velomanct said:I'm not sure what it's like out there, but in New England, as a cat 3, you need a FTP of around 5w/kg to win the hilly road races. At 79kg, I (among many others) got dropped by the 3 field on a 5 minute climb, where my power was averaging around 450w.
I don't think that you can assume that just because you got "popped" on a 5 min climb that everyone who rode away from you has a higher functional threshold power. For example, take a look at the hilly road race file of mine on the CyclingPeaks website - those I was racing against may not (or may) have realized it at the time, but I was at my absolute limit (i.e., 5.5 W/kg for 6 min) the first time up Harp Hill, and in fact along with a half-dozen others fell behind the leaders at that point by 10-15 s. After a fast descent, I/we then had to chase back on the next uphill (labeled "Bridge to catch leaders"). This is directly analogous to your situation, as none of the other dozen or so riders who made the selection appear to have as high a functional threshold power as I do (at least based on the fact that I could put 2+ min into the best of them in a 40 km TT). Only later in the race, when their "batteries" began to run down due to the fact that they were over their functional threshold power more of the time, was I able to start punching back, eventually being able to get away solo to win the race.