R
The largest, best, and most definitive study on the relationship
between dietary fat intake and weight has just been published in the
most recent edition of JAMA.
Howard, B.V., et al. Low-fat dietary pattern and weight change over 7
years. The women's health initiative dietary modification trial. JAMA
295:39-49, 2006 (January 4, 2006).
There is a lot of stuff in it of secondary importance which I'll let
others talk about.
But there is one particular finding of blockbuster importance. It is
absolutely and completely clear-cut and definitive. This was a study
in which subjects were randomized between a low fat/high carb diet and
no dietary intervention. Subjects were post-menopausal, obese women.
19,000 were assigned to the low fat diet. 29,000 were assigned to usual
diet.
The low fat diet didn't come close to achieving its goals (20% calories
as fat). There was no exercise. No caloric restriction. But none of
that is important. What is of supreme importance are the data shown in
Fig 5, which I photographed and have temporarily posted on one of my
websites:
http://www.weisenthal.org/swimming/jama_295_39-49_2006_fig_5.jpg
Note that this figure shows results for nearly 50,000 women, followed
prospectively for 7 years.
The figure shows the mean weight change in kilograms graphed on the
ordinate and quintiles of change from baseline in percent dietary fat.
Low lowest quintile represented those subjects (nearly 10,000) who
reduced their percent of calories fat intake by 11% or more. The
highest quintile represented subjects who increased their percent
calories as fat intake by 3.2% or more. The three other quintiles were
between these extremes. Each quintile represented data from nearly
10,000 subjects followed 7 years.
Nole the perfectly linear relation between percent changes in percent
calories as fat and weight change, REGARDLESS of which group the
subjects were in. Those subjects who reduced fat intake lost weight
and kept it off. Those subjects who did not reduce fat intake did not
lose weight. Those subjects who increased fat intake (though not,
obviously, to the ketotic range) gained weight. These trend line
relationships were highly significant (P2<0.001).
These data are perfectly consistent with the data from the U Pittsburgh
registry of people who successfully lost 15 kg and kept it off at least
5 years. These subjects, on average, ate a diet comprising
approximately 24% fat and close to 60% carbohydrate, if memory serves.
These data obviously do not imply that the best diet for everyone is a
fat restricted diet. These data are, however, definitive in a
population sense.
There can be no more serious argument. Body weight is unequivocally
related, in a highly significant fashion, to dietary fat intake, with
higher levels of dietary fat intake associated with weight gain and
lower levels of dietary fat intake associated with weight loss.
One might argue that these data only apply to obese post-menopausal
women, and I'm sure that the cult promoting carbohydrates as the true
cause of obesity will do so.
But I agree with the conclusions of the authors:
"There is no reason to assume that these findings cannot be
extrapolated to younger individuals and both sexes...because trends
showed that weight loss correlated with fat reduction, it is likely
these data can be extrapolated to persons who achieve lower fat and
higher carbohydrate intake."
A true stake to the heart of the carbohydrate/obesity urban legend.
- Larry W
between dietary fat intake and weight has just been published in the
most recent edition of JAMA.
Howard, B.V., et al. Low-fat dietary pattern and weight change over 7
years. The women's health initiative dietary modification trial. JAMA
295:39-49, 2006 (January 4, 2006).
There is a lot of stuff in it of secondary importance which I'll let
others talk about.
But there is one particular finding of blockbuster importance. It is
absolutely and completely clear-cut and definitive. This was a study
in which subjects were randomized between a low fat/high carb diet and
no dietary intervention. Subjects were post-menopausal, obese women.
19,000 were assigned to the low fat diet. 29,000 were assigned to usual
diet.
The low fat diet didn't come close to achieving its goals (20% calories
as fat). There was no exercise. No caloric restriction. But none of
that is important. What is of supreme importance are the data shown in
Fig 5, which I photographed and have temporarily posted on one of my
websites:
http://www.weisenthal.org/swimming/jama_295_39-49_2006_fig_5.jpg
Note that this figure shows results for nearly 50,000 women, followed
prospectively for 7 years.
The figure shows the mean weight change in kilograms graphed on the
ordinate and quintiles of change from baseline in percent dietary fat.
Low lowest quintile represented those subjects (nearly 10,000) who
reduced their percent of calories fat intake by 11% or more. The
highest quintile represented subjects who increased their percent
calories as fat intake by 3.2% or more. The three other quintiles were
between these extremes. Each quintile represented data from nearly
10,000 subjects followed 7 years.
Nole the perfectly linear relation between percent changes in percent
calories as fat and weight change, REGARDLESS of which group the
subjects were in. Those subjects who reduced fat intake lost weight
and kept it off. Those subjects who did not reduce fat intake did not
lose weight. Those subjects who increased fat intake (though not,
obviously, to the ketotic range) gained weight. These trend line
relationships were highly significant (P2<0.001).
These data are perfectly consistent with the data from the U Pittsburgh
registry of people who successfully lost 15 kg and kept it off at least
5 years. These subjects, on average, ate a diet comprising
approximately 24% fat and close to 60% carbohydrate, if memory serves.
These data obviously do not imply that the best diet for everyone is a
fat restricted diet. These data are, however, definitive in a
population sense.
There can be no more serious argument. Body weight is unequivocally
related, in a highly significant fashion, to dietary fat intake, with
higher levels of dietary fat intake associated with weight gain and
lower levels of dietary fat intake associated with weight loss.
One might argue that these data only apply to obese post-menopausal
women, and I'm sure that the cult promoting carbohydrates as the true
cause of obesity will do so.
But I agree with the conclusions of the authors:
"There is no reason to assume that these findings cannot be
extrapolated to younger individuals and both sexes...because trends
showed that weight loss correlated with fat reduction, it is likely
these data can be extrapolated to persons who achieve lower fat and
higher carbohydrate intake."
A true stake to the heart of the carbohydrate/obesity urban legend.
- Larry W