spindrift said:"That is *not* TRL421"
I didn't say it was, numpty. You can find the report online if you
like, but really, digging out your holy grail 5% figure and crowing
that this "proves" that speeding is safe is taking self-delusion to
another level. Speeding makes crashes more likely and increases the
severity of injuries. If you dispute this we can test it if you like,
I'll drive into you at 30 mph and then 50 mph and you can indicate by
blowing bloody froth from your mouth which hurt more.
What percentage of fatal accidents had speed as a factor, from the
latest DFT report, mmm?
Wouldn't be 26% would it?
The Association of Chief Police Officers says that speed is the most
important factor in road crashes, more so than even drink or drug
driving.
Marie Taylor, Group Manager of research into speed and accidents at
TRL, said of their numerous studies over the past decade into the
relationship between speed and crashes that: "The results from each
of the studies show unambiguously that higher speeds are associated
with more accidents." The research at TRL has found that "excessive
speed was recorded as a factor in more than a third of fatal
accidents" and that "the true effect of speed is likely to be even
greater than this".
And the ABD?
Here's their reasoning:
http://www.ex-parrot.com/~chris/wwwitter/20031211-they_like_driving_in_their_cars.html
They've fitted a line through the number of road casualties in 1993,
the year before the first cameras were introduced, and claim that this
represents a `trend' in the data. Specifically their claim is that the
number of fatalities in a given year should be falling by 166 each
year. Then, for years after 1993 and only for those years they've
plotted the difference between their `trend' line, and the actual
numbers of deaths. A leap through the correlation-implies-causation
window allows us to plummet to the conclusion that speed cameras
`caused' these deaths.
This is, and not to put too fine a point on it, total bollocks.
Worlwide studies:
Oz
In Australia, excessive speed is an important factor in approximately
20 per cent of fatal crashes (Haworth and Rechnitzer, 1993) and speed
is a probable or possible cause in 25 per cent of rural crashes (Armour
and Cinquegrana, 1990). It has been argued that such figures are likely
to under-estimate the role of speed in crashes because subtle effects,
such as the amplification of other dangers in the traffic situation by
relatively small increases in speed, are likely to be overlooked
(Plowden and Hillman, 1984).
http://casr.adelaide.edu.au/speed/intro.html
US and A:
Speed is a factor in nearly one-third of all fatal crashes.
Speed-related crashes cost society more than $23 billion a year.*
http://www.ou.edu/oupd/speed.htm
The EU:
The fact is that in Europe, according to the Commission of the European
Communities Road Safety Action Programme, published in June 2003,
excessive and improper speed is the cause of about a third (33%) of
fatal and serious accidents and a major factor in determining the
severity of injuries.
South Africa:
In 2004 fatal crashes in which speed played a role increased to 32,94%
of a total of 10,523 fatal crashes. The estimated number of fatalities
resulting from speed-related fatal crashes increased by 1,326 (46,41%)
from 2,857 in 2003 to 4,183 in 2004.
And how about the University of Reading report above that shows that
speeding drivers is the most serious quality of life issue for
respondents?
Are they all wrong?
Brainwashed?
You minimise the risks of speed yet the evidence is that many people
are appalled at the noise, pollution and danger posed by speedophiles.
Why would you defend such behaviour or try to mitigate its effect?
Or, name the newspaper Jeff. You made the claim, back it up.
Or consider why whenever a road safety stats document is issued any
tiny part of the report that appears to minimise the risks of speeding
is seized upon.
Why do you ignore the wealth of evidence above?
Are all the studies that conclude speed as a factor in a third of all
RTA's wrong and your single, solitary report right?
Rather selective old boy, no?
The speedophile's case is that speeding is safe and drivers should be
able to pick a speed they feel appropriate. Any cyclist could tell you
that drivers are not the best people to assess the risks posed by their
speeding, as the reading report makes clear>
So why ignore the Reading findings?
Do you dispute them?
The antispeed camera campaign is hilarious.they claim safety cameras
are dangerous because of the research that shows checking the speedo is
distracting.
And the source of the research?
Paul Smith asked his mates:
http://www.safespeed.org.uk/forum/viewtopic.php?t=11613&start=220
Breathtaking, like asking a bunch of street drinkers if super strength
cider should be cheaper!
LOL!!
I have wagon loads of studies from all over the world that show the
link between speeding and the increased risk of accidents.
You have a barking mad lobby group and a single line in a DFT report.
I know who I believe.
45% of motorists consider speed as the main cause of collisions.
* 54% of Londoners admit to speeding on main urban roads - the
highest of any region (38% nationally)
* 78% of drivers consider speed cameras a good way of deterring
people from speeding.
* 76% of motorists support having more cameras at traffic lights to
catch 'red light jumpers'.
* A large majority of motorists (84%) in London and the southern
region view the use of speed cameras as a good thing, even though more
than half have been 'flashed', or flashed and fined, by one.
* 85% of motorists believe that speed cameras existence saves lives
Detailed research by Gloucestershire County Council shows the
relationship between speed and crashes.[16] In its survey, the
reporting officer at a crash was required to indicate what went wrong
(the 'precipitating factor'😉 when there was an injury accident. In 97%
of cases human error was to blame; in the others it was directly
attributable to mechanical failure. When asked to identify other
factors which had caused or contributed to the crash, officers
attributed excess speed as a causation factor in 14% of crashes and
inappropriate speed (such as loss of control) in a further 32%.
14. The overwhelming majority of the memoranda we received agreed with
these findings. Two, however, fundamentally disagreed. The RAC
Foundation for Motoring and the Environment and the Association of
British Drivers doubted whether speed made a significant contribution
to crashes. The RAC Foundation pointed to a study by the West Midlands
Police which found that less than 2% of traffic accidents were caused
by excessive speed for the conditions.[22] The Association of British
Drivers argued that "the only truly new research into accident causes
is TRL323 and that "the worst abuses of statistics only claim that
speed causes one third of accidents, with the true figure likely to be
around 10 per cent.".[23] Part of the problem arises from a confusion
of terms.
The RAC Foundation and the Association of British Drivers claim that
other organisations, including the DTLR, ACPO and the TRL, state that
speed is a cause of 30% of road accidents; however, they do not argue
this, but that speed is a contributory factor in about 30% of
accidents. TRL Report 323, A new system for recording contributory
factors in road accidents, which was published in 1998, set out the
viability of requiring police officers to record contributory factors
when visiting road accidents in addition to the data already collected.
It noted that excessive speed was a definite factor in 6% of crashes.
However, it should not be taken as evidence that speed is not a
contributory factor. Sustrans stated:
"Although the much-quoted TRL Report 323 puts excessive speed as a
definite factor in only six per cent of occasions a full list of
instances given suggests that speed greatly contributes to the number
and severity of almost all accidents and certainly more than the one
third often asserted".[24]
http://www.parliament.the-stationery-office.com/pa/cm200102/cmselect/cmtlgr/557/55705.htm
Old, old arguments, refuted many many times.