Trikki Beltran's bad concussion and his helmet



(PeteCresswell) wrote:
> Per Tom Kunich:
>
>>which means that the increase in gasoline prices isn't
>>bothering Americans at all.

>
>
> It's bothering me - although, in support what I perceive as the real idea behind
> your statement, it hasn't reduced the number of miles I drive by very much.
>
> Having said that:
>
> 1) Last time I checked, bottled water at the local convenience store was still
> more expensive per gallon than gasoline.


At the convenience store maybe, but gallons of Crystal Geyser water sell
for about $1 in regular stores.

The most expensive fluids that are routinely purchased by consumers are
printer ink and vanilla extract.
 
Mark & Steven Bornfeld wrote:

> As a longtime fred (I raced just one season) I salute you.


As a Cat III forever, 1982, I recognize that some people had their
real-world **** a whole lot more together <g>.

>I didn't remember Stetina doing ads for Skid lids.


He wore one at the start line, (IMS) Washington Park crit, 1980 Red
Zinger. I don't think he did it for free. Obviously a very ineffective
design, as the "petals" did not meet on the crown. Probably a skull
breaker. "Hope You Skid" Lid.

Bostick was in that race. Mike Neel won (again, ???). --TP
 
Per Tom Kunich:
>I noticed this also in France but that doesn't make driving 130 mph safe.


The Porches are doing 150-155. But the *really* scary part is the triple
tractor-trailers pulling out to pass at 45.

But in spite of all that, my nephew says that the German government claims a
lower per-mile fatality rate on it's freeways than we have in the USA. The
operative word, of course, is "claims"....

But when things happen, they seem to happen in a big way. Typical major crash
report on German TV seemed to go something like: "42 cars were involved,
between 30 and 50 people were killed; final number pending inventory of body
parts."


>> 2) The relationship of German highway infrastructure to USA highway
>> infrastructure is roughly that of a developed country to a third-world
>> country.

>
>Coming from California and mostly west of the Mississippi I can't put that
>into perspective. Certainly California freeways are much better designed


Doing most of my driving in Pennsylvania and New Jersey, I may be biased on that
one. In some trucker's survey or other I recall Pennsylvania roads being rated
down towards the very bottom.

In the Philadelphia area everybody knows what you're talking about when you cite
a "Merge-or-die" onramp. The news media people use that phrase with no
explanation required. Dunno if it's just a local expression...

When I'm driving at night here and it rains it's flat-out terrifying. White
lines just come and go more-or-less randomly depending on how grossly overdue
they are tb repainted or whether or not anybody bothered to put reflective
material in the paint.

Timed traffic lights? You bet. The five or six lights on route 30 through
Paoli, PA are timed so that if somebody goes about 57 mph they'll make every
light. Unfortunately, if they're going anywhere near the speed limit of 25,
they'll hit most of them.

Sometime about a year ago, they changed the timing on many of the local lights
so that side street traffic has to wait an ungodly long time at the red and
they've gone over to all lights being red for a few seconds at each change. The
net result is that people aren't furtively running yellow lights anymore;
instead they're running red lights with the hammer down and just blatantly
pulling out through red lights. I've never driven in Italy, but my suspicion
is that our automotive cultures are merging....

--
PeteCresswell
 
Per Tom Kunich:
>which means that the increase in gasoline prices isn't
>bothering Americans at all.


It's bothering me - although, in support what I perceive as the real idea behind
your statement, it hasn't reduced the number of miles I drive by very much.

Having said that:

1) Last time I checked, bottled water at the local convenience store was still
more expensive per gallon than gasoline. That was quite awhile ago.... but
I'll bet that if gas costs more, it isn't all that much.

2) If you figure 700% inflation since the mid fifties, gasoline is still only 32
cents per gallon. A more realistic comparison would be the number of hours
somebody had to work to buy 10 gallons of gas now and then - based on some sort
of common wage standard. Maybe somebody who knows can make that comparison.


With China and India continuing to develop fuel-intensive economies I see
$5.00/gallon gas sometime in the next five years. I think people's automobile
buying decisions are already being affected with prices over $2.00/gallon. At
$5.00, I think we will see a move towards high-MPG cars comparable to what's in
Europe today.
--
PeteCresswell
 
"John Forrest Tomlinson" <[email protected]> wrote in
message news:[email protected]...
> On Mon, 08 Aug 2005 22:18:59 GMT, Mark & Steven Bornfeld
> <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> >John Forrest Tomlinson wrote:
> >
> >> On 8 Aug 2005 07:45:18 -0700, [email protected] wrote:
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>>In 1988, who wore bike helmets? The guys who rode mountain

bikes off
> >>>8-foot drops did. I'd characterize them as risk takers who

were
> >>>greatly exceeding the helmet's protective spec. IOW, they

were
> >>>severely risk compensating.
> >>>
> >>>Most racers and club cyclists did. The former probably in

response to
> >>>racing rules, the latter because their accepted uniform was

designed to
> >>>look as much like a racer as possible.
> >>
> >>
> >> Bingo!
> >>
> >> JT

> >
> >
> > Come on, JT--freds bought and wore Bell Bikers, Pro-tecs and

MSR
> >helmets when racers wore hairnets.

>
> True.


Plenty of racers were wearing SkidLids and Bell Bikers by the end
of the '70s when I raced in NorCal, certainly not the majority,
though. By 1988, foam only helmets were popular and used by a
good portion of all the pack, at least in the Oregon District.
Maybe the big boys were helmetless, but a lot of the racers were
wearing helmets long before the USCF helmet rule. I was racing
when helmets were rare and later when they became mandatory, and
I do not recall any increase in risk-taking behavior. I think
STI had more effect on risk taking behavior because there was
less set-up before the corners -- no reaching down to feel for
the gear with friction shifting, and everyone could click and
jump out of the corner. -- Jay Beattie.
 
[email protected] wrote:
> No tizzy. I'm quite calm. I just give comparative numbers.


No, you don't just give comparative numbers (doing some extra
attributing here, thanks google):

(FK):
In 1988, who wore bike helmets? The guys who rode mountain bikes off
8-foot drops did. I'd characterize them as risk takers who were
greatly exceeding the helmet's protective spec. IOW, they were
severely risk compensating.

(me):
Or they had a helmet sponsorship. I'd guess they were thinking about
landing on their wheels, failing which, head injuries would be a lesser
consideration than the usual clavicle, arm breaks, injured backs that
would impinge on their fun and/or income-producing abilities.

(FK):
Beyond those groups, it would have been only the most cautious
individuals who wore them, or made their kids wear them, for Just
Riding Along on bike paths or city streets. The kind of people who
would say "Sorry, Johnnie, you're not allowed to cross the street until

you're sixteen."

(me):
Tizzy of aspersions. "Picking up the ball and running with it". Helmet
hatred. Continues:

(FK):
ISTM that these would be the people who would rush Johnnie to the ER
when he fell and scraped his knee ("Flesh eating bacteria!!!"). And
these would be the people that the Thompson & Rivara team examined and
said "Hmm: He wore a helmet, and his injuries were only minor.
Obviously, the helmet protected him."

(snipped, continues with FK, MOS):
Those people were the lab rats that allowed T&R to say "85% reduction
in head injuries!!!" while carefully deemphasizing that almost all the
"head injuries" were minor scratches and such. Of course, they also
carefully omitted the equally justifiable "75% reduction in broken
legs."

(me):
Yup, all part of the Great Helmet Conspiracy: "helmet people" = rats,
complicit with The Deceivers.

Credit given for occasional lapses into mere exaggeration:

(FK):
And of course, that "85%" statement got MHLs instituted in many places.


(me):
Must have contributed, but there were certainly other forces at work.
For instance: insurance companies, state/local gov't, "public opinion"
as agents of social control ("let's cover that purple mohawk with a
helmet"), and the usual scapegoating of cyclists.

Then there's always the time you vented your helmet-hating spleen on me
to tell me my daughter wouldn't leave the house before she was forty
since I made her wear a bike helmet. What do you call that, Frank?
Where are the comparative numbers in that? Frank? You made a scurrilous
and totally uncalled-for remark. Are you ever going to respond directly
on this point?

And, more recently (no surprise, either!), when I pointed out that
she's become a strong intermediate-level horse rider in the years since
you tizzied about the helmet and knee/elbow pads, you pasted me with
"weird" because I "let" her (strongly supported, encouraged)
participate in an activity that you assumed to be "really" risky, with
no regard to any "numbers" on horse accidents/hour. Well, who cares
about any of that _reality_, as long as you had a chance to jab someone
who doesn't agree with you. Right, Mr. Tizzy?

Reviewing: Let's see, something I did or said doesn't square with your
"understanding", so there's something wrong with *me*. And tizzy tizzy,
here we go: my kids are gonna be social cripples if I have a bike
helmet rule, and I'm weird and cowardly ("overprotective", "womanly")
because I provided knee/elbow pads for my kids while they were first
learning to ride on two wheels.

Like I said, "full of ****". Helmet hatred, snarling. --TP
 
In article
<[email protected]>,
"Tom Kunich" <[email protected]> wrote:

> "Michael Press" <[email protected]> wrote in message
> news:[email protected]...
> >
> > On the other hand, it took no studies for the population
> > at large to know that heavy cigarette smoking is a health
> > risk. Everybody knew, including the smokers who asked to
> > bum a "coffin nail", and long before the national
> > brouhaha. Nobody thought that waking up with a cigarette
> > cough, and reaching for the pack and matches to take off
> > the edge was low risk behavior.

>
> I have a medical encyclopedia distrubuted by the Hudson Bay Corporation in
> Canada from about 1850 and there is an entire chapter on the cancers caused
> by smoking. So please don't say what you THINK it took to know about this
> subject.


What do I think it took to know about this subject?

>
> > I think that bicycle road racing and off-road bicycle
> > racing are perceptibly more risky than training rides. But
> > by how much I really do not know.

>
> Actually they are FAR safer than riding on the road. Injuries from racing on
> or off road are typically caused by grazing blows at rather low speeds.
> Fatalities in cycling are generally direct collisions with motor vehicles at
> very high speeds.


Thanks.

--
Michael Press
 
[email protected] wrote:
> [email protected] wrote:
> > No tizzy. I'm quite calm. I just give comparative numbers.

>
> No, you don't just give comparative numbers (doing some extra
> attributing here, thanks google)


<sigh> Sorry, whatever your name was, but you're taking things out of
context. Slow down, calm down, re-read.

My statement about giving comparative numbers was in response to that
other anonymous poster, who said: " We already saw the
number for annual ER visits, we wouldn't want to
give it again as it sends Frank into a tizzy. "

Again, when he posts numbers for cycling's ER visits, I just give
comparative numbers for other activities' ER visits. And when I do,
cycling doesn't look so bad.

Since you didn't follow the conversation correctly, your extensive
proof that I also say other things was time wasted.


:
>
> (FK):
> In 1988, who wore bike helmets? ...
>
> ISTM that these would be the people who would rush Johnnie to the ER
> when he fell and scraped his knee ("Flesh eating bacteria!!!"). And
> these would be the people that the Thompson & Rivara team examined and
> said "Hmm: He wore a helmet, and his injuries were only minor.
> Obviously, the helmet protected him."
>
> Those people were the lab rats that allowed T&R to say "85% reduction
> in head injuries!!!" while carefully deemphasizing that almost all the
> "head injuries" were minor scratches and such. Of course, they also
> carefully omitted the equally justifiable "75% reduction in broken
> legs."
>
> (me):
> Yup, all part of the Great Helmet Conspiracy: "helmet people" = rats,
> complicit with The Deceivers.


Sorry, you're misunderstanding once again.

The "lab rat" reference was intended only to mean "subject of study."


> (FK):
> And of course, that "85%" statement got MHLs instituted in many places.
>
> (me):
> Must have contributed, but there were certainly other forces at work.


I testified before state legislators considering a MHL. Many of those
testifying in favor quoted the 85% figure. One woman testifying in
favor of the MHL, who is now a good friend of mine, said "Frank, 85%!
And it's so simple!"

If the commonly quoted figure were instead "Helmets prevent 25% of head
injuries" we wouldn't have nearly the level of helmet advocacy (and
mandates) that we now have. The 25% might still be an exaggeration,
but it wouldn't trigger the zeal that the ludicrous "85%" does.

> Then there's always the time you vented your helmet-hating spleen on me
> to tell me my daughter wouldn't leave the house before she was forty
> since I made her wear a bike helmet. What do you call that, Frank?


Um... a lie?

I did express amazement that people now use knee pads and elbow pads to
teach a kid to ride. And when I did that, it definitely wasn't
"venting spleen." Yes, you took it as an attack; but in my response, I
said "'m sorry you're offended, and I'm sorry you took my post as an
attack. It really wasn't. I find the idea of bicycling knee pads and
elbow pads amusing. I think it's interesting to learn how people
decide how 'safe' is safe enough."

Of course, things went downhill after that. But I'd say the spleen
flowed in a different direction than you claimed.

> Where are the comparative numbers in that? Frank? You made a scurrilous
> and totally uncalled-for remark. Are you ever going to respond directly
> on this point?
>
> And, more recently (no surprise, either!), when I pointed out that
> she's become a strong intermediate-level horse rider in the years since
> you tizzied about the helmet and knee/elbow pads, you pasted me with
> "weird" because I "let" her (strongly supported, encouraged)
> participate in an activity that you assumed to be "really" risky, with
> no regard to any "numbers" on horse accidents/hour. Well, who cares
> about any of that _reality_, as long as you had a chance to jab someone
> who doesn't agree with you. Right, Mr. Tizzy?
>
> Reviewing: Let's see, something I did or said doesn't square with your
> "understanding", so there's something wrong with *me*. And tizzy tizzy,
> here we go: my kids are gonna be social cripples if I have a bike
> helmet rule, and I'm weird and cowardly ("overprotective", "womanly")
> because I provided knee/elbow pads for my kids while they were first
> learning to ride on two wheels.
>
> Like I said, "full of ****". Helmet hatred, snarling. --TP


:) See what I mean about spleen? Good grief - calm down!

- Frank Krygowski
 
"Jay Beattie" <[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
>
> Plenty of racers were wearing SkidLids and Bell Bikers by the end
> of the '70s when I raced in NorCal, certainly not the majority,
> though.


Funny thing - there were two companies in the helmet business rather big
time - Bell and Skidlid. Bell funded the research that said in effect "Bell
works great and Skidlid is ****" and the USCF used the Bell standard.

> I think
> STI had more effect on risk taking behavior because there was
> less set-up before the corners -- no reaching down to feel for
> the gear with friction shifting, and everyone could click and
> jump out of the corner. -- Jay Beattie.


I didn't see the same thing. There used to be this milling around as
everyone was either feeling for the levers and taking their attention off
the road or actually looking down. I saw STI as making racing a great deal
safer. And if you race on the front you don't have to gear down and then
sprint out of the corners. You ride at max speed the whole way. As practice
on the races I would go up to a 90 degree turn and make the turn right on
the curb at 28 mph so that I could prove that any speed you could go on the
straight you could go around street corners designed for cars.
 
"(PeteCresswell)" <[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
>
> With China and India continuing to develop fuel-intensive economies I see
> $5.00/gallon gas sometime in the next five years. I think people's
> automobile
> buying decisions are already being affected with prices over $2.00/gallon.
> At
> $5.00, I think we will see a move towards high-MPG cars comparable to
> what's in
> Europe today.


I stopped in the Ford dealer the other day to check on a new Focus. He
looked at my pretty nice 2001 (bought 2000) ZX-2 and said that everyone was
trying to get small economy cars now and they can't give away SUV's. Ford
and Chevy are pretty heavy into big vehicles but the Japanese manufacturers
depend on the profits from SUV sales to survive.
 
<[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
> [email protected] wrote:
>
>> I'm just trying to keep the numbers in context.

>
> You make-a me laugh. Every time I put your numbers
> in context, you have a royal freakout.


Today I went on a 26 mile ride after work. I saw about 10 cyclists including
some coming out of a county park on high end MTB's. None but myself had on a
helmet. The helmet zealots are losing. They finally overplayed their hands
and the $200 Bell helmets haven't helped at all.
 
<[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
> [email protected] wrote:
>
> Whoa doggy!!! You wish I said that. What I said was
> that it's ludicrous to compare an activity that has
> 700 or so deaths every year and some unkown tens of
> thousands of serious injuries associated with it to
> an activity which has virtually none of these things.
> That's what I said, that's what I am saying.


There are approximately 4-5 times the fatality rate of serious head
injuries. This is a number that is remarkably similar over almost all
accidents from any cause. That is about 20% of all serious accidents prove
fatal.

Serious injuries are defined as those requiring at least one night stay in a
hospital. Almost ALL serious injuries involve the head or neck.

So where is the "unknown tens of thousands of serious injuries" coming from?

> I agree
> that cycling probably has a fairly similar fatality
> rate to driving or walking near traffic, although
> it's been fairly well established by kifer and others
> that rate of injury is much higher for cycling.


Then you'll cite where Ken Kifer EVER said such a thing and was referring to
'injuries' that any recreation couldn't produce. What he DID say was
"Fearmongering websites discussing bicycle safety have sprung up everywhere
which distort the evidence. They say 1,000 cyclists are killed each year
(not true since 1975), refer to "hundreds of children killed" which allows
the imagination to expand the number, call every bicycling injury a
hospitalization (less than 3% are according to the CPSC study), and assume
that nearly every injury is a serious head injury (about 1.5% of the total
cycling injuries according to John Hopkins)."

Let us remember that my very good friend Ken was run down by a driver and
whether or not he was wearing a helmet would have made no difference at all.
 
Tom Kunich wrote:

> and Chevy are pretty heavy into big vehicles but the Japanese manufacturers
> depend on the profits from SUV sales to survive.


Huh? It's the U.S. manufacturers that lose money on small car sales. The
Japanese manufacturers did will before they had any SUVs.
 
Tom Kunich wrote:

<snip>
> So where is the "unknown tens of thousands of serious injuries" coming from?


Lets put it this way, 1% of ER visits equals about
6,000.

> > I agree
> > that cycling probably has a fairly similar fatality
> > rate to driving or walking near traffic, although
> > it's been fairly well established by kifer and others
> > that rate of injury is much higher for cycling.

>
> Then you'll cite where Ken Kifer EVER said such a thing and was referring to
> 'injuries' that any recreation couldn't produce.


www.kenkifer.com/bikepages/survey/sept01.htm

"Assuming these figures to be fairly accurate (remember
the small numbers involved!) and assuming that these
injuries are equivalent to what would be reported after
an automobile injury, we find an injury is 33 times more
likely to occur from riding a bike as opposed to driving
a car for the same distance."

That's for the bulk of injuries. Concerning more serious
injuries, Ken reports: "Note that this most-serious injury
includes injuries less severe than those in question 18.
Also note that I said the injury must be a problem the
next day. Note that 2/3rds of the cyclists did not have
any injury at all. Only 13 claimed injuries as severe as
a puncture wound, broken bone, concussion, or multiple
injuries. There would be 40,000 miles, 64,000 kilometers,
2,800 hours, and 17.5 years between those kinds of
injuries. So even using these figures, we have to conclude
that bicycling leads to a greater risk of minor injury
that traveling by motor vehicle, some 19 times as great
by the mile, a good bit less by the trip or hour (I don't
have any good figures for the average trip length or for
hours of travel by car), but with injuries still more
likely on a bicycle, and over 4.5 times as dangerous by
exposure. However, bicycling has health benefits that
traveling by car does not."

> Let us remember that my very good friend Ken was run down by a driver and
> whether or not he was wearing a helmet would have made no difference at all.


Generally not, when someone is gunned down from behind
like that.

Robert
 
Tom Kunich wrote:
> "(PeteCresswell)" <[email protected]> wrote in message
> news:[email protected]...
>
>>With China and India continuing to develop fuel-intensive economies I see
>>$5.00/gallon gas sometime in the next five years. I think people's
>>automobile
>>buying decisions are already being affected with prices over $2.00/gallon.
>>At
>>$5.00, I think we will see a move towards high-MPG cars comparable to
>>what's in
>>Europe today.

>
>
> I stopped in the Ford dealer the other day to check on a new Focus. He
> looked at my pretty nice 2001 (bought 2000) ZX-2 and said that everyone was
> trying to get small economy cars now and they can't give away SUV's. Ford
> and Chevy are pretty heavy into big vehicles but the Japanese manufacturers
> depend on the profits from SUV sales to survive.
>
>

I wonder about that one Tom. Outside of North America, the SUV does not
exist. Four wheel drive does, but then those tend to be heavy built
utility vehicles with smallish diesel engines, for rough terrain, and
they tend to keep them running for decades. There is no place for
delicate computers, air conditioners or power windows in the Chapare
Jungle of South America, the Sahara desert of Africa, or the Outback of
Australia.

As for North America, smaller cars have always been popular in Canada,
but then we pay more for gas, last week my Brother in law bought gas for
CA$1.08/L, thats US$3.37/Gallon (the most expensive grade). I typically
can find gas in the 85-95 cent range, although I think by this time next
year the $1.00/Litre will be common for the cheap stuff.

Higher gas prices are good for the car companies, now that every idiot
and his brother (EIAHB) has a Stupid Ugly Vehicle, gas prices go up, and
EIAHB will have to go out and buy a micro-car. Then gas prices will
stabilize, and EIAHB will go looking at the SUV which is now a rusting
pile of junk, and throw it away, and buy a new even bigger, even more
gas guzzling stupider uglier vehicle. It's been cycling like this,
well, since the 1970's at least.

W
 
The Wogster wrote:

> I wonder about that one Tom. Outside of North America, the SUV does not
> exist.


Obviously you have not traveled much. The large to Humongous SUVs may
not exist much outside the U.S., i.e. Ford Excursion, Ford Expedition,
or Chevrolet Suburban, but the small to mid-size SUVs, i.e. up to the
size of the Land Cruiser or Range Rover, definitely exist all over the
world.
 
I submit that on or about Wed, 10 Aug 2005 08:36:01 -0400, the person
known to the court as The Wogster <[email protected]> made a
statement (<[email protected]> in Your
Honour's bundle) to the following effect:

>>Ford
>> and Chevy are pretty heavy into big vehicles but the Japanese manufacturers
>> depend on the profits from SUV sales to survive.


>I wonder about that one Tom. Outside of North America, the SUV does not
>exist.


The hell it doesn't! Google for "Chelsea Tractor" some time!

Guy
--
May contain traces of irony. Contents liable to settle after posting.
http://www.chapmancentral.co.uk

85% of helmet statistics are made up, 69% of them at CHS, Puget Sound
 
SMS wrote:
> The Wogster wrote:
>
>> I wonder about that one Tom. Outside of North America, the SUV does
>> not exist.

>
>
> Obviously you have not traveled much. The large to Humongous SUVs may
> not exist much outside the U.S., i.e. Ford Excursion, Ford Expedition,
> or Chevrolet Suburban, but the small to mid-size SUVs, i.e. up to the
> size of the Land Cruiser or Range Rover, definitely exist all over the
> world.


Those aren't SUVs they are 4WD, I described them in the previous message.

W
 
Just zis Guy, you know? wrote:
> I submit that on or about Wed, 10 Aug 2005 08:36:01 -0400, the person
> known to the court as The Wogster <[email protected]> made a
> statement (<[email protected]> in Your
> Honour's bundle) to the following effect:
>
>
>>>Ford
>>>and Chevy are pretty heavy into big vehicles but the Japanese manufacturers
>>>depend on the profits from SUV sales to survive.

>
>
>>I wonder about that one Tom. Outside of North America, the SUV does not
>>exist.

>
>
> The hell it doesn't! Google for "Chelsea Tractor" some time!


I was disappointed to see the number of SUVs in places like Korea and
Taiwan. I guess it's the U.S. influence.
 
Did you miss this: "Based on our previously data about usage, there
were 1,600 hours, 23,000 miles, 37,000 kilometers, and 9.9 years
between injuries of this degree"? 'Degree' was a 'real' injury of any
sort that required at least a couple of days to heal. Meaning ROAD
RASH!

Furthermore his sampling was of 231 riders OF WHOM all stumbled across
his test on his website. This implies a VERY highly specialized group
composed mostly of seasoned riders.

And you'll note that his findings agreed closely with those previously
published by the LAW.