there
has been a
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:*significant* change in the shape of the curve: At and
near the start
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:of abiogenesis and at and near the invention of
multicellularity. But
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:not long (say a few hundred million years) afterward, I
would expect
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:that such a curve would reach a steady-state shape. The
modal
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:organism in all cases would remain single-celled and
bacteria-like.
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:
The trouble with this random walk model, attributed to
Gould, is that
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:it is mathematically equivalent to a diffusion
process, and diffusion
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:produces a spread away from the origin with a
probability virtually
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:equally to one. This implies that growth of
complexity in evolution
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:is an *inevitability*. Not even I believe that.
Nor do I. Mostly because I believe that there are
forces acting to
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:*decrease* complexity and that these forces *increase*
in intensity
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:with increasing complexity (forces such as predation by
unicellular
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:rapid growers).
There is one notable exception to this: human knowledge,
which due to
Quoted message said:a feedback effect, is increasing exponentially. That is,
the more
Quoted message said:complex our knowledge becomes, the faster that complexity
seems to
Quoted message said:increase. That's why the neurological dimension of
evolution is so
Quoted message said:important. It's the one area that appears to be still
unbounded.
Quoted message said:
Of course, you could consider human culture as being
outside the realm
Quoted message said:of biological evolution. If you look only at the physical
aspects of
Quoted message said:evolution then I think your idea of forces that oppose
increases in
Quoted message said:complexity is valid.
Quoted message said:IOW, I do not see a completely random walk. I see a
state where it becomes increasingly difficult to get
*more* complex
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:when one is already complex. This does not prevent
getting more
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:complex, but the conditions have to be just right to do
so. This
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:would produce a roughly 'steady-state' condition rather
than one in
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:which drift can continue to the right. This is not a
'barrier' but a
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:softer resistance to flow to the right that become
harder the further
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:to the right one goes.
Introduction to
Quoted message said:Philosophy of Biology_ they devote a chapter to discussion
of
Quoted message said:evolutionary progress and growth of complexity. In that
chapter they
Quoted message said:briefly mention _The Major Transitions in Evolution_ by
Maynard Smith
Quoted message said:and Szathmary. In their conception of life's history,
there are a
Quoted message said:series of major transitions and hence an inherent
directionality.
Quoted message said:
Sterelney and Griffith write:
"Maynard Smith and Szathmary do not formulate their ideas
in Gould's
Quoted message said:language, but if they did, the difference would be that
they do not
Quoted message said:regard the walls of the graph as fixed over time. The
major
Quoted message said:transitions in evolution are *movements of the walls.*
Until the
Quoted message said:foundations of eukaryotic life were gradually assembled,
there was a
Quoted message said:right wall, the intrinsic limit on the size and growth and
structural
Quoted message said:complexity of prokaryotes. In a certain timeless sense --
the sense
Quoted message said:in which Gould operates -- the right wall was open, but
for much of
Quoted message said:its history, bacteria evolution was confined within two
walls.
Quoted message said:Similarly, after the evolution of eukaryotes, there was
another shift
Quoted message said:of the right wall, but only a shift. The invention of the
organism
Quoted message said:required a complex series of evolutionary innovations.
Until these
Quoted message said:came into existence, there was a right boundary to
complexity set by
Quoted message said:the limits on a single eukaryotic cell...Once the
eukaryotic cell
existence,
Quoted message said:once cellular differentiation comes into existence, the
theatre in
Quoted message said:which the evolutionary drama takes place is changed
irreversibly. The
Quoted message said:boundaries change over time, and mostly in a direction
that increases
Quoted message said:the maximum possible complexity."
So there it is. Note the word "irreversibly." In
previous
Quoted message said:discussions of this topic I used the term "complexity's
ratchet." The
Quoted message said:movement is in general in the direction of increasing
complexity.
Quoted message said:This is also consistent with viewing the complexity graph
as
Quoted message said:*inevitably* diffusing to the right, as any n-body random
walk would
Quoted message said:do.
While there may be some occasional local decreases of
complexity for
Quoted message said:some life forms, mammals do not devolve back to bacteria
because such
Quoted message said:a progression would violate the irreversibility criterion.
Quoted message said:Similarly, there are forces that prevent an already
simple organism
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:from getting simpler (the left-hand wall).
The left wall has also shifted to the left, but only
slightly, because
Quoted message said:of the invention of viruses. There first had to be
bacteria before
Quoted message said:viruses could emerge.
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:That's as absurd as claiming there hasn't beeen *any*
growth in complexity
over a billion
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:Quoted message said:years and that bacteria are the apex of evolution.
There is no apex in evolution. There is only local
adaptation to
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:local conditions. Bacteria are not the apex of
evolution. They are
Quoted message said:Quoted message said:the modal organism.
Quoted message said:
I remember the statement in Michael Crichton's _Prey_ that
wherever
Quoted message said:you find bacteria, you also find bacteriophages that prey
on them.
Quoted message said:Perhaps then, phages should be considered the modal
"organism."
I like this approach--and I definitely agree with the
concept of "movable walls." IMO, complexity, when properly
measured (hah!) increases quantitatively to a limit, then,
jumps to a new window of opportunity, or qualitatively
higher level--windows representing the presence of left and
right walls as opposed to an unbounded right wall.
Complexity continues "progressing" in this hierarchical
manner, possibly without limit. One can look at this as
having a purpose, object, or goal, however I prefer to think
of these terms as only metaphors for the process, namely, a
natural, physical tendency, in its own right.
In considering the entire trend, holistically, I am reminded
that it is very similar to the processes described by Robert
Wright, in his book "Non Zero." In this book, he attempts to
ascribe the general "progress" of human culture over its
entire history to a natural law/tendency to accumulate "non-
zero summness," a games theory concept based on social
cooperative benefits vs competitive ones. He also concludes
there is a increasing positive direction to such overall
complexities, also likely lacking an upper bound, although
admittedly, he presents no precise theory justification or
hard evidence. It is a quite interesting book however, and a
games theory approach may ultimately turn out to be quite
useful in clarifying the many notions of biological
complexity and related questions. ...tonyC
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