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I Just Don't Believe It!

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Cycling Training
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13 July 2007
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13 August 2007
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Sillyoldtwit
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  1. Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

  2. Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

    THANK YOU!

  3. LOL.... BTW I did a hilly 16.5 mile loop at 17.6mph avg how am I doing?🙂

    Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

  4. On my 20 mile ride on pockmarked swoopy asphalt I average 15.5 MPH, one abdominal cramp and one calf cramp. Not bad for mid-season. 🙂

  5. Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

    Doesn't seem unreasonable, of course some people think a 40 meter hill makes a course "hilly".

  6. My first ride on a road bike was last week having never been on a road bike before save for when I was test fitting. Ten miles total. Mostly flat. 45 minutes. I'm slow though. Hope that makes you feel better. 🙂

    Fitz

  7. Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

    Welcome to the internet. You only need to glance at the table where people list their alleged FTP in the Power Training forum. The Cycle Ops website has a pretty good chart of FTP averages for world class cyclists. Here it is:

    Road Race Averages for Six Professional Cyclists
    Age 27.3 years
    Maximum power output (peak watts) 390 watts
    Maximum power output per kilogram body weight
    (peak watts per kg body weight)
    5.5 watts
    Watts at threshold2 248 watts
    Heart rate at threshold 137 bpm
    "Now you can compare your riding data with some of the best in the world. Unless, you, too, are one of the best in the world, just don’t take the comparison too seriously."

    By these standards, our little FTP chart on this forum is wildly optimistic. It is probably just a little more accurate than a penis size chart on a singles website. Or, a fishing website where posters list fish that are larger than the world records posted by the various fish and game agencies. But, on the other hand, this is one of the few fora around where there are some coaches and knowledgeable people who actually do have valuable info. Are you going to take the laboring oar and start the penis size thread? Then we can really see that the internet posters not only have better thresholds on average than world class cyclists, but they also have larger penises than most established [censored] stars!

  8. My first ride was on a trashy mountain bike along around 15km of flat, averaging probz around 18km an hour at best. I couldnt walk afterwards, downed about 2 litres of water in 2 minutes straight after, and was in agony for days.

    Now i have a piece of trash road bike built in soviet russia and made mostly of rust, doing 25km in less than an hour, can average just under 30km/h and, while ive only had time to ride 30km at the most, I know i can easily go alot further.

    The reason people post stuff like that is because affirmation is always nice, and if there getting involved in cycling by themselves i guess they cant get it from anywhere else.

    I have a friend whose incredibly fit, i refuse to ride with him because he'd find it so easy it would trivilise my pain. I deserve to be able to complain about my pain!

  9. Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    hy don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

    I have a power meter so I don't track the GPS data, but my riding buddy does. Here is a moderately hilly ride (2400 total feet of elevation gained) completed by 4 guys who are "relatively" fit. This guy was the last guy up the final hill so you can assume that some of us completed this ride as much as 5 minutes ahead. The Heart rates were my buddies. My power meter showed average watts for me of 178 watts for this ride. I can't imagine a newbie just hitting the road and averaging the 220 watts or so for an hour solo to do it. As you stated, it is BS

    Summary Data Total Time (h:m:s) 1:46:19 3:32 pace Moving Time (h:m:s) 1:46:19 3:32 pace Distance (mi ) 30.08 Moving Speed (mph) 17.0 avg. 48.5 max. Elevation Gain (ft) +2,476 / -2,454 Avg. Heart Rate 153 bpm Zone 4.3 Temperature (°F) 78.4°F avg. 82.4°F high Wind Speed ( mph) SSW 5.2 avg. SSW 6.9 max.


  10. Maybe I should define my "hilly" ride it starts at 500ft above sea level goes up to about 750ft then down to 300ft then back to 500ft with a hill at the end that always takes .4 mph off my average speed.🙁 Is that "hilly" enough?

    wiredued said:

    LOL.... BTW I did a hilly 16.5 mile loop at 17.6mph avg how am I doing?🙂

  11. wiredued said:

    Maybe I should define my "hilly" ride it starts at 500ft above sea level goes up to about 750ft then down to 300ft then back to 500ft with a hill at the end that always takes .4 mph off my average speed.🙁 Is that "hilly" enough?

    Hard to say based upon just that data. I was surprised the first time I rode with someone who had a GPS unit. Our "rolling" ride in SE PA USA has a total elevation change of 2400 feet of elevation over 90 minutes; and our "hilly ride" runs about 3500 for the whole 2 hour ride. Check Google for the course you ride and you will be pretty surprised at the change in elevation. But the answer to your question is that I would not consider 450 feet in elevation change over an hour to be, by any stretch of the imagination, a "hilly" ride unless the grade is pretty steep and you live in South Jersey where they define "hill" as a highway overpass. I define "hilly" as being about 1200 feet in elevation per hour, and the Rocky Mountian guys would probably think that this type of elevation gain is pretty pedestrian. They might see 5000 feet of elevation gain in their version of a "hilly" ride. Here is a "moderately" hilly ride in SE PA USA where we averaged close to 17 mph over 3 hours.

    Total Time (h:m:s) 2:55:25 3:36 pace Moving Time (h:m:s) 2:53:10 3:34 pace Distance (mi ) 48.55 Moving Speed (mph) 16.8 avg. 39.5 max. Elevation Gain (ft) +3,284 / -3,267

    Elevation Change Total (ft) Total Elevation 6,551 Elevation Gain 3,284 Elevation Loss 3,267 Net Elevation Change 17
    Vertical Speed Average ( ft/min) Maximum (ft/min) Ascent 18.9 282.2 Descent -18.9 -570.9
    Grade Average (%) Maximum (%) Overall Grade 0.0 -- Ascent Grade 3.1 11.9 Descent Grade -2.2 -16.0 Relevant Data Start Elevation (ft): 180 Finish Elevation (ft): 198 Min. Elevation (ft): 59 Max. Elevation (ft): 680

  12. Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

    Yep, it happens all the time, guys will greatly exaggerate or just plain lie about their abilities. A few months ago a new cyclist came in asking if he should trying racing because he could hold a 25mph average easily for hours at a time.

  13. Hey there,
    who are you referring to in this?? I'm curious...

    Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON

  14. kopride said:

    Welcome to the internet. You only need to glance at the table where people list their alleged FTP in the Power Training forum. The Cycle Ops website has a pretty good chart of FTP averages for world class cyclists. Here it is:

    Road Race Averages for Six Professional Cyclists
    Age 27.3 years
    Maximum power output (peak watts) 390 watts
    Maximum power output per kilogram body weight
    (peak watts per kg body weight)
    5.5 watts
    Watts at threshold2 248 watts
    Heart rate at threshold 137 bpm
    "Now you can compare your riding data with some of the best in the world. Unless, you, too, are one of the best in the world, just don’t take the comparison too seriously."

    By these standards, our little FTP chart on this forum is wildly optimistic. It is probably just a little more accurate than a penis size chart on a singles website. Or, a fishing website where posters list fish that are larger than the world records posted by the various fish and game agencies. But, on the other hand, this is one of the few fora around where there are some coaches and knowledgeable people who actually do have valuable info. Are you going to take the laboring oar and start the penis size thread? Then we can really see that the internet posters not only have better thresholds on average than world class cyclists, but they also have larger penises than most established [censored] stars!

    Your Cycle-Ops chart is probably accurate for professional telemarketers :p, not cyclists. Now, if their power at threshold (not "peak power"😉 is 390W, at 5.5 W/kg that would make their average weight 156 lbs (71kg). I can buy that.

    Apparently, their concept of threshold is a little skewed since I just averaged 248 W up a 6 mile climb and I'm a lowly cat. 3, 120 pound rider :o.

  15. Sillyoldtwit said:

    Has anyone else noticed, or is it just me being the original sceptic?

    Every so often someone posts saying they just inherited their grandfather's old Raleigh 3 speed bike or a friend sold them his old iron frame etc.
    Anyway, on their first 15 mile hilly course they averaged 20.6mph, and they usually finish by saying something like, "am I doing OK?"

    Am I doing OK!? They know that figure is damn good for a first ride (or even a hundredth ride), because they have read around the forum.

    It seems to me they only post to get praise heaped upon them - god knows for what reason.

    Why don't I believe them? Well, unless you're exceptionally gifted, I think to say you averaged 20mph plus on a hilly course on your first ride is bulls--t!!

    And has anyone noticed they invariably never post again!😠 TYSON


    It's either that or they say they just did their first century ever in 5 hrs after riding no further than 25 miles before. It's their first year and they're doing solo 5hr centuries. 🙄

  16. kopride said:

    Welcome to the internet. You only need to glance at the table where people list their alleged FTP in the Power Training forum. The Cycle Ops website has a pretty good chart of FTP averages for world class cyclists. Here it is:

    Road Race Averages for Six Professional Cyclists
    Age 27.3 years
    Maximum power output (peak watts) 390 watts
    Maximum power output per kilogram body weight
    (peak watts per kg body weight)
    5.5 watts
    Watts at threshold2 248 watts
    Heart rate at threshold 137 bpm
    "Now you can compare your riding data with some of the best in the world. Unless, you, too, are one of the best in the world, just don’t take the comparison too seriously."

    Does the source provide information on the definitions for Maximum power output and Watts at Threshold?

    These numbers don't stack up to definitions commonly used here.

    For threshold they maybe referred to an LT which is significantly lower than FTP. LT would be a power output sustainable for many hours, wheras FTP by definition is maximum power output sustainable for about an hour.

    Max power output as quoted sounds like the end of a long ramp test with light riders and a slow ramp rate. The protocol used to measure these terms is very improtant to know in order to interpret the numbers correctly.

  17. Alex Simmons said:

    Does the source provide information on the definitions for Maximum power output and Watts at Threshold?

    .


    Its right on the Cycle OPs website under Sally Edwards's list of articles "How Do you Stack Up" and it does provide the source: [font=Times New Roman]
    [left]334-29[/font][font=Times New Roman]1 [/font][font=Times New Roman]Vogt, S., Heinrich, L. et.al. “Power Output during Stage Racing in Professional Road Cycling,” Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise, January, 2006. Volume 38:1 pp 147-151.
    [/left]
    [/font]Here is how the data was assembled:
    [font=Times New Roman][left]"Recently, exercise scientist completed the first study ever that evaluated the workload sustained by professional elite road cyclists during a multistage race using direct power measurements. For background information, please note that these guys are riding 1,750 miles per month or averaging about 50-60 miles a day in training. They are all members of the same team and each competed in at least one of the three major European tours: Tour de France, Giro d’Italia, or Vuelta a Espana. And, yes, they are some of the best cyclists in the world.
    [/left]
    [left]The researchers measured the cyclists’ power and heart rate during the six stages of a road race that included a mean uphill time trial. Here’s what they found out:"
    [/left]
    [/font]
    You are correct that they are using threshold differently, it is footnoted as:

    "[font=Times New Roman]The boundary in intensity between moderate and heavy efforts is called “the threshold.”[/font]
    [font=Times New Roman]
    [/font]That sounds more like the LT. Nonetheless, in the same article, there is an additional chart that the breaks it down over different skill levels in different time increments which may be more helpful in comparing the data. I attached it if you can open it as a PDF.

    Even allowing for differences in nomenclature, and assuming the one hour benchmark, a significant percentage of the figures reported in our Poll are well within what the chart characterizes as Peak Power for "Domestic Pro" when I guess that we have a lot more "Fit Guys" and Cat 4s. And, even in posting data on the poll, you have a lot of guys providing estimates rather than just grinding it out for one hour in a time trial.

    I am not trying to paint a broad brush and claiming that everybody on the forum are liars, I am sure that there are many figures that are dead on. But I am seconding Tyson's observations that it is one thing to type some figure, whether average speed over an hour, or an alleged FTP; and it is an entirely different thing to have the number confirmed in a lab or by a coach in a supervised setting.

    Given your coaching experience, you might have better data. Doesn't the FTP poll seem a bit inflated.

  18. Piotr said:

    Your Cycle-Ops chart is probably accurate for professional telemarketers :p, not cyclists. Now, if their power at threshold (not "peak power"😉 is 390W, at 5.5 W/kg that would make their average weight 156 lbs (71kg). I can buy that.

    Apparently, their concept of threshold is a little skewed since I just averaged 248 W up a 6 mile climb and I'm a lowly cat. 3, 120 pound rider :o.


    As Alex also pointed out, you are correct that the article is using Threshold as LT, and that "Peak" appears closer to our FTP. But if you look at Allen Lim's chart, which is also provided in the same article, then your data would match up pretty well. It lists 30 minute peak power for a Cat 4 rider (not normalized for weight) as [font=Times New Roman]240-254. So it would not surprise me if a 120 pound Cat 3 would be pushing similar numbers up a 6 mile hill, which I assumed took you about 30 minutes to complete, assuming you were averaging about 12 mph. [/font]
    [font=Times New Roman][/font]
    [font=Times New Roman]Now, look at the FTP poll and see some of the numbers that people are reporting as well as the watts per kilo and tell me if this makes any sense in terms of what you know about the typical recreational or Cat 5-3 racers in your area are pushing. If guys are really pushing 325 watts or so for an hour time trial, he should be pretty much a national class Cat 1.
    [/font]

  19. kopride said:

    As Alex also pointed out, you are correct that the article is using Threshold as LT, and that "Peak" appears closer to our FTP. But if you look at Allen Lim's chart, which is also provided in the same article, then your data would match up pretty well. It lists 30 minute peak power for a Cat 4 rider (not normalized for weight) as [font=Times New Roman]240-254. So it would not surprise me if a 120 pound Cat 3 would be pushing similar numbers up a 6 mile hill, which I assumed took you about 30 minutes to complete, assuming you were averaging about 12 mph. [/font]

    [font=Times New Roman]Now, look at the FTP poll and see some of the numbers that people are reporting as well as the watts per kilo and tell me if this makes any sense in terms of what you know about the typical recreational or Cat 5-3 racers in your area are pushing. If guys are really pushing 325 watts or so for an hour time trial, he should be pretty much a national class Cat 1.
    [/font]

    FYI, the climb was close to 8% and it took me a little over 40 min. Wattage really is dependent on size. I know some larger cat. 3's who can push 330 W or more. They're better crit riders and can hang with me on the hills, because their W/kg may be comparable. I also know a Cat. 2 who's probably 175 lbs and is an excellent climber. I believe he can sustain around 380 W. Admittedly, he has very weak anaerobic capacity and gets dropped on downhills and when going get tough. High wattage isn't everything and I for one am not as skeptical of posters as you seem to be.

    On Google Wattage forum, I recently saw that Andy Coggan's W/kg were somewhat lower than mine (especially anaerobic), except for FTP which was equal. I've no reason to doubt his numbers and I know mine are acurate. He's an experienced Cat. 1, he's larger than me, with greater actual power numbers. Nothing mysterious here.

  20. kopride said:

    Its right on the Cycle OPs website under Sally Edwards's list of articles "How Do you Stack Up" and it does provide the source: [font=Times New Roman]
    [left]334-29[/font][font=Times New Roman]1 [/font][font=Times New Roman]Vogt, S., Heinrich, L. et.al. “Power Output during Stage Racing in Professional Road Cycling,” Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise, January, 2006. Volume 38:1 pp 147-151.[/left]

    [/font]Here is how the data was assembled:

    [font=Times New Roman][left]"Recently, exercise scientist completed the first study ever that evaluated the workload sustained by professional elite road cyclists during a multistage race using direct power measurements. For background information, please note that these guys are riding 1,750 miles per month or averaging about 50-60 miles a day in training. They are all members of the same team and each competed in at least one of the three major European tours: Tour de France, Giro d’Italia, or Vuelta a Espana. And, yes, they are some of the best cyclists in the world.

    [/left]

    [left]The researchers measured the cyclists’ power and heart rate during the six stages of a road race that included a mean uphill time trial. Here’s what they found out:"[/left]

    [/font]
    You are correct that they are using threshold differently, it is footnoted as:

    "[font=Times New Roman]The boundary in intensity between moderate and heavy efforts is called “the threshold.”[/font]
    [font=Times New Roman]
    [/font]That sounds more like the LT. Nonetheless, in the same article, there is an additional chart that the breaks it down over different skill levels in different time increments which may be more helpful in comparing the data. I attached it if you can open it as a PDF.

    Even allowing for differences in nomenclature, and assuming the one hour benchmark, a significant percentage of the figures reported in our Poll are well within what the chart characterizes as Peak Power for "Domestic Pro" when I guess that we have a lot more "Fit Guys" and Cat 4s. And, even in posting data on the poll, you have a lot of guys providing estimates rather than just grinding it out for one hour in a time trial.

    I am not trying to paint a broad brush and claiming that everybody on the forum are liars, I am sure that there are many figures that are dead on. But I am seconding Tyson's observations that it is one thing to type some figure, whether average speed over an hour, or an alleged FTP; and it is an entirely different thing to have the number confirmed in a lab or by a coach in a supervised setting.

    Given your coaching experience, you might have better data. Doesn't the FTP poll seem a bit inflated.

    OK, two things:

    1. the article says it took power for the six riders during stages of a road race. It is typical (indeed ideal) for cyclists to use as little energy as possible during a road race and hence their average power would not approach the peak levels attainable for say 1 hour.

    2. the other table listing power by rider status (fit thru to intl pro) for various time durations (30sec to 2 hrs) is less useful as it should really be expressed as watts/kg or similar. Also, the data in this table doesn't match the data presented for the six cyclists. Finally, I simply think the numbers don't match what those riders are actually capable of. Refer this table by Dr Andy Coggan:
    cyclingpeakssoftware.compowerprofile v4.gif

    Simple example for myself. A 49min crit with a Pnorm of 359W - that would make me an Intl Pro based on the Edwards article. Coggan's table would suggest I'm about a Cat 3. I know which one I believe.

    As to whether people are inflating their FTP numbers, I can't say but it would probably help to know how they estimated their FTP. The numbers quoted are generally believable in terms of the power profiling table.

    In the end, where you are on the table matters little if you don't know how to race.

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