runing07 said:I am a ... good to really good runner (10k cross country time of 30:30, outdoor track 10k of 29:15). ... I was wondering if anyone has had any success with transfering from a good runner to a really good cyclist, (elite level). How long would it take me to reach the elite level?
I think the honest answer is that you cannot really tell from your running ability how good a cyclist you would make. The most famous "cross over" would be Lance Armstrong, who was an excellent tri-athlete (so at least a competent, if not better, runner) who turned out to be the best stage-racer of his generation. A number of pro cyclists were soccer players in their earlier years. But the real problem is that running is largely an issue of aerobic capacity and stride efficiency, while cycling is predominantly an issue of horsepower. The best single indicator for cycling success is "functional threshold power" which is the max power a cyclist can generate for roughly one hour. Put slightly differently, the "standard" physiological measurement for a distance runner is VO2max, while for a cyclist it is VO2Max AND FTP (or an equivalent power measurement, such as power at lactate threshold). So while your running results imply a high VO2Max, you may or may not have the FTP to be an elite cyclist. In your post you indicate that since you are a very good, but not world class runner, you wonder if you could be a world class cyclist. At the levels you are interested in, you would need to find one of the truly "world class" testing labs, such as the Olympic training camp in Colorado Springs, and let them test you according to their protocols and tell you whether your goal is feasible. I believe Max Testa, another world class coach, has facilities in California. Perhaps someone else can provide you with more options for testing at the levels your question implies. I would guess that the likelihood is that you could be a very good cyclist, but determining whether you have Olympic or professional potential is a much more difficult question.