Steve,
It's clear you've delved a lot further into the stress vs. efforts at sea level vs. altitude question and I wasn't really considering the overall load or TSS/CTL question at all. I was just illustrating the difficulty of answering the OPs question about what she might expect in terms of FTP progress with an extended stay at altitude and pointing out why she might see different results than a highly trained cyclist.
My answer still makes sense to me, at least in the sense that it is possible (not assured or necessary) that a trained sea level cyclist who moves to altitude for an extended time might actually see a drop in FTP on their return to sea level (relative to previous sea level FTP) from the lower average workout intensity not TSS point of view.
You're way ahead of me on cortisol levels and the implications of working out high or low so I could be dead wrong but at some level I still believe a watt's a watt and if Andy's weekly L4 intervals at 300 watts turned into weekly efforts at 270 watts for an extended period of time it seems quite possible to me that he might not immediately return to 300 watts on returning to the sea level.
But to answer your original question, I'm working totally in the realm of inference and uneducated opinions so I wouldn't bet the farm on it...
-Dave
It's clear you've delved a lot further into the stress vs. efforts at sea level vs. altitude question and I wasn't really considering the overall load or TSS/CTL question at all. I was just illustrating the difficulty of answering the OPs question about what she might expect in terms of FTP progress with an extended stay at altitude and pointing out why she might see different results than a highly trained cyclist.
My answer still makes sense to me, at least in the sense that it is possible (not assured or necessary) that a trained sea level cyclist who moves to altitude for an extended time might actually see a drop in FTP on their return to sea level (relative to previous sea level FTP) from the lower average workout intensity not TSS point of view.
You're way ahead of me on cortisol levels and the implications of working out high or low so I could be dead wrong but at some level I still believe a watt's a watt and if Andy's weekly L4 intervals at 300 watts turned into weekly efforts at 270 watts for an extended period of time it seems quite possible to me that he might not immediately return to 300 watts on returning to the sea level.
But to answer your original question, I'm working totally in the realm of inference and uneducated opinions so I wouldn't bet the farm on it...
-Dave