Michael Ragland said:Michael Ragland wrote: You sure sound confident in
relating Dawkin's view of the progressiveness of Darwinian
evolution. What do you forsee for the next millions of
years? "A continuation of coevolutionary arms races
between predatory and prey species, the prey progressively
becoming less easy to catch, the predator in return
progressively becoming better able to catch it. These arms
races can last for millions of years." We are the main
predatory species, yes? Do you forsee this going on for
millions of more years. I will be honest I don't.
dkomo: Well, I think it's obvious that human cultural
evolution is proceeding orders of magnitude faster than
its biological evolution, so within the next few hundred
years we'll take charge of not only our own evolution but
that of the entire biosphere. (I've put on my optimist's
hat here
:-) ).
If we succeed at this, we'll turn earth into an Eden and
stop the destruction of its environment. So there's a good
chance that we could last a few million years as a
species. But it might require some migration to other star
systems if things get a bit too rough here on earth.
RESPONSE: How do you figure we could last millions of more
years as a species if we take charge of our evolution as
well as the biosphere? When you mention taking charge of
our evolution I assume you mean man made influencing it
through such processes as genetic engineering. Isn't it
fair to expect widespread genetic engineering of people
over a gradual period of time (certainly not millions of
years) could lead to a speciation event?
Of course. We'll not only be genetically re-engineeering
ourselves, but experimenting with man-machine hybrids,
robots, androids, and other types of purely artificial human-
like constructs. As a result we may end up creating not
just one new species, but possibly hundreds. And we'll have
to redefine the purely biological idea of what constitutes
a species.
But this doesn't imply that human beings would necessarily
become extinct. I can envision large numbers of "Mr.
Naturals" and "Ms. Naturals" choosing to remain as pure
breed humans. Remember that all this is taking place within
a highly advanced global civilization, not only
scientifically, but morally, ethically, politically and
economically. The ruthless process of survival of the
fittest doesn't necessarily apply anymore. So there might be
large populations of natural humans who decide to stay as
they are without fear of being replaced or oppressed. They
might even dwell in their own enclaves, away from their
designed ancestor species. They would be like those people
today who drop out of society and go live on isolated farms
where they become self-sufficient.
If things get rough on earth I think genetic
Quoted message said:engineering will likely play a role in allowing migration
to other star systems.
dkomo: Other than that, I've run across a serious proposal
that mankind should begin seeding the Milky Way galaxy
with life. The reason for doing it is that we have a
responsibility as an intelligent species to see that life
carries on in the universe even in the event of our
untimely demise.
The proposal is that when we have the technology we start
sending out automated spacecraft which carry specially
bioengineered organisms that could survive long journeys
of thousands of years and thrive on planets of distant
stars in the galaxy. The spacecraft would automatically
steer toward such planets. The proposal estimated that in
five million years or so, we could fill the entire galaxy
with terrestrial life.
RESPONSE: Where does this estimate of 5 millions years
come from.
I ran across both the proposal and the estimate of 5
million years in Seth Shostak's _Biocosm: The New
Scientific Theory of Evolution : Intelligent Life Is the
Architect of the Universe_. Look up the book on Amazon. The
proposal, however, was not original with the book. The
people who are developing the idea are not crackpots, but
reputable scientists. A number of papers about it have been
published in peer reviewed journals. You can get more
information here:
panspermia-panspermia-Open ↗
society.com/Astrobiology_About_Society.htm
and here:
panspermia-society.comPanspermia Technical.htmOpen ↗
We currently
Quoted message said:don't even know any planets of distant stars which could
thrive on specially bioengineered organisms (that I'm
aware of). I suppose its based on probabilty of a
particicular star system. I like the idea. I think it is
worth pursuing. Just curious.
MR:You quote, ""a tendency for life to increase in
anatomical complexity, or neurological elaboration, or
size and flexibility of behavioral repetoire, or any
criterion obviously concocted (if we would only be
honest and introspective enough about our motives) to
place [censored] Sapiens atop a supposed heap." Yup, we're
atop the supposed heap.
dkomo: We are the specialists in intelligence in the
animal kingdom. Other than our brains, there's nothing
particularly impressive about our anatomical complexity.
RESPONSE: You've acknowledged human cultural evolution is
proceeding orders of magtitude over biological evolution.
Doesn't that suggest to some extent we are not the
specialists in intelligence (at least in terms of
biological evolution) we might think we are. Granted we
are the specialists of intelligence in the animal kindom
but that specialization is much more reflected in cultural
evolution i.e. advances in science and technology than it
is in our biological evolution. Our behavior is similar to
many other animals
Give it a little more time. We've only been at the cultural
evolution game for maybe 10,000 years, a tiny instant in the
evolutionary time frame. The next few hundred years will see
unbelievable advances due to the exponential nature of the
increase of knowledge.
Quoted message said:
"It's uncertain whether intelligence has any long term
survival value."
Stephen Hawking
Time will tell.
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