What would it take to convince you Armstrong is clean?



antoineg said:
You are prostrate before the altar of hero-worship. First you say he isn't doping, then you say you don't care anyway, then you say he's a "hero to all americans" (he isn't), then you say people are just vindictive and jealous.

What it would take for me:

1) Public disclosure of the timing and methods of each dope test on LA (after the fact)
2) LA publicly condemns Ferrari
3) LA offers to go through a 30-day neutral medical analysis, with daily blood and urine tests, during the peak of his off-season training. By neutral I mean "not one of the cycling team doctors, not UCI, and not any other cycling federation".
4) LA discloses what he knows about the doping practices of others. I.e. he alluded to Lemond, lets hear the entirety of that story, and what he knows about others.
5) Full disclosure from Lance about the medications he took to recover from cancer, when he stopped taking them, under whose supervision he took them, and what medications he's taking now. I think a lot of people suspect he took EPO and/or testosterone as part of his recovery -- let's hear the correct, full story.

2), 4) and 5) will never happen, even though they are the easiest. 3) is hard but would be great proof. 1) depends on the testing organization, but would be valuable to help us understand this mysterious question "exactly how often does Lance get tested? And where are the tests in relation to his lead-up to the Tdf


Even if he met all your criteria, I suspect you would still not be satified. You have convicted him without any proof.
 
Miguel_garcia83 said:
we are not jealous, we just wonder why he got this change, and we dont see any other reason than ones based on doping, because there are no miracles in sport, and the differences are not that huge

Cannot see any reasons other than doping? Maybe this will help to shed some light on the subject:

Q&A w/Chris Carmichael:

Q:You seem to peak Lance so perfectly for the Tour every year.
A: It's pretty simple, but a lot of hard work. Lance is a 365, 24/7 athlete. There are virtually no days during the year he's not training. It really comes down to the fact his opponents have such varied ranges of physical conditioning throughout the year. It is incredibly stressful, both mentally and physically, for an athlete to attempt going from a terrible condition to a thoroughbred repeatedly. He's in good condition and he's going to be in better condition come the Tour de France. But in any one point of the year he's never far away from his peak condition and he's basically always training. As I said earlier, he's a 365, 24/7 athlete.

Q:Lance has developed a high cadence in the past few years. Is that a factor in his Tour success?
A: He was a bit of a masher-it was something we always worked really hard on, to get him away from that style. His Directeur Sportif, Johan Bruyneel, really stressed this when he first became Lance's team director. High cadence is something well suited to Lance. There's a lot going on in pedal cadence. Faster the pedal cadence at higher wattages means you are reducing the watts per pedal stroke the athlete is putting out.

Q: Do you think that going through the ordeal of cancer makes an athlete tougher?
A: Tough is a hard thing to define. I think what happens, probably more importantly, is that if you're an elite athlete and you make it through the disease, and there is no guarantee you will, you now realise you've got a second chance and you don't take things for granted. I think that's the main thing. When Lance got back to racing professionally I think he realised, 'Hey, I'm not going to take any day for granted, I'm going to live each day to its fullest, because you know what, it may be my last.' We all live with the expectation we're going to continue to be alive tomorrow, next week, six weeks, six months, six years from now, but somebody who's battled with a disease like cancer understands, there are no guarantees they will be around in six weeks or six months. So, when they make it through, they kind of live each day to its fullest and I think that is the major driver for them.

Q:There's been a lot of discussion that Lance's body shape is different since cancer. Do you think he has changed all that much?
A: Lance was always a gifted athlete. Before cancer he did little to develop his gift. After cancer, he focused intensely on developing his gift. The other thing of benefit is he lost a lot of upper body mass from the amount of inactivity due to the cancer. That's favourable for an event like the Tour de France. And he's maturing. Let's not forget who Lance Armstrong was when he was 19, 20, and 21 years old. At 21 years old, in 1993, he finished 18 seconds ahead of Miguel Indurain to win the professional World Road Championships. There's been only one rider ever in the history of cycling to win the Worlds at such a young age. He has won World Cups, he's won Classics, he won big races well before he had cancer and he was doing this in his early 20's. At 28, 29, with the maturity of his body, he's only going to be stronger.


- Lance Armstrong's heart is almost a third larger than that of an average man. During those rare moments when he is at rest, it beats about thirty-two times a minute—

- By 1987, when he was sixteen, he was also winning bicycle races. That year, he was invited to the Cooper Institute, in Dallas, which was one of the first centers to recognize the relationship between fitness and aerobic conditioning...Armstrong was given a test called the VO2 Max, which is commonly used to assess an athlete's aerobic ability: it measures the maximum amount of oxygen the lungs can consume during exercise. His levels were the highest ever recorded at the clinic. (Currently, they are about eighty-five millilitres per kilogram of body weight; a healthy man might have a VO2 Max of forty.)

-Chris Carmichael, who became his coach when Armstrong was still a teen-ager, told me that even then Armstrong was among the most remarkable athletes he had ever seen. Not only has his cardiovascular strength always been exceptional; his body seems specially constructed for cycling. His thigh bones are unusually long, for example, which permits him to apply just the right amount of torque to the pedals.

- Although Armstrong was talented, he wasn't very disciplined. He acted as if he had nothing to learn.

- He would get out in front and set the pace. He would burn up the field, and when other riders came alive he would be done, spent." Still, Armstrong did well in one-day races, in which bursts of energy count as much as patience or tactical precision. In 1991, after several years of increasingly impressive performances, he became the U.S. amateur champion, and the next year he turned pro. In 1993, he became the youngest man ever to win a stage in the Tour de France; he won the World Road Championships the same year.

- Armstrong now says that cancer was the best thing that ever happened to him. Before becoming ill, he didn't care about strategy or tactics or teamwork—and nobody (no matter what his abilities) becomes a great cyclist without mastering those aspects of the sport.

- As Carmichael pointed out to me, Armstrong had always been gifted, but "genetically he is not alone. He is near the top but not at the top. I have seen people better than Lance that never go anywhere. Before Lance had cancer, we argued all the time. He never trained right. He just relied on his gift. He would do what you asked for two weeks, then flake off and do his own thing for a month or two.


If you need more...
http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?020715fa_fact1[/url]
 
Rudy said:
Does this drug turn you into superman to be able to win TDF 6 times? ummm if so, ask David Millar..he never came close. Only to win a few TT stage(s) (1?). look at all others who were caught doping, it's a list of no names wanna be.

Look. There has been exactly 1 winner of the Tour since 1998. There have been lots of cyclist who have either tested positive, or been caught in other ways, since that time. Not one of them has won the TdF.

Drugs alone do not make the champion, and it isn't really the point. The point is about the integrity of the titles.

For all I know, LA would win 10 TdF titles if everyone competed clean, since he's that much better. It's certainly possible given what I know about his drive and his desire and his natural athleticism.

Do this mind exercise: Imagine for a minute that LA is doping. Just imagine. How would you feel if you finished 2nd and were riding clean? Or imagine the first 10 finishers are doping. How would you feel if you rode 11th clean?
 
Rudy said:
Just my 2 cents here, food for thoughts:

David Millar has been using EPO for sometimes now and was never caught until recently. That can make for an argument to those who believes that LA is doping but not caught.
However, corect me if I'm wrong, the tests so far has only been in the category of urine test. They do BLOOD test now which should be more strict and accurate. LA was also asked by the TDF to be involved in the new test schemes and that he was the first one to take the blood test. Has anything official been said about this? I'm not sure. But in my mind, if you can pass blood test like this and countless number of other urine test, I'd say you're pretty clean or you're a wiz at coming up with so called "wonder drug".
sounds dubious?

Some thoughts/arguments for LA. why would he want to dope himself after a bout with cancer? wouldn't that be dangerous? and isn't life more prescious than winning TDF?

conditioning, conditioning, conditioning... look at Ulrich this year. He was a disappointment. oh what about all of his other major contender, Basso, Hamilton etc. Look at LA face, it's basically skin on bones. Compare to last year, look at old video, he came into this year thinner and more prepared. Even Bob Roll said so. Point is... no matter who you are, Ulrich or Basso, you gotta train and know when/what/how, to peak at the right time.

Does this drug turn you into superman to be able to win TDF 6 times? ummm if so, ask David Millar..he never came close. Only to win a few TT stage(s) (1?). look at all others who were caught doping, it's a list of no names wanna be.
he won 2 time trials in tour of france and 1 in la vuelta a españa and world champion, hey but he wasnt 4th at one world champion so he is not good enough, not as good as armstrong, that doesnt make of him a good time trialer as that 4th position did of lance armstrong
 
For all I know, LA would win 10 TdF titles if everyone competed clean, since he's that much better. It's certainly possible given what I know about his drive and his desire and his natural athleticism.


This makes no sense when compared to your previous post!!!!
You give us a list of what Lance needs to do to convince you he is clean, then you make this statement! Why would YOU care if Lance is doped or not? According to you he would win either way.
 
Bikerman2004 said:
For all I know, LA would win 10 TdF titles if everyone competed clean, since he's that much better. It's certainly possible given what I know about his drive and his desire and his natural athleticism.


This makes no sense when compared to your previous post!!!!
You give us a list of what Lance needs to do to convince you he is clean, then you make this statement! Why would YOU care if Lance is doped or not? According to you he would win either way.
he wouldnt win because we know how good he was before 1999, and to win the tour of france or any 3 week race you have to time trial and climb and lance had never done either of them half good
 
HuckFinn said:
I read that he is allowed to get testosterone.

But it makes no sense, medically. One testicle is enough to produce all the testosterone a man needs. Testosterone production in the testicles is finetuned by the hypophysis (under the brain), which produces production controlling hormones depending on the concentration in the blood. If testosterone is low in the blood, production would be enhanced. One testicle is fully capable of producing the testosterone normally produced by two, like one kidney is sufficient to produce the urin normally made by two.
>>>>

I only know from my own experience, I'm a female with high testosterone levels (due to a hormonal imbalance.) I had a partial hystrertomy 5 yrs ago, they took out one ovary. They told me it would take a few weeks for the one ovary to take over the job of two, and until it did I had weird side effects like very fine, soft bodyhair, no sex drive, etc It changed once the single ovary took over.

In women, the ovaries and the adrenal gland make testosterone (yes, men and women BOTH have some of the sex hormones of the opp sex, just in differing amts) So its possible that he did need some T supps for a time anyway, until the one testicle took over the work of both (as in my case with ovaries.) The ovaries are the female counterpart to the male testicles.
 
Miguel_garcia83 said:
he wouldnt win because we know how good he was before 1999, and to win the tour of france or any 3 week race you have to time trial and climb and lance had never done either of them half good

Really. Was that before he got cancer? I seem to recall he was a world champion at one time.....oh yeah that was before he was any good. I've read enough of your previous post to see how you selectively use stats to try to support your arguments.
 
Miguel_garcia83 said:
none, because there is no rider besides armstrong that had won 6 tours of france, so cant be more cases
i dont like basso, i dont like boonen, i dont like scarponi, i didnt like rominger, i didnt like ugrumov, i didnt like rijs, i dont like boogerd, i dont like heras...
i only suspect of doping of ugrumov and rijs

If you didn't like Rominger, but don't suspect him of doping then we should let the rest know that Rominger was a long time client of Dr. Ferrari and close friend as well.
 
I WANT TO KNOW WHERE IS THE PROOF?

ENVY PEOPLE JUST DO THAT, INSINUATE, INVENTand MAKE UP stories to steam up Lance's exceptional reputation.




Beastt said:
Of course the topic makes an assumption that Armstrong is clean but I've read so many accusations that Armstrong is using some kind of banned substance to enhance his cycling ability and so many comments as to the unreliability of drug testing, I have to wonder. What exactly would those who are convinced he is doping require before they believed he wasn't?
 
antoineg said:
(Snip...)

What it would take for me:

1) Public disclosure of the timing and methods of each dope test on LA (after the fact)
2) LA publicly condemns Ferrari
3) LA offers to go through a 30-day neutral medical analysis, with daily blood and urine tests, during the peak of his off-season training. By neutral I mean "not one of the cycling team doctors, not UCI, and not any other cycling federation".
4) LA discloses what he knows about the doping practices of others. I.e. he alluded to Lemond, lets hear the entirety of that story, and what he knows about others.
5) Full disclosure from Lance about the medications he took to recover from cancer, when he stopped taking them, under whose supervision he took them, and what medications he's taking now. I think a lot of people suspect he took EPO and/or testosterone as part of his recovery -- let's hear the correct, full story.

As far as the use of EPO in his cancer recovery, it's not just suspicion. It's fact and one that Armstrong readily confirms. It's quite usual when you're undergoing chemotherapy which kills all kinds of cells in the body to need something to increase the number of red blood cells. Without a sufficient number of erythrocytes, (red blood cells), the oxygen available to the body tissues drops to dangerous levels. EPO is a life-saving drug and used by many people undergoing chemotherapy as well as other medical treatments/conditions. Obviously, its use should be supervised by a competent medical doctor and use should be discontinued once the recovery level no longer requires it.

I think in asking what you do in number 4, you might consider asking all police officers to report any unlawful acts witnessed of other police officers as well as asking medical professionals to report every slip, mistake or act of malpractice they witness. It may not sound like a unreasonable request but it would be instant career suicide in every case.

That said; thank you for being one of the first to actually answer the question posed in the topic. Although I feel your requests are somewhat unreasonable, it may be the only way to really provide absolute proof and you answered the question honestly. That is very much appreciated.

Well done.

:)
 
Bikerman2004 said:
This makes no sense when compared to your previous post!!!!

You give us a list of what Lance needs to do to convince you he is clean, then you make this statement! Why would YOU care if Lance is doped or not? According to you he would win either way.

I don't KNOW that he would win if everyone were clean. I think it's possible. Somebody has to win.

I care because 1) I don't like the fact that new cyclists feel they have to inject themselves with ridiculous **** to compete; and 2) I don't like that they cheat, on moral and ethical grounds; and 3) I don't like that the clean cyclists (I'm confident that there are some) are already 2 minutes down when the race starts; and 4) I don't like that known dopers (such as Virenque and Millar) are still treated as heros by a large community of people like you who don't care, thus perpetuating the whole "dope to win" mentality.
 
Beastt said:
I think in asking what you do in number 4, you might consider asking all police officers to report any unlawful acts witnessed of other police officers as well as asking medical professionals to report every slip, mistake or act of malpractice they witness. It may not sound like a unreasonable request but it would be instant career suicide in every case.

I fully understand what you're saying, and yes, it's problematic. However: If LA is clean, and USPS is clean, how can he condone doping by others? It shouldn't matter to him because he will win the TdF anyway.

Playing devil's advocate, him failing to disclose what I ask for in #4 might be impossible because then others would feel free to disclose what they know about HIM. Just a thought.

I have often imagined why LA sticks by Ferrari, and the possibility exists that Lance can't risk Ferrari going public. Witness the kind of abuse Simeoni is taking right now, and multiply that times 1,000 with a LA doping scandal. Kind of a conspiratorial mentality, but who really knows?
 
Rudy said:
J


Does this drug turn you into superman to be able to win TDF 6 times? ummm if so, ask David Millar..he never came close. Only to win a few TT stage(s) (1?). look at all others who were caught doping, it's a list of no names wanna be.

Alex Zulle, Richard Virenque, Laurent Dufaux, Laurent Brochard : all stage race
winner - Zulle and Virenque KOM jerseys, podium jerseys in the TDF and winner of Vuelta, Tour of Switzerland repectively, and indeed ITT and Road Race World Champions.
All convicted of EPO usage.

Not a list on no name wann bes as you inaccurately state.

Incidentally - they all passed their drugs tests as well !
 
Bikerman2004 said:
Really. Was that before he got cancer? I seem to recall he was a world champion at one time.....oh yeah that was before he was any good. I've read enough of your previous post to see how you selectively use stats to try to support your arguments.

he won a one day race - called the world road race title.

With respect one day races are a vastly different to stage races.

The analogy : Michael Johnson 400m champion Atlanta 1996.

Carmichael, Bryneel and the rest of the USPS apologists ask us to consider
Michael Johnson winning the 400m im 1996 and then coming back to Sydney in 2000 to win the marathon.

This is what we are being asked to accept, in a cycling context, with regard to Armstrong.
(1992-1996 Michael Johnson : 1999-2004 Haile Gabersalaisse).
 
limerickman said:
Alex Zulle, Richard Virenque, Laurent Dufaux, Laurent Brochard : all stage race
winner - Zulle and Virenque KOM jerseys, podium jerseys in the TDF and winner of Vuelta, Tour of Switzerland repectively, and indeed ITT and Road Race World Champions.
All convicted of EPO usage.

Not a list on no name wann bes as you inaccurately state.

Incidentally - they all passed their drugs tests as well !

Do you perhaps have a list of riders convicted of drug use who weren't top performers?
 
Ted B said:
Cannot see any reasons other than doping? Maybe this will help to shed some light on the subject:

Q&A w/Chris Carmichael:

Q:You seem to peak Lance so perfectly for the Tour every year.
A: It's pretty simple, but a lot of hard work. Lance is a 365, 24/7 athlete. There are virtually no days during the year he's not training. It really comes down to the fact his opponents have such varied ranges of physical conditioning throughout the year. It is incredibly stressful, both mentally and physically, for an athlete to attempt going from a terrible condition to a thoroughbred repeatedly. He's in good condition and he's going to be in better condition come the Tour de France. But in any one point of the year he's never far away from his peak condition and he's basically always training. As I said earlier, he's a 365, 24/7 athlete.

Q:Lance has developed a high cadence in the past few years. Is that a factor in his Tour success?
A: He was a bit of a masher-it was something we always worked really hard on, to get him away from that style. His Directeur Sportif, Johan Bruyneel, really stressed this when he first became Lance's team director. High cadence is something well suited to Lance. There's a lot going on in pedal cadence. Faster the pedal cadence at higher wattages means you are reducing the watts per pedal stroke the athlete is putting out.

Q: Do you think that going through the ordeal of cancer makes an athlete tougher?
A: Tough is a hard thing to define. I think what happens, probably more importantly, is that if you're an elite athlete and you make it through the disease, and there is no guarantee you will, you now realise you've got a second chance and you don't take things for granted. I think that's the main thing. When Lance got back to racing professionally I think he realised, 'Hey, I'm not going to take any day for granted, I'm going to live each day to its fullest, because you know what, it may be my last.' We all live with the expectation we're going to continue to be alive tomorrow, next week, six weeks, six months, six years from now, but somebody who's battled with a disease like cancer understands, there are no guarantees they will be around in six weeks or six months. So, when they make it through, they kind of live each day to its fullest and I think that is the major driver for them.

Q:There's been a lot of discussion that Lance's body shape is different since cancer. Do you think he has changed all that much?
A: Lance was always a gifted athlete. Before cancer he did little to develop his gift. After cancer, he focused intensely on developing his gift. The other thing of benefit is he lost a lot of upper body mass from the amount of inactivity due to the cancer. That's favourable for an event like the Tour de France. And he's maturing. Let's not forget who Lance Armstrong was when he was 19, 20, and 21 years old. At 21 years old, in 1993, he finished 18 seconds ahead of Miguel Indurain to win the professional World Road Championships. There's been only one rider ever in the history of cycling to win the Worlds at such a young age. He has won World Cups, he's won Classics, he won big races well before he had cancer and he was doing this in his early 20's. At 28, 29, with the maturity of his body, he's only going to be stronger.


- Lance Armstrong's heart is almost a third larger than that of an average man. During those rare moments when he is at rest, it beats about thirty-two times a minute—

- By 1987, when he was sixteen, he was also winning bicycle races. That year, he was invited to the Cooper Institute, in Dallas, which was one of the first centers to recognize the relationship between fitness and aerobic conditioning...Armstrong was given a test called the VO2 Max, which is commonly used to assess an athlete's aerobic ability: it measures the maximum amount of oxygen the lungs can consume during exercise. His levels were the highest ever recorded at the clinic. (Currently, they are about eighty-five millilitres per kilogram of body weight; a healthy man might have a VO2 Max of forty.)

-Chris Carmichael, who became his coach when Armstrong was still a teen-ager, told me that even then Armstrong was among the most remarkable athletes he had ever seen. Not only has his cardiovascular strength always been exceptional; his body seems specially constructed for cycling. His thigh bones are unusually long, for example, which permits him to apply just the right amount of torque to the pedals.

- Although Armstrong was talented, he wasn't very disciplined. He acted as if he had nothing to learn.

- He would get out in front and set the pace. He would burn up the field, and when other riders came alive he would be done, spent." Still, Armstrong did well in one-day races, in which bursts of energy count as much as patience or tactical precision. In 1991, after several years of increasingly impressive performances, he became the U.S. amateur champion, and the next year he turned pro. In 1993, he became the youngest man ever to win a stage in the Tour de France; he won the World Road Championships the same year.

- Armstrong now says that cancer was the best thing that ever happened to him. Before becoming ill, he didn't care about strategy or tactics or teamwork—and nobody (no matter what his abilities) becomes a great cyclist without mastering those aspects of the sport.

- As Carmichael pointed out to me, Armstrong had always been gifted, but "genetically he is not alone. He is near the top but not at the top. I have seen people better than Lance that never go anywhere. Before Lance had cancer, we argued all the time. He never trained right. He just relied on his gift. He would do what you asked for two weeks, then flake off and do his own thing for a month or two.


If you need more...
http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/?020715fa_fact1[/url]

None of this revisionism listed above was provided when a survey of the fittest cyclest was taken by Cycle Sport in 1995.

Armstrong wasn't listed in the top 7 fittest cyclists.

This revisionism listed above only started to be published after he came back from cancer and to justify his "improvement"

Presumably he had 33% larger heart in 1992-1996 ?
Presumably he had a high VOmax (if we're to believe the bilge, above) between 1992-1996 ?
Yet with all these natural gifts he still only managed to finish one TDF between 1992-1996 : he only managed to win one stage race between 1992-1996.
He only managed to finish his one TDf between 1992-1996 - 1 hour 26 mins
behind Indurain when he was pulverised.

The entire propoganda published by our Friend Ted B is the reason why one could not posiibly believe that Armstrong is clean.
 
Beastt said:
Of course the topic makes an assumption that Armstrong is clean but I've read so many accusations that Armstrong is using some kind of banned substance to enhance his cycling ability and so many comments as to the unreliability of drug testing, I have to wonder. What exactly would those who are convinced he is doping require before they believed he wasn't?


The biggest argument for him doping is the major turn around since his cancer.

The second biggest is the high red cell count for many pro cyclists. Don't know what Armstrongs is but it seems more than coincidence that many pros have a packed cell volume at about 49% (I think 50 % means you are banned) while mr average is about 42. This indicates some blood doping or EPO use.

Third, at that level, it is unusual for there to be such a big gap between the top players. Armstrong didn't just win, he left the others in his wake.

Fourth is Ferrari.

Fifth. As shown with david millar, you have to be caught with the stuff. He tested clear for years, probably still would. That's why Lances claims of "never a positive blood" test ring hollow.
 
Beastt said:
Do you perhaps have a list of riders convicted of drug use who weren't top performers?

Depends on what you call non-top performers ?

Gaumont, Herve, spring to mind.
Millar ?
I can try to dig some up (although I am answering so many mails, God knows when I will get the chance to reply !)